Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Postal price hike approved  swinging the Post business from a loss to a profit</li>
<li>Cancellation of 7.36% of outstanding shares from the latest buyback</li>
<li>Management Plan to be released in May will provide further details on improving ROE and PB</li>
</ul>


Postal price hike approved  swinging the Post business from a loss to a profit
Cancellation of 7.36% of outstanding shares from the latest buyback
Management Plan to be released in May will provide further details on improving ROE and PB


Japan Post Holdings Update (6178.JP)- Catalysts to Be Delivered

<ul>
<li>A company that is geared to Japan's macro revival with additional micro catalysts. </li>
<li>Ownership of financial companies which are set to benefit from a normalisation of Japanese monetary policy.</li>
<li>The low Price to Book means the company will need to keep up momentum on its capital management plans to  stay in the Prime Section of Topix.</li>
</ul>


A company that is geared to Japan's macro revival with additional micro catalysts. 
Ownership of financial companies which are set to benefit from a normalisation of Japanese monetary policy.
The low Price to Book means the company will need to keep up momentum on its capital management plans to  stay in the Prime Section of Topix.


Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) - Going Places!

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The TSE went through a multi-year period of planning a "<a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/market-restructure/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Market Restructuring</a>" which ended on 4 April 2022 as the TSE split into three Sections, TSE Prime, Standard, and Growth.</li>
<li>After that, the TSE formed a "Council of Experts" (<a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/improvements/follow-up/b5b4pj000004yqcc-att/follow-up_member_en.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">some very senior people</a>) that would <a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/improvements/follow-up/b5b4pj000004yqcc-att/follow-up_market_e.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">follow up</a> on the changes, and recommend new measures.  In January, new rule proposals dropped.</li>
<li>There was <a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/improvements/follow-up/b5b4pj000004yqcc-att/dreu250000000uqc.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">talk</a> of a hard end to the transition period. Also, the Council harped on Awareness of Capital Cost and Efficiency. Most notably, for companies with PBR &lt; 1.</li>
</ul>


The TSE went through a multi-year period of planning a "Market Restructuring" which ended on 4 April 2022 as the TSE split into three Sections, TSE Prime, Standard, and Growth.
After that, the TSE formed a "Council of Experts" (some very senior people) that would follow up on the changes, and recommend new measures.  In January, new rule proposals dropped.
There was talk of a hard end to the transition period. Also, the Council harped on Awareness of Capital Cost and Efficiency. Most notably, for companies with PBR &lt; 1.


Japan's Governance Changes I - The PBR 1.0 Target

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, a number of deals were launched in India, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> will list in the coming week.</li>
<li>On the placement front, the two deals in Australia, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/worleyparsons-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:178:1" rel="noopener">WorleyParsons Ltd (WOR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/endeavour-group-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33512:1" rel="noopener">Endeavour Group /Australia (EDV AU)</a> delivered opposing results.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, a number of deals were launched in India, while HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) will list in the coming week.
On the placement front, the two deals in Australia, WorleyParsons Ltd (WOR AU) and Endeavour Group /Australia (EDV AU) delivered opposing results.


ECM Weekly (6th May 2024) - Aadhar, Indegene, TBO Tek, Super Hi, China Resources Bev, Honasa, Worley

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Japan Post revised up NP guidance significantly with the post office business seeing a NP guidance boost of ¥60bn to ¥80bn.</li>
<li>The real star of the show though was Japan Post Bank where improving net interest income saw a significant boost to NP guidance and the dividend.</li>
<li>Japan Post Insurance did not revise up but is tracking to generate a YoY NP increase rather than the fall it has guided for.</li>
</ul>


Japan Post revised up NP guidance significantly with the post office business seeing a NP guidance boost of ¥60bn to ¥80bn.
The real star of the show though was Japan Post Bank where improving net interest income saw a significant boost to NP guidance and the dividend.
Japan Post Insurance did not revise up but is tracking to generate a YoY NP increase rather than the fall it has guided for.


Japan Post – Big Upward Revision Should Get Bigger

Japan

Japan Post Holdings Co. Ltd. operates post stations, banks, and insurance business. The Company offers letters and goods transportation services, stamp sales, deposits, loans, and insurance products.

Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)

Japan Post Holdings Update (6178.JP)- Catalysts to Be Delivered

Postage price hike approved swinging postal division to profit from loss. Cancellation of shares and announcement of the next management plan in...

Rikki Malik

Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) - Going Places!

A company positioned for Japan's economic recovery, benefiting from financial sector ownership and capital management plans to increase its Value.

Rikki Malik

Japan's Governance Changes I - The PBR 1.0 Target

Japan's powers that be - the TSE and now the Finance Ministry - are targeting listcos with PBRs of less than 1.0x. That will mean they will be...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (6th May 2024) - Aadhar, Indegene, TBO Tek, Super Hi, China Resources Bev, Honasa, Worley

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Japan Post – Big Upward Revision Should Get Bigger

Japan Post Holdings 2Q results should highlight to investors that guidance is absurdly conservative and improving net interest income at the bank...

Mio Kato

Japan Post Holdings Update (6178.JP)- Catalysts to Be Delivered

Postage price hike approved swinging postal division to profit from loss. Cancellation of shares and announcement of the next management plan in...

Rikki Malik

Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) - Going Places!

​A company positioned for Japan's economic recovery, benefiting from financial sector ownership and capital management plans to increase its Value.

Rikki Malik

Japan's Governance Changes I - The PBR 1.0 Target

Japan's powers that be - the TSE and now the Finance Ministry - are targeting listcos with PBRs of less than 1.0x. That will mean they will be...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (6th May 2024) - Aadhar, Indegene, TBO Tek, Super Hi, China Resources Bev, Honasa, Worley

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Japan Post – Big Upward Revision Should Get Bigger

Japan Post Holdings 2Q results should highlight to investors that guidance is absurdly conservative and improving net interest income at the bank...

Mio Kato

A company positioned for Japan's economic recovery, benefiting from financial sector ownership and capital management plans to increase its Value.