Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Intel CEO Tan summoned to Washington for meetings will likely result in a bigger domestic fab push.</li>
<li>Micron beats on HBM, Kioxia on NAND - sets a good tone for memory overall.</li>
<li>NVDA selling Blackwell in China positive for substrate supplier Ibiden.</li>
</ul>


Intel CEO Tan summoned to Washington for meetings will likely result in a bigger domestic fab push.
Micron beats on HBM, Kioxia on NAND - sets a good tone for memory overall.
NVDA selling Blackwell in China positive for substrate supplier Ibiden.


Japan Morning Connection: AMD and NVDA Set to Pay 15% of China Chip Sales to US for Export Licenses

<ul>
<li>CEO Tan heading for the door should be seen as positive longer term, with his replacement likely screened by the WH.</li>
<li>Semi-Caps higher on the prospect for increased US fab capex, JP SPE was lower yesterday so expect rebound.</li>
<li>Trump's pick of Miran for temp Fed Governor addas another dovish voice to the committee as he pushes for lower rates</li>
</ul>


CEO Tan heading for the door should be seen as positive longer term, with his replacement likely screened by the WH.
Semi-Caps higher on the prospect for increased US fab capex, JP SPE was lower yesterday so expect rebound.
Trump's pick of Miran for temp Fed Governor addas another dovish voice to the committee as he pushes for lower rates


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Taking Aim at Intel's Tan as He Pushes for US Production Growth

<ul>
<li>Chipmakers with existing fabs or plans for US expansion will be exempt from the tariffs as Trump pushes his onshoring agenda.</li>
<li>Intel, AMAT, GlobalFoundries are all higher afterhours which should ultimately bide well for JP SPE suppliers.</li>
<li>Power-Semi's are increasingly important for AI which makes the WOLF/Renesas connection look increasingly attractive.</li>
</ul>


Chipmakers with existing fabs or plans for US expansion will be exempt from the tariffs as Trump pushes his onshoring agenda.
Intel, AMAT, GlobalFoundries are all higher afterhours which should ultimately bide well for JP SPE suppliers.
Power-Semi's are increasingly important for AI which makes the WOLF/Renesas connection look increasingly attractive.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Threatens 100% Chip Tariffs While Tim Cook Kisses the Ring

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 1st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,072m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Tokyo Electron, Advantest, Hitachi, SoftBank, Fujikura, Japan Tobacco, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, IHI, Shimano, Capcom, Tokyo Electron, Advantest, Hitachi, Softbank, Fujikura, Japan Tobacco.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 1st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,072m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Tokyo Electron, Advantest, Hitachi, SoftBank, Fujikura, Japan Tobacco, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, IHI, Shimano, Capcom, Tokyo Electron, Advantest, Hitachi, Softbank, Fujikura, Japan Tobacco.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 1st): Tokyo Electron, Advantest, Hitachi, SoftBank, Fujikura

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The five year data period for the September 2025 Nikkei 225 rebalance is now over (as of 31 July). First obvious news? No <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> capping.</li>
<li>That was obvious a couple months ago, and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP)</a> buying to come has been known for five months.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> Offering last month makes it more likely an ADD than it was in June (when it didn't replace NTT Data), but not a done deal.</li>
</ul>


The five year data period for the September 2025 Nikkei 225 rebalance is now over (as of 31 July). First obvious news? No Fast Retailing (9983 JP) capping.
That was obvious a couple months ago, and the BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP) buying to come has been known for five months.
The Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Offering last month makes it more likely an ADD than it was in June (when it didn't replace NTT Data), but not a done deal.


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AMD and NVDA Set to Pay 15% of China Chip Sales to US for Export Licenses

JP still needs to price in large cap tech gains in the US from Friday, Intel up after Trump's meeting with CEO Tan, positive for Ibiden if NVDA is...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Taking Aim at Intel's Tan as He Pushes for US Production Growth

CEO Tan leaving Intel could be a long term positive for the company, SPE should rebound after yesterday's weakness, US homebuilders likely to be...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Threatens 100% Chip Tariffs While Tim Cook Kisses the Ring

Trump threatenes 100% tarriffs on all chip imports, Apple announces it will invest further on US manufacturing for tariff exemptions, Japan SPE may...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 1st): Tokyo Electron, Advantest, Hitachi, SoftBank, Fujikura

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Tokyo Electron (8035 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Hitachi (6501 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings

The Nikkei 225 rebalance for September 2025 is now finalised as regards liquidity data and capping. But we don't know what sensitivity the index...

Travis Lundy

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