Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> is seeing solid short-term momentum, bolstered by asset sales and AI-led strategic narratives. Key triggers to monitor: deleveraging moves, AI investment updates, and broader macro sentiment.</li>
<li>The stock is very overbought according to our WEEKLY model, there could be a pullback soon.</li>
<li>Another perspective: what if this is just a bold rebound rally—and the next move takes SoftBank back down toward the 5,000 level? Just an hypothesis worth considering.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) is seeing solid short-term momentum, bolstered by asset sales and AI-led strategic narratives. Key triggers to monitor: deleveraging moves, AI investment updates, and broader macro sentiment.
The stock is very overbought according to our WEEKLY model, there could be a pullback soon.
Another perspective: what if this is just a bold rebound rally—and the next move takes SoftBank back down toward the 5,000 level? Just an hypothesis worth considering.


SoftBank (9984 JP) Is Flying High, But It May Be Time to Take Some Off the Table

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group</li>
<li>In the US, the FOMC has unanimously voted to maintain the Fed Funds target rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50%, in line with market expectations. In its statement, the FOMC noted that “uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased”, removing previous language that the risks to achieving employment and inflation goals are “roughly in balance”.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the Fed dot plot showed that the US central bank's officials continue to see a median of two 25-bp rate cuts in 2025, two cuts in 2026 and one in 2027, with the long-run Fed funds rate unchanged at 3.0%.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group
In the US, the FOMC has unanimously voted to maintain the Fed Funds target rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50%, in line with market expectations. In its statement, the FOMC noted that “uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased”, removing previous language that the risks to achieving employment and inflation goals are “roughly in balance”.
Meanwhile, the Fed dot plot showed that the US central bank's officials continue to see a median of two 25-bp rate cuts in 2025, two cuts in 2026 and one in 2027, with the long-run Fed funds rate unchanged at 3.0%.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> has lost nearly 18% of its stock value since February 7th. <strong>The stock has been falling for 4 weeks, our model indicates a very oversold condition.</strong>
</li>
<li>SoftBank's has a number of strategic investments and initiatives that make it an attractive investment.</li>
<li>Below, we outline key fundamental factors that align with our quantitative model’s view, suggesting <strong>the stock is oversold and could be a compelling buy at its current price. </strong>
</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) has lost nearly 18% of its stock value since February 7th. The stock has been falling for 4 weeks, our model indicates a very oversold condition.

SoftBank's has a number of strategic investments and initiatives that make it an attractive investment.
Below, we outline key fundamental factors that align with our quantitative model’s view, suggesting the stock is oversold and could be a compelling buy at its current price. 



Bottom Fishing: SoftBank (9984 JP) Looks Attractive After -18% Drop

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Global capital flowing into Australian logistics market as it reaches turning point, attracting investments.</li><li>Japan REIT makes deals in Tokyo, buying Tokyo Tower for $120M and selling office block for $62M.</li><li>CapitaLand India Trust acquires Bengaluru offices for $170M after project funding, expanding its portfolio.</li></ul>

Global capital flowing into Australian logistics market as it reaches turning point, attracting investments.Japan REIT makes deals in Tokyo, buying Tokyo Tower for $120M and selling office block for $62M.CapitaLand India Trust acquires Bengaluru offices for $170M after project funding, expanding its portfolio.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Feb-2025): Global capital flows boost Australian logistics market.

Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

<ul>
<li>Softbank's investment in Arm, valued at around USD 148 billion, is its new NAV driver, after its 300% rally post its IPO.</li>
<li>Despite an ongoing share buyback and an LTV near 12.9%, Softbank is still trading around a 59% discount to its net asset value. </li>
<li>Softbank looks like a good proxy for investing in Arm and being long Softbank and Short Arm looks like reasonable risk/reward at current levels. </li>
</ul>


Softbank's investment in Arm, valued at around USD 148 billion, is its new NAV driver, after its 300% rally post its IPO.
Despite an ongoing share buyback and an LTV near 12.9%, Softbank is still trading around a 59% discount to its net asset value. 
Softbank looks like a good proxy for investing in Arm and being long Softbank and Short Arm looks like reasonable risk/reward at current levels. 


Softbank (9984) Is Trading Cheap, And That Could Be An Opportunity

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

SoftBank (9984 JP) Is Flying High, But It May Be Time to Take Some Off the Table

Softbank Group (9984 JP) shows strong short-term momentum, but may face a pullback soon. Several catalysts may trigger it - our view is based...

Nico Rosti

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group In the US, the FOMC has...

Lucror Analytics

Bottom Fishing: SoftBank (9984 JP) Looks Attractive After -18% Drop

Softbank Group's stock has dropped 18% since February 7th: our model indicates it is very oversold and could be a compelling bottom fishing...

Nico Rosti

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Feb-2025): Global capital flows boost Australian logistics market.

Major investments and partnerships in the logistics, real estate, and rental housing sectors across Australia, Tokyo, Bengaluru, Hong Kong, and...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Softbank (9984) Is Trading Cheap, And That Could Be An Opportunity

Softbank Group is trading around a 59% discount to NAV. For exposure to the AI opportunity or to take advantage of elevated valuations of Arm...

Finimize Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SoftBank (9984 JP) Is Flying High, But It May Be Time to Take Some Off the Table

​Softbank Group (9984 JP) shows strong short-term momentum, but may face a pullback soon. Several catalysts may trigger it - our view is based...

Nico Rosti

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group In the US, the FOMC has...

Lucror Analytics

Bottom Fishing: SoftBank (9984 JP) Looks Attractive After -18% Drop

​Softbank Group's stock has dropped 18% since February 7th: our model indicates it is very oversold and could be a compelling bottom fishing...

Nico Rosti

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Feb-2025): Global capital flows boost Australian logistics market.

Major investments and partnerships in the logistics, real estate, and rental housing sectors across Australia, Tokyo, Bengaluru, Hong Kong, and...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Softbank (9984) Is Trading Cheap, And That Could Be An Opportunity

Softbank Group is trading around a 59% discount to NAV. For exposure to the AI opportunity or to take advantage of elevated valuations of Arm...

Finimize Research

Softbank Group (9984 JP) shows strong short-term momentum, but may face a pullback soon. Several catalysts may trigger it - our view is based...

Softbank Group's stock has dropped 18% since February 7th: our model indicates it is very oversold and could be a compelling bottom fishing...