APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nippon Prologis Reit / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-prologis-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15683:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Prologis Reit (3283 JP)</a> is looking to raise US$184m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire one property, namely Prologis Park Soka. </li>
<li>The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 14 days of three month ADV but only 3% dilution. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Nippon Prologis Reit (3283 JP) is looking to raise US$184m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire one property, namely Prologis Park Soka. 
The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 14 days of three month ADV but only 3% dilution. 
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Nippon Prologis REIT Placement - Well-Flagged and past Deals Have Performed Decently

Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pavilion-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17395:1" rel="noopener">Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK)</a> is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. </li>
<li>The proceeds will be used to partially finance its acquisition of Pavilion Bukit Jalil (PBJ) mall.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK) is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. 
The proceeds will be used to partially finance its acquisition of Pavilion Bukit Jalil (PBJ) mall.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Pavilion REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged, Has Been Expected for Some Time

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ascendas-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39:1" rel="noopener">CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP)</a> is looking to raise up to S$459m (US$344m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used for acquisition, redevelopment and debt repayment purposes. </li>
<li>The deal will be a large one to digest at 15.8 days of three month ADV and 3.9% dilution.  </li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP) is looking to raise up to S$459m (US$344m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used for acquisition, redevelopment and debt repayment purposes. 
The deal will be a large one to digest at 15.8 days of three month ADV and 3.9% dilution.  
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Capitaland Ascendas REIT Placement - Good Track Record and Most Deals Have Performed Well

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934:1" rel="noopener">ESR-LOGOS REIT (EREIT SP)</a> is looking to raise US$114m (S$150m) in a private placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and finance the redevelopment of its properties. </li>
<li>Post offering, there will also be a US$114m (S$150m) non-renounceable preferential offering, which will bring the total gross proceeds of the equity fund raising to US$228m (S$300m).</li>
<li>The deal is a relatively large one to digest at 46 days of ADV and 6.4% of current mcap. We'll talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



ESR-LOGOS REIT (EREIT SP) is looking to raise US$114m (S$150m) in a private placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and finance the redevelopment of its properties. 
Post offering, there will also be a US$114m (S$150m) non-renounceable preferential offering, which will bring the total gross proceeds of the equity fund raising to US$228m (S$300m).
The deal is a relatively large one to digest at 46 days of ADV and 6.4% of current mcap. We'll talk about the deal dynamics.


ESR-Logos REIT Placement - Implied Yield Attractive Enough to Take the Deal

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

*Another Weak Set Of Metrics: Link REIT (823.HK) [Link REIT] reported negative FY 1H21 bottom-line results of HKD 4.1 bn. While still a loss, this figure represents about 17.2% of losses (HKD 23.9 bn) posted in FY 2H20. Losses in both periods were attributed to negative fair value marks of HKD 7.3 bn and HKD 27.6 bn, respectively. While results on an operating basis were positive, the trend unfortunately remains negative for Link REIT – declining HKD 564 mn (15.1%). The poor operating results were driven by weaker Hong Kong rental income which declined HKD 186 mn (5.4%) HOH; and a HKD 55 mn (9.8%) decline in mainland Chinese property-related revenues;*Worries Abound: Weaker than expected Hong Kong retail operations leading to lower level of rental reversions; and continued negative revaluation of property due to lower rents and/or higher cap rates remain long-term risks; and*Poor Capital Management: On July 26, 2020, Link announced its proposed acquisition of a Grade A office building, The Cabot at 25 Cabot Square at Canary Wharf in London. This transaction makes little sense for Link REIT on a number of levels. Management also reiterated its 2025 target, suggesting that intends to add to the existing "core" portfolio while adding "core-plus" and "value-add" assets, which would include mainland Chinese Tier-1 cities, the United Kingdom, Australia, Singapore and Japan. Link REIT has also completed the 60 mn share buyback. Instead of weighing a buybacks return versus new investment ROI, management views share buybacks as a mechanism to defend its shares against short-selling.

*Another Weak Set Of Metrics: Link REIT (823.HK) [Link REIT] reported negative FY 1H21 bottom-line results of HKD 4.1 bn. While still a loss, this figure represents about 17.2% of losses (HKD 23.9 bn) posted in FY 2H20. Losses in both periods were attributed to negative fair value marks of HKD 7.3 bn and HKD 27.6 bn, respectively. While results on an operating basis were positive, the trend unfortunately remains negative for Link REIT – declining HKD 564 mn (15.1%). The poor operating results were driven by weaker Hong Kong rental income which declined HKD 186 mn (5.4%) HOH; and a HKD 55 mn (9.8%) decline in mainland Chinese property-related revenues;*Worries Abound: Weaker than expected Hong Kong retail operations leading to lower level of rental reversions; and continued negative revaluation of property due to lower rents and/or higher cap rates remain long-term risks; and*Poor Capital Management: On July 26, 2020, Link announced its proposed acquisition of a Grade A office building, The Cabot at 25 Cabot Square at Canary Wharf in London. This transaction makes little sense for Link REIT on a number of levels. Management also reiterated its 2025 target, suggesting that intends to add to the existing "core" portfolio while adding "core-plus" and "value-add" assets, which would include mainland Chinese Tier-1 cities, the United Kingdom, Australia, Singapore and Japan. Link REIT has also completed the 60 mn share buyback. Instead of weighing a buybacks return versus new investment ROI, management views share buybacks as a mechanism to defend its shares against short-selling.

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Homeplus REIT (HREIT KS)

Nippon Prologis REIT Placement - Well-Flagged and past Deals Have Performed Decently

Nippon Prologis Reit (3283 JP) is looking to raise US$184m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire one property, namely Prologis Park Soka.

Ethan Aw

Pavilion REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged, Has Been Expected for Some Time

Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT MK) is looking to raise up to MYR$517m (US$115m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used...

Ethan Aw

Capitaland Ascendas REIT Placement - Good Track Record and Most Deals Have Performed Well

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP) is looking to raise up to S$459m (US$344m) in its primary placement. In this note, we'll run the deal through...

Ethan Aw

ESR-Logos REIT Placement - Implied Yield Attractive Enough to Take the Deal

ESR-LOGOS REIT (EREIT SP) is looking to raise US$114m (S$150m) in a private placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and...

Ethan Aw

Link REIT – Bread and Butter Melting

LINK REIT: Almost Nothing Is Going Right For Link REIT. Rental Reversion Rates Weakening In Hong Kong; FV Marks Remain Negative; and Capital...

Thomas J. Monaco

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