Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> as part of the March rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2-3 changes at the review.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have massively outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei225 Index</a> over every time period going back 3 months with the largest outperformance in the last month.</li>
<li>Positioning appears to be stretched in one forecast add while there appears to be under positioning in a couple of the forecast deletes.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) as part of the March rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2-3 changes at the review.
The forecast adds have massively outperformed the forecast deletes and the Nikkei225 Index over every time period going back 3 months with the largest outperformance in the last month.
Positioning appears to be stretched in one forecast add while there appears to be under positioning in a couple of the forecast deletes.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>China smartphone market in 4Q 2024 expected to see growth, intensifying competition among top brands.</li><li>GlobalWafers remains stable despite uncertainty around US CHIPS Act funding.</li><li>Yageo surprises with Shibaura Electronics takeover bid, Foxconn proposes partnership with Nissan, Forces Mos wins patent case against Asus.</li></ul>

China smartphone market in 4Q 2024 expected to see growth, intensifying competition among top brands.GlobalWafers remains stable despite uncertainty around US CHIPS Act funding.Yageo surprises with Shibaura Electronics takeover bid, Foxconn proposes partnership with Nissan, Forces Mos wins patent case against Asus.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Feb-2025): China smartphone market, 4Q '24

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL)</a>, one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise at least US$5bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about updates from its most recent filings.</li>
</ul>



Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise at least US$5bn in its H-share listing.
CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research. Its A-shares have been listed since 2018.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about updates from its most recent filings.


Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Softbank racking up big losses in 3Q but market looking to Stargate.</li>
<li>Japanese cosmetics names continue to struggle with Kose missing after Shiseido the day before.</li>
<li>Toray's -12% drop yesterday looks excessive given the overall outlook remains buoyant.</li>
</ul>


Softbank racking up big losses in 3Q but market looking to Stargate.
Japanese cosmetics names continue to struggle with Kose missing after Shiseido the day before.
Toray's -12% drop yesterday looks excessive given the overall outlook remains buoyant.


Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape but Gains for Names to Benefit from a US Focused AI Industry

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank Group, Bharti Airtel</li>
<li>In the US, the January nonfarm payrolls came in below estimates at 143 k (175 k e / 307 k revised p). That said, payrolls for December were revised upwards to 307 k (from 256 k), with the two-month revision rising to 100 k (from negative 8 k).</li>
<li>The average hourly earnings in January increased to 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p), and stood at 4.1% y-o-y (3.8% e / 4.1% revised p). The unemployment rate declined to 4.0% in the same month (4.1% e / 4.1% p).</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank Group, Bharti Airtel
In the US, the January nonfarm payrolls came in below estimates at 143 k (175 k e / 307 k revised p). That said, payrolls for December were revised upwards to 307 k (from 256 k), with the two-month revision rising to 100 k (from negative 8 k).
The average hourly earnings in January increased to 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p), and stood at 4.1% y-o-y (3.8% e / 4.1% revised p). The unemployment rate declined to 4.0% in the same month (4.1% e / 4.1% p).


Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

The forecast adds have strongly outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month. Positioning appears stretched in 1 add while there is under...

Brian Freitas

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Feb-2025): China smartphone market, 4Q '24

China's smartphone market is growing, GlobalWafers remains stable, quantum computing advances, Yageo bids for Shibaura Electronics, Foxconn...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

CATL A/H Listing - IPO Filing Updates

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise at least US$5bn in its H-share...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape but Gains for Names to Benefit from a US Focused AI Industry

Softbank faces significant losses but market will focus on Stargate. Kose follows Shiseido's miss. Toray's drop seems excessive given overall...

Andrew Jackson

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank...

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

The forecast adds have strongly outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month. Positioning appears stretched in 1 add while there is under...

Brian Freitas

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (15-Feb-2025): China smartphone market, 4Q '24

China's smartphone market is growing, GlobalWafers remains stable, quantum computing advances, Yageo bids for Shibaura Electronics, Foxconn...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

CATL A/H Listing - IPO Filing Updates

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), one of the world’s largest battery solutions providers, aims to raise at least US$5bn in its H-share...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape but Gains for Names to Benefit from a US Focused AI Industry

​Softbank faces significant losses but market will focus on Stargate. Kose follows Shiseido's miss. Toray's drop seems excessive given overall...

Andrew Jackson

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank...

Lucror Analytics

Softbank faces significant losses but market will focus on Stargate. Kose follows Shiseido's miss. Toray's drop seems excessive given overall...