Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> wants to buy 20% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener">BASE (4477 JP)</a> out of 46.7% likely available. That's unlikely at ¥340; they'll have to bump to get those shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/continental-aerospace-technologies-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15249:1" rel="noopener">Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)</a> has played out nicely. There's still money on the table - just a question mark on timing for the distribution from "surplus cash".</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-chemical-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12781:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Chemical (4188 JP)</a>'s turnaround narrative sees it trading rich (implied stub &amp; simple ratio) to ~51%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-sanso-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15756:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Sanso Holdings (4091 JP)</a>'s steady-as-you-go narrative.</li>
</ul>



SBI Holdings (8473 JP) wants to buy 20% of BASE (4477 JP) out of 46.7% likely available. That's unlikely at ¥340; they'll have to bump to get those shares.

Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK) has played out nicely. There's still money on the table - just a question mark on timing for the distribution from "surplus cash".

Mitsubishi Chemical (4188 JP)'s turnaround narrative sees it trading rich (implied stub &amp; simple ratio) to ~51%-held Nippon Sanso Holdings (4091 JP)'s steady-as-you-go narrative.


Last Week In Event SPACE: SBI/BASE, Con Aero Tech, Mitsubishi Chem/Nippon Sanso, Swire Pac, Jollibee

Guotai Junan International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For August 2026, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$7bn.</li>
<li>
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in August was ~33%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For August 2026, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$7bn.

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in August was ~33%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [August 2026 Wrap]: Baudroie, EQT, Guotai Junan, Peet, Reliance Worldwide, Yinson

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated short interest is USD493m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Inari Amertron, Datasonic, Sunway Real Estate Investment Trust, Petronas Chemicals, YTL.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated short interest is USD493m.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Inari Amertron, Datasonic, Sunway Real Estate Investment Trust, Petronas Chemicals, YTL.


Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Jul 17th): Inari Amertron, Datasonic, Petronas Chemicals, YTL

<ul>
<li>I tally 30 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tourism-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2787:1" rel="noopener">Tourism Holdings (THL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kodensha-co-ltd-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2741:1" rel="noopener">Kodensha Co (1948 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-dry-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13528:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Dry Chemical (1909 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qoria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30531:1" rel="noopener">Qoria (QOR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/magnetic-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17051:1" rel="noopener">Magnetic Resources Nl (MAU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guocoland-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16496:1" rel="noopener">Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 30 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Tourism Holdings (THL NZ), Kodensha Co (1948 JP), and Nippon Dry Chemical (1909 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Atlas Arteria (ALX AU), Qoria (QOR AU), Magnetic Resources Nl (MAU AU), China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK), and Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK).


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Atlas Arteria, Tourism Hold., Kodensha, Qoria, Shengmu, Guocoland Malaysia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-dry-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13528:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Dry Chemical (1909 JP)</a> is an obvious bolt-on for ALSOK. There's probably no better buyer. They are also cash-rich, and they're buying this at 10+x EBITDA. That's probably OK.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison (1 HK)</a> is reportedly exploring a dual-listing of AS Watson (Hong Kong &amp; London), amid ongoing asset (ports/telcos/supermarket (?)) sales. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a> goes all in - and in a new direction - with a A$2.45bn bid for I-MED Radiology Network.</li>
</ul>



Nippon Dry Chemical (1909 JP) is an obvious bolt-on for ALSOK. There's probably no better buyer. They are also cash-rich, and they're buying this at 10+x EBITDA. That's probably OK.

CK Hutchison (1 HK) is reportedly exploring a dual-listing of AS Watson (Hong Kong &amp; London), amid ongoing asset (ports/telcos/supermarket (?)) sales. 

Jardine Matheson (JM SP) goes all in - and in a new direction - with a A$2.45bn bid for I-MED Radiology Network.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Nippon Dry Chemical, CK Hutch, Jardine Matheson, Qoria, EOFlow

Malaysia

Yinson Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides offshore support services such as trading and logistics to the upstream oil and gas sector. Yinson Holdings' business also includes commodity trading.

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Yinson Holdings (YNS MK)

Last Week In Event SPACE: SBI/BASE, Con Aero Tech, Mitsubishi Chem/Nippon Sanso, Swire Pac, Jollibee

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A [August 2026 Wrap]: Baudroie, EQT, Guotai Junan, Peet, Reliance Worldwide, Yinson

For the month of August, 13 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$7bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (Jul 17th): Inari Amertron, Datasonic, Petronas Chemicals, YTL

We analyzed Bursa Malaysia short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Inari Amertron, Datasonic, Sunway Real...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Atlas Arteria, Tourism Hold., Kodensha, Qoria, Shengmu, Guocoland Malaysia

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Nippon Dry Chemical, CK Hutch, Jardine Matheson, Qoria, EOFlow

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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