HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Stocks with the best growth are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-goldwind-science-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10112:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-equipment-intl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11104:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">CTG Duty Free (1880 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK)</a>.. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">CNBM (3323 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric (2727 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods (2648 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-ports-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:360:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> may upgrade. </li>
</ul>


Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.
Stocks with the best growth are Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK), Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK), Dongfang Electric (1072 HK), CTG Duty Free (1880 HK), and Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK).. 

CICC (3908 HK), CNBM (3323 HK), Shanghai Electric (2727 HK), Sinotrans (598 HK), Anjoy Foods (2648 HK), Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK), and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) may upgrade. 


China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.1% as of Oct 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Southern Airlines.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.1% as of Oct 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Southern Airlines.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 17th): Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Oct 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC, CIMC, Gf Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Oct 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC, CIMC, Gf Securities.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 10th): Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, CHINA VANKE, ZIJIN MINING, TONGWEI, CSCE, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, TCL TECHNOLOGY, Zijin Mining, Tcl Technology, China Vanke.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, CHINA VANKE, ZIJIN MINING, TONGWEI, CSCE, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, TCL TECHNOLOGY, Zijin Mining, Tcl Technology, China Vanke.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Aug): CAMBRICON, CHINA VANKE, ZIJIN MINING, TONGWEI

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two days after announcing its 2025 interims, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/holcim-ltd-7f60ceaa-51af-4f85-ac5f-114595eb04f3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27916:1" rel="noopener">Holcim (HOLN SW)</a></strong>-backed <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaxin-cement-co-ltd-54d3868f-43a8-4bc6-bc11-d006fc44b37e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36079:1" rel="noopener">Huaxin Cement (6655 HK)</a></strong> proposed spinning off its overseas cement assets.</li>
<li>The overseas ops, predominantly located in Africa, significantly outperformed the PRC ops in FY24, a trend that continued into 2025. </li>
<li>No preferred bourse was stipulated, although the HKEx appears the logical choice. Pegged to historical trading metrics, Huaxin appears fully valued here.</li>
</ul>


Two days after announcing its 2025 interims, Holcim (HOLN SW)-backed Huaxin Cement (6655 HK) proposed spinning off its overseas cement assets.
The overseas ops, predominantly located in Africa, significantly outperformed the PRC ops in FY24, a trend that continued into 2025. 
No preferred bourse was stipulated, although the HKEx appears the logical choice. Pegged to historical trading metrics, Huaxin appears fully valued here.


Huaxin Cement (6655 HK): Floats Non-Chinese Ops Spin-Off

China

Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited manufactures cement products. The Company produces silicate cements, slag silicate cements, composite silicate cements, cement clinkers, and other products. Anhui Conch Cement Cement markets its products throughout China and worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Anhui Conch Cement (600585 CH)

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 17th): Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 10th): Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Aug): CAMBRICON, CHINA VANKE, ZIJIN MINING, TONGWEI

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES (688256 CH), CHINA VANKE (000002 CH), ZIJIN...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Huaxin Cement (6655 HK): Floats Non-Chinese Ops Spin-Off

A spin-off makes sense as the outperformance of the overseas ops are weighed down by the underperformance of the domestic ops. Metrics appear full...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

​Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 17th): Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 10th): Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai Electric, SMIC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping Development, Innocare Pharma, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Aug): CAMBRICON, CHINA VANKE, ZIJIN MINING, TONGWEI

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES (688256 CH), CHINA VANKE (000002 CH), ZIJIN...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Huaxin Cement (6655 HK): Floats Non-Chinese Ops Spin-Off

A spin-off makes sense as the outperformance of the overseas ops are weighed down by the underperformance of the domestic ops. Metrics appear full...

David Blennerhassett

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...