Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SMCI (bad)and AMD (good) numbers failing to lift the mood AH with CEO’s of GS, MS, Capital Group calling for a correction.</li>
<li>Lasertec, Advantest, TEL and Kokusai likely to wobble at the open, but it may be too early for dip-buying yet.</li>
<li>Nintendo posts impressive numbers and guidance looks obviously conservative with the NSW2 set to be their best selling console ever.</li>
</ul>


SMCI (bad)and AMD (good) numbers failing to lift the mood AH with CEO’s of GS, MS, Capital Group calling for a correction.
Lasertec, Advantest, TEL and Kokusai likely to wobble at the open, but it may be too early for dip-buying yet.
Nintendo posts impressive numbers and guidance looks obviously conservative with the NSW2 set to be their best selling console ever.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Takes a Hit Overnight on Renewed Calls that the AI Market Is Overheated

<ul>
<li>Decent Onsemi numbers point to a more broad-based recovery, but the end of the Nexperia disruption may be seen as negative for  Rohm and Renesas</li>
<li>Socionext +17% on Fri on Google's Willow news but likely to give it all back on poor guidance</li>
<li>SEI, TDK, Lasertec and TEL all pointing up, Screen down on timing issue</li>
</ul>


Decent Onsemi numbers point to a more broad-based recovery, but the end of the Nexperia disruption may be seen as negative for  Rohm and Renesas
Socionext +17% on Fri on Google's Willow news but likely to give it all back on poor guidance
SEI, TDK, Lasertec and TEL all pointing up, Screen down on timing issue


Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Earnings from Fri and a Strong Tape Set to Send JP Higher

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

<ul>
<li>Lam Research beat, but with 43% of revs still coming from China the market reaction is muted.</li>
<li>Japan's newly minted PM calls for defence spending 2-years ahead of schedule.</li>
<li>Samsung and S&amp;S Tech filing patents for EUV mask blanks the end for Hoya?</li>
</ul>


Lam Research beat, but with 43% of revs still coming from China the market reaction is muted.
Japan's newly minted PM calls for defence spending 2-years ahead of schedule.
Samsung and S&amp;S Tech filing patents for EUV mask blanks the end for Hoya?


Japan Morning Connection: Tesla Front Loading and IBM's Red Hat Failing to Impress Markets

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

<ul>
<li>WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.</li>
<li>We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.</li>
<li>
<strong>Most overbought: </strong>KS200, META, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Komatsu, Nikkei 225, Hitachi <strong>Most oversold: </strong>Contemporary Amperex Technology, S&amp;P/ASX200, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Zijin Mining Group Company </li>
</ul>


WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.
We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.

Most overbought: KS200, META, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Komatsu, Nikkei 225, Hitachi Most oversold: Contemporary Amperex Technology, S&amp;P/ASX200, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Zijin Mining Group Company 


WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron Ltd Unsp Adr (TOELY US)

Japan Morning Connection: AI Takes a Hit Overnight on Renewed Calls that the AI Market Is Overheated

Nintendo guidance looks conservative, with CEO comments that the NSW2 could surpass the Nintendo DS as the best selling console ever. SMCI -10% in...

Andrew Jackson

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Tesla Front Loading and IBM's Red Hat Failing to Impress Markets

Foreign Minister Moteigi's comments may lift drone companies. IBM falling after earnings may dent sentiment for the likes of Fujitsu and NEC.

Andrew Jackson

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: AI Takes a Hit Overnight on Renewed Calls that the AI Market Is Overheated

Nintendo guidance looks conservative, with CEO comments that the NSW2 could surpass the Nintendo DS as the best selling console ever. SMCI -10% in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Earnings from Fri and a Strong Tape Set to Send JP Higher

Any weakness for Screen may be an opportunity to buy. Socionext's poor earnings may lead it to give back its large gains from Friday. SEI expected...

Andrew Jackson

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Tesla Front Loading and IBM's Red Hat Failing to Impress Markets

Foreign Minister Moteigi's comments may lift drone companies. IBM falling after earnings may dent sentiment for the likes of Fujitsu and NEC.

Andrew Jackson

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti