Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SOX rallied +4% off its lows with a host of positive earnings including Qorvo, Western Digital and Seagate.</li>
<li>Bigger than expected capex plans for Meta positive for Japan SPE to start.</li>
<li>Tokyo Electron numbers yesterday were inline but show less reliance on China sales.</li>
</ul>


SOX rallied +4% off its lows with a host of positive earnings including Qorvo, Western Digital and Seagate.
Bigger than expected capex plans for Meta positive for Japan SPE to start.
Tokyo Electron numbers yesterday were inline but show less reliance on China sales.


Japan Morning Connection: US Markets Go Risk-On Shrugging off Earlier SMCI Weakness

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<ul>
<li>The Japanese fashion e-commerce market is undergoing rapid transformation: while online sales continue to grow, the channel’s share of total fashion sales has fluctuated due to strong in-store performance.</li>
<li>Even the best exemplars of effective integration of online and offline and personalised marketing have seen e-commerce share fall as physical store sales have risen faster for many. </li>
<li>Omnichannel models continue to evolve, with great examples of deeper integration of stores and digital through staff activities like blogging and Live Commerce.</li>
</ul>


The Japanese fashion e-commerce market is undergoing rapid transformation: while online sales continue to grow, the channel’s share of total fashion sales has fluctuated due to strong in-store performance.
Even the best exemplars of effective integration of online and offline and personalised marketing have seen e-commerce share fall as physical store sales have risen faster for many. 
Omnichannel models continue to evolve, with great examples of deeper integration of stores and digital through staff activities like blogging and Live Commerce.


Fashion E-Commerce in Japan: Stores Are Key Too

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A year after Couche-Tard withdrew its bid, Seven &amp; I is still searching for new growth, leading to some speculation of closer ties with Familymart. </li>
<li>Over the summer, it pulled out of an attempt to expand in Europe, and watched franchisee profits fall for a second year.</li>
<li>Having sold 6.6% of itself to SoftBank, PayPay and Sumitomo Mitsui Card, it is now hoping to buy a retail media future. It won't be enough.</li>
</ul>


A year after Couche-Tard withdrew its bid, Seven &amp; I is still searching for new growth, leading to some speculation of closer ties with Familymart. 
Over the summer, it pulled out of an attempt to expand in Europe, and watched franchisee profits fall for a second year.
Having sold 6.6% of itself to SoftBank, PayPay and Sumitomo Mitsui Card, it is now hoping to buy a retail media future. It won't be enough.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>I overlooked one detail in the Sep26 rebal announcement which, when discovered, changed my outlook on the March 2027 Nikkei 225 rebalance. </li>
<li>Unfortunately, the implied changes cannot be confirmed yet. It may be possible to get some greater confirmation in October. </li>
<li>But the implied changes signal a different pattern of ADDs and DELETEs. And a few stocks stand out. </li>
</ul>


I overlooked one detail in the Sep26 rebal announcement which, when discovered, changed my outlook on the March 2027 Nikkei 225 rebalance. 
Unfortunately, the implied changes cannot be confirmed yet. It may be possible to get some greater confirmation in October. 
But the implied changes signal a different pattern of ADDs and DELETEs. And a few stocks stand out. 


[Quiddity Index] CORRECTION: Advance Look at Mar27 Nikkei 225 Rebal; Info & Comms Rules The Roost

<ul>
<li>Huge print from ASML set a positive tone, but the potential for tighter NVDA restrictions weighed on sentiment.</li>
<li>Big selling for Corning off the highs as guidance not enough to justify the run... may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukawa.</li>
<li>Strong numbers from Advantest will also help sentiment for Japan SPE.</li>
</ul>


Huge print from ASML set a positive tone, but the potential for tighter NVDA restrictions weighed on sentiment.
Big selling for Corning off the highs as guidance not enough to justify the run... may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukawa.
Strong numbers from Advantest will also help sentiment for Japan SPE.


Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

Japan

Rakuten Group, Inc. provides Internet services. The Company offers Internet finance services which including "Rakuten Card" and "Rakuten Bank". Rakuten Group also provides digital content services including electronic book services.

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Rakuten (4755 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: US Markets Go Risk-On Shrugging off Earlier SMCI Weakness

SOX rallied with positive earnings from Qorvo, Western Digital, and Seagate. Japan SPE benefits from Meta's capex plans. Tokyo Electron shows less...

Andrew Jackson

Fashion E-Commerce in Japan: Stores Are Key Too

Japanese fashion e-commerce market sees growth, but in-store sales outpace online, challenging even top omnichannel strategies. Staff engagement...

Michael Causton

Seven & I: Where Is the Growth?

Seven & I is showing worrying signs of low morale in recent quarters. It has lost out in a bid for a major base in Poland to ACT and back home,...

Michael Causton

[Quiddity Index] CORRECTION: Advance Look at Mar27 Nikkei 225 Rebal; Info & Comms Rules The Roost

A misread of the Sep26 rebal announcement led me down a wrong path. The path is now corrected, but the path is still shrouded in fog. That fog may...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: US Markets Go Risk-On Shrugging off Earlier SMCI Weakness

SOX rallied with positive earnings from Qorvo, Western Digital, and Seagate. Japan SPE benefits from Meta's capex plans. Tokyo Electron shows less...

Andrew Jackson

Fashion E-Commerce in Japan: Stores Are Key Too

​Japanese fashion e-commerce market sees growth, but in-store sales outpace online, challenging even top omnichannel strategies. Staff engagement...

Michael Causton

Seven & I: Where Is the Growth?

Seven & I is showing worrying signs of low morale in recent quarters. It has lost out in a bid for a major base in Poland to ACT and back home,...

Michael Causton

[Quiddity Index] CORRECTION: Advance Look at Mar27 Nikkei 225 Rebal; Info & Comms Rules The Roost

A misread of the Sep26 rebal announcement led me down a wrong path. The path is now corrected, but the path is still shrouded in fog. That fog may...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

​ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....

Andrew Jackson

Japanese fashion e-commerce market sees growth, but in-store sales outpace online, challenging even top omnichannel strategies. Staff engagement...

ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....