Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 7th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$946.1 million, led by information technology, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer staples, financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, Will Semiconductor, China National Nuclear Power, Midea, Moutai, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuliangye, Inovance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 7th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$946.1 million, led by information technology, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer staples, financials, energy.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, Will Semiconductor, China National Nuclear Power, Midea, Moutai, Bank Of Jiangsu, Wuliangye, Inovance.


Northbound Flows (Jun 7th): China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, CNNP

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Based on the close of 24 May, there could be three changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a> in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27590:1" rel="noopener">COSCO SHIPPING (601919 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crrc-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:122:1" rel="noopener">CRRC (601766 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-nuclear-power-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25348:1" rel="noopener">China National NuclearPower (601985 CH)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longi-green-energy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12703:1" rel="noopener">LONGi GreenEnergy (601012 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csc-financial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27823:1" rel="noopener">CSC Financial (601066 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group DutyFree (601888 CH)</a>. </li>
<li>There are a couple of stocks that are close adds and could become adds if they outperform higher ranked stocks in trading today.</li>
</ul>


Based on the close of 24 May, there could be three changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK) in June.

COSCO SHIPPING (601919 CH), CRRC (601766 CH) and China National NuclearPower (601985 CH) could replace LONGi GreenEnergy (601012 CH), CSC Financial (601066 CH) and China Tourism Group DutyFree (601888 CH). 
There are a couple of stocks that are close adds and could become adds if they outperform higher ranked stocks in trading today.


Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 106.3% as of May 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -7.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 106.3% as of May 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -7.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 17th): 44 Stocks at 52 Week High

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's two national port companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-port-holdings-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15155:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Port (144 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-ports-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:360:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK)</a> have underperformed, but exports have picked up. We see an opportunity here.</li>
<li>With a 9.2% increase in container throughput, CSPL even down by 4.8% YTD, underperformed CMPH by 12.9pp. There is room for it to catch up.</li>
<li>CSPL is also cheaper at 7x and 6.3x PERs for the next two years, making it more attractive on a relative basis.</li>
</ul>


China's two national port companies China Merchants Port (144 HK) and Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK) have underperformed, but exports have picked up. We see an opportunity here.
With a 9.2% increase in container throughput, CSPL even down by 4.8% YTD, underperformed CMPH by 12.9pp. There is room for it to catch up.
CSPL is also cheaper at 7x and 6.3x PERs for the next two years, making it more attractive on a relative basis.


China Port Pair Opportunity: COSCO Shipping Ports Vs. China Merchants Port

Orient Overseas International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a> saw 27.2% QoQ freight rate uptick in 1Q24. This is a positive start and we should not be too concerned about the 12% YoY decline.</li>
<li>Its overall load factor also expanded 0.9pp YoY in the quarter, and this is the first YoY improvement since 2Q22. A better utilisation level is good for unit costs.</li>
<li>At end-FY23, net cash equals 62.4% of the share price, dragging ROE to 7.5% for the next three years. But with such solid financials, its 0.7x P/B is not expensive.</li>
</ul>



Orient Overseas International (316 HK) saw 27.2% QoQ freight rate uptick in 1Q24. This is a positive start and we should not be too concerned about the 12% YoY decline.
Its overall load factor also expanded 0.9pp YoY in the quarter, and this is the first YoY improvement since 2Q22. A better utilisation level is good for unit costs.
At end-FY23, net cash equals 62.4% of the share price, dragging ROE to 7.5% for the next three years. But with such solid financials, its 0.7x P/B is not expensive.


Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Spotting Initial Signs of Recovery

China

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd offers marine freight transportation services.  The Company offers container shipping, dry bulk shipping, logistics services, freight forwarding, and terminal and container leasing services internationally.  COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd operates container ships and terminals, and manufactures shipping containers.

Price Gauge
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COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919 HK)

Northbound Flows (Jun 7th): China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, CNNP

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today

There could be 3 changes for 2823HK/2822HK in June. Today is the price cutoff and there are a couple of close adds. Impact is not very large but...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (May 17th): 44 Stocks at 52 Week High

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Port Pair Opportunity: COSCO Shipping Ports Vs. China Merchants Port

China's national port companies, CMPH and CSPL, have underperformed but with recovering throughput, there is an opportunity. CSPL is cheaper at 7x...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Spotting Initial Signs of Recovery

OOIL shows a QoQ freight rate uptick at 27.2% in 1Q24, with the load factor improving 0.9pp YoY. Given that 62.4% of the stock price is net cash,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Jun 7th): China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology, CNNP

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Jinko Solar, Naura Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today

There could be 3 changes for 2823HK/2822HK in June. Today is the price cutoff and there are a couple of close adds. Impact is not very large but...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (May 17th): 44 Stocks at 52 Week High

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Port Pair Opportunity: COSCO Shipping Ports Vs. China Merchants Port

​China's national port companies, CMPH and CSPL, have underperformed but with recovering throughput, there is an opportunity. CSPL is cheaper at 7x...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Spotting Initial Signs of Recovery

​OOIL shows a QoQ freight rate uptick at 27.2% in 1Q24, with the load factor improving 0.9pp YoY. Given that 62.4% of the stock price is net cash,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China's national port companies, CMPH and CSPL, have underperformed but with recovering throughput, there is an opportunity. CSPL is cheaper at 7x...

OOIL shows a QoQ freight rate uptick at 27.2% in 1Q24, with the load factor improving 0.9pp YoY. Given that 62.4% of the stock price is net cash,...