Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>QD Laser and other optical names may see a small lift after Barclays upgraded Lumentum to overweight on the optical hardware outlook.</li>
<li>TEL, Lasertec and Screen worth watching this week ahead of Intel earnings, with capex spending expected to come in above estimates.</li>
<li>Kioxia may catch a bid ahead of CXMT's listing on July 27, with the institutional tranche reportedly 570x oversubscribed.</li>
</ul>


QD Laser and other optical names may see a small lift after Barclays upgraded Lumentum to overweight on the optical hardware outlook.
TEL, Lasertec and Screen worth watching this week ahead of Intel earnings, with capex spending expected to come in above estimates.
Kioxia may catch a bid ahead of CXMT's listing on July 27, with the institutional tranche reportedly 570x oversubscribed.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Setup Remains Tepid but Kioxia May Catch a Bid with CXMT Oversubscribed

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>CXMT Corp is launching an IPO of 6.69 to 7.69 billion shares to raise up to 66.6 billion yuan to expand its DRAM production.</li>
<li>As the world’s fourth-largest producer of DRAM, CXMT has emerged as Beijing’s primary opportunity to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers.</li>
<li>CXMT is rapidly expanding capacity, with output projected to double by 2030.  Concurrently, the company is striving to control all four stages of chip production: design, manufacturing, testing, and packaging. </li>
</ul>


CXMT Corp is launching an IPO of 6.69 to 7.69 billion shares to raise up to 66.6 billion yuan to expand its DRAM production.
As the world’s fourth-largest producer of DRAM, CXMT has emerged as Beijing’s primary opportunity to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers.
CXMT is rapidly expanding capacity, with output projected to double by 2030.  Concurrently, the company is striving to control all four stages of chip production: design, manufacturing, testing, and packaging. 


IPO WATCH China Semiconductors: CXMT - Gaining in the DRAM Battlefield

<ul>
<li>The market should like the news that Tokyo Electron can now deliver chip gear manufacturing equipment to customers in half the time.</li>
<li>Ibiden as well as SPE majors should get a lift from NVDA's +3.7% move.</li>
<li>Kioxia may catch a bid now that Bain Capital has fully exited their stake. </li>
</ul>


The market should like the news that Tokyo Electron can now deliver chip gear manufacturing equipment to customers in half the time.
Ibiden as well as SPE majors should get a lift from NVDA's +3.7% move.
Kioxia may catch a bid now that Bain Capital has fully exited their stake. 


Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

<ul>
<li>Recent SPE winners Kokusai, Screen and TEL set to open weak but excessive drops may offer an opportunity to add.</li>
<li>A positive for Softbank if the potentially less competitive marketplace for frontier models is seen as positive for OpenAI.</li>
<li>Fujitsu and NEC may offer a safe haven after strong overnight moves for software names following Guggenheim upgrades.</li>
</ul>


Recent SPE winners Kokusai, Screen and TEL set to open weak but excessive drops may offer an opportunity to add.
A positive for Softbank if the potentially less competitive marketplace for frontier models is seen as positive for OpenAI.
Fujitsu and NEC may offer a safe haven after strong overnight moves for software names following Guggenheim upgrades.


Japan Morning Connection: SPEs Face Pullback as Meta Enters Cloud Infrastructure

<ul>
<li>May see rebounds for biggest SPE losers over the week - Lasertec -14%, Softy -19%, Rigaku -12% and JX Advanced Metals -16%.</li>
<li>Expect a strong day for the Japanese optical peers, especially Furukawa Electric and Sumitomo Electric Industries.</li>
<li>Japanese telcos may face selling pressure as SpaceX talks with Charter about a consumer mobile offering and Rocket Lab looks to build out its own telecom network.</li>
</ul>


May see rebounds for biggest SPE losers over the week - Lasertec -14%, Softy -19%, Rigaku -12% and JX Advanced Metals -16%.
Expect a strong day for the Japanese optical peers, especially Furukawa Electric and Sumitomo Electric Industries.
Japanese telcos may face selling pressure as SpaceX talks with Charter about a consumer mobile offering and Rocket Lab looks to build out its own telecom network.


Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AI Setup Remains Tepid but Kioxia May Catch a Bid with CXMT Oversubscribed

Kioxia may catch a bid on CXMT's oversubscribed IPO. TEL, Lasertec and Screen worth watching this week ahead of Intel earnings. Optical names may...

Andrew Jackson

IPO WATCH China Semiconductors: CXMT - Gaining in the DRAM Battlefield

CXMT ignited a rush among retail investors as China’s memory giant opened books for an initial public offering to raise $9.8 billion, the second...

David Mudd

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

Softbank Group may see interest today ahead of the news that OpenAI is set to release its latest version of GPT-5.6 tomorrow while news of faster...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SPEs Face Pullback as Meta Enters Cloud Infrastructure

Japanese SPEs may give back some recent gains on Meta's cloud move, though dips could offer opportunity. Space and software names may benefit from...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Memory-Exposed SPEs Primed to Rally on South Korean Semi Investment

Japanese SPEs with memory exposure set for a quarter-end rally. Furukawa and SEI in focus after Corning's breakout. Telcos face headwinds from new...

Andrew Jackson

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