Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/300750 SZ: Geely and SK Group sign cooperation agreement to deepen cooperation in batteries and components.(-/-)</li>
<li>BEKE US: PBoC urge local governments and banks to implement the affordable housing re-lending program.(+)</li>
<li>LKNCY US: Luckin expands its non-coffee drinks, selling 5.08 million cups of lemonade in a week(/)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/300750 SZ: Geely and SK Group sign cooperation agreement to deepen cooperation in batteries and components.(-/-)
BEKE US: PBoC urge local governments and banks to implement the affordable housing re-lending program.(+)
LKNCY US: Luckin expands its non-coffee drinks, selling 5.08 million cups of lemonade in a week(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;</li>
<li>If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually <strong>over-consumes</strong>, both by GDP and by individual categories;</li>
<li>If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China <strong>underconsumption</strong> becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. </li>
</ul>


Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;
If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually over-consumes, both by GDP and by individual categories;
If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China underconsumption becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH: Xiaomi to start double-shift production of the SU7 in June （+/-/-/-/-）</li>
<li>1810 HK/1211 HK/ LI US/ NIO US/ XPEV US: The data shows that only 2% of FSD12 users are converted to paying users, which is good for China's automatic driving(//////////)</li>
<li>LI US / NIO US/1810 HK :Li Auto takes the lead in sales in the 18th week of 2024, while Xiaomi continues to lag behind（/////）</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH: Xiaomi to start double-shift production of the SU7 in June （+/-/-/-/-）
1810 HK/1211 HK/ LI US/ NIO US/ XPEV US: The data shows that only 2% of FSD12 users are converted to paying users, which is good for China's automatic driving(//////////)
LI US / NIO US/1810 HK :Li Auto takes the lead in sales in the 18th week of 2024, while Xiaomi continues to lag behind（/////）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH/1211 HK/ LI US/LKNCY US

<ul>
<li>1810HK/LI:Tesla cuts prices of all series by 14,000yuan to compete with Xiaomi SU7 and LI L6,with the fomer facing long time of delivery and the latter had a mediocre start(//-)</li>
<li>LI US: LI cuts price for all series, might be due to difficulty to achieve delivery targets (/)</li>
<li>LKNCY US: New products fail to bring meaningful incremental DAU growth, bodes ill for 2Q24 sales(-)</li>
</ul>


1810HK/LI:Tesla cuts prices of all series by 14,000yuan to compete with Xiaomi SU7 and LI L6,with the fomer facing long time of delivery and the latter had a mediocre start(//-)
LI US: LI cuts price for all series, might be due to difficulty to achieve delivery targets (/)
LKNCY US: New products fail to bring meaningful incremental DAU growth, bodes ill for 2Q24 sales(-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810HK/LI US/LKNCY US/AAPL/TSM/1810 HK

<ul>
<li>XPEV US/1211 HK：Didi Autonomous Driving and GAC Aion joint venture approved to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025（///）</li>
<li>3759 HK/1548 HK/9926 HK/BGNE US/9995 HK/1801 HK：U.S. biologic drug ban may spread to more CRO companies, positive to Chinese innovative drug companies（/）</li>
<li>1810 HK/1211 HK：Lei Jun announced that more than 100,000 people have ordered Xiaomi SU7, and the number of locked orders has exceeded 40,000.（///）</li>
</ul>


XPEV US/1211 HK：Didi Autonomous Driving and GAC Aion joint venture approved to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025（///）
3759 HK/1548 HK/9926 HK/BGNE US/9995 HK/1801 HK：U.S. biologic drug ban may spread to more CRO companies, positive to Chinese innovative drug companies（/）
1810 HK/1211 HK：Lei Jun announced that more than 100,000 people have ordered Xiaomi SU7, and the number of locked orders has exceeded 40,000.（///）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV/1211 HK/3759HK/1548HK/9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/1801 HK/1810HK/LKNCY/LI/NIO/MNSO US

China

Luckin Coffee Inc. provides non-alcoholic beverages. The Company offers various types of coffee. Luckin Coffee serves customers in China.

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Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH/1211 HK/ LI US/LKNCY US

Xiaomi to start double-shift production of SU7, FSD12 users conversion rate low, Li Auto leads in sales in 18th week of 2024.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810HK/LI US/LKNCY US/AAPL/TSM/1810 HK

Tesla cuts prices of all series to compete with XiaomiSU7 and LI L6.Huawei launches new flagship featuring upgrading processors.LI cuts price,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV/1211 HK/3759HK/1548HK/9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/1801 HK/1810HK/LKNCY/LI/NIO/MNSO US

Didi and GAC Aion to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025, US biologic drug ban could benefit Chinese innovative drug companies, Xiaomi SU7...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

​Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/ZK US/NIO US/TSLA US/XPEV US/600104 SH/1211 HK/ LI US/LKNCY US

​Xiaomi to start double-shift production of SU7, FSD12 users conversion rate low, Li Auto leads in sales in 18th week of 2024.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810HK/LI US/LKNCY US/AAPL/TSM/1810 HK

​Tesla cuts prices of all series to compete with XiaomiSU7 and LI L6.Huawei launches new flagship featuring upgrading processors.LI cuts price,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV/1211 HK/3759HK/1548HK/9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/1801 HK/1810HK/LKNCY/LI/NIO/MNSO US

​Didi and GAC Aion to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025, US biologic drug ban could benefit Chinese innovative drug companies, Xiaomi SU7...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.

Xiaomi to start double-shift production of SU7, FSD12 users conversion rate low, Li Auto leads in sales in 18th week of 2024.

Tesla cuts prices of all series to compete with XiaomiSU7 and LI L6.Huawei launches new flagship featuring upgrading processors.LI cuts price,...

Didi and GAC Aion to launch first commercial L4 model in 2025, US biologic drug ban could benefit Chinese innovative drug companies, Xiaomi SU7...