Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>I think most (value) investors go through four stages: Stage 0: Buy stuff that goes up. Especially when a lot of people around you get rich from doing it.</li>
<li>Stage 1: Invest in the future! Buy into some fancy exciting new technology that will become big some day! The Cathie Wood stage. Usually stage 1 and stage 0 go hand in hand.</li>
<li>Stage 2: Buy at low PE multiples. Some are smart and skip the first two. This stage is not bad, it should lead to slight outperformance. Can be dangerous without wide diversification as a lot of them are value traps.</li>
</ul>


I think most (value) investors go through four stages: Stage 0: Buy stuff that goes up. Especially when a lot of people around you get rich from doing it.
Stage 1: Invest in the future! Buy into some fancy exciting new technology that will become big some day! The Cathie Wood stage. Usually stage 1 and stage 0 go hand in hand.
Stage 2: Buy at low PE multiples. Some are smart and skip the first two. This stage is not bad, it should lead to slight outperformance. Can be dangerous without wide diversification as a lot of them are value traps.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 28 based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were 3Sbio Inc. (1530 HK), China Gas (384 HK), Hygeia Healthcare (6078 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), 3Sbio (1530 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 28 based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were 3Sbio Inc. (1530 HK), China Gas (384 HK), Hygeia Healthcare (6078 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), 3Sbio (1530 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: 3SBio, China Gas, Hygeia

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sino Biopharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the business performance and short-term catalyst for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK),</a> and investors could decide whether to take advantage of it or not.</li>
<li>We also analyzed the concerns about the Company as well as our insights on the valuation of biopharmaceutical companies.</li>
<li>Based on our analysis, we are conservative about the Company’s outlook at the current stage.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the business performance and short-term catalyst for Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK), and investors could decide whether to take advantage of it or not.
We also analyzed the concerns about the Company as well as our insights on the valuation of biopharmaceutical companies.
Based on our analysis, we are conservative about the Company’s outlook at the current stage.


Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177.HK) - The Business, The Concerns, The Insights on Biopharma Valuation

<p>On June 25, 2021, “something strange” happened to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3sbio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:459:1" rel="noopener">3SBio Inc (1530 HK)</a>. Its share price fell 16.61% in one day, closing at HK$10.14/share, and the market value decreased about HK$5 billion. On Monday, June 28, 2021, its share price continued to decline to HK$9.79/share. No matter which institutions reduced holdings, in fact, 3SBio's future performance still depends on the Company's fundamentals and business outlook. So, this insight mainly analyzed the important products, the pipeline and the concerns of 3SBio.</p>

On June 25, 2021, “something strange” happened to 3SBio Inc (1530 HK). Its share price fell 16.61% in one day, closing at HK$10.14/share, and the market value decreased about HK$5 billion. On Monday, June 28, 2021, its share price continued to decline to HK$9.79/share. No matter which institutions reduced holdings, in fact, 3SBio's future performance still depends on the Company's fundamentals and business outlook. So, this insight mainly analyzed the important products, the pipeline and the concerns of 3SBio.

3SBio Inc (1530.HK) - The Concerns and the Outlook

Equity Capital Markets

Clover Biopharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<p>On April 23, 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clover-biopharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33029:1" rel="noopener">Clover Biopharmaceuticals (CBL HK)</a> filed a prospectus with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in preparation for a listing in Hong Kong. Since the beginning of the 21st century, with the continuous emergence of innovative biotechnology enterprises in China, many research-based type of entrepreneurs have started their own businesses, such as Wang Xiaodong from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, Yu Dechao from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, Du Ying from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zai-lab-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25877:1" rel="noopener">Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB US)</a>, etc. Liang Peng, the Founder of Clover Biopharmaceutical, also has an impressive background. He founded the Company in Chengdu in 2007 with his exclusive Trimer-Tag technology platform. The other core members of the Company include China's top pharmaceutical “think tank” such as Dr. Xiaodong Wang and Dr. Jianwei Zhu. So, are there any other highlights besides the outstanding team? This insight mainly analyzed the core technology platform and the core product candidates in the pipeline.</p>

On April 23, 2021, Clover Biopharmaceuticals (CBL HK) filed a prospectus with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in preparation for a listing in Hong Kong. Since the beginning of the 21st century, with the continuous emergence of innovative biotechnology enterprises in China, many research-based type of entrepreneurs have started their own businesses, such as Wang Xiaodong from BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), Yu Dechao from Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Du Ying from Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB US), etc. Liang Peng, the Founder of Clover Biopharmaceutical, also has an impressive background. He founded the Company in Chengdu in 2007 with his exclusive Trimer-Tag technology platform. The other core members of the Company include China's top pharmaceutical “think tank” such as Dr. Xiaodong Wang and Dr. Jianwei Zhu. So, are there any other highlights besides the outstanding team? This insight mainly analyzed the core technology platform and the core product candidates in the pipeline.

Pre-IPO Clover Biopharmaceuticals - Insights on the Core Technology and Product Candidates

China

3SBio is a leading biotechnology company engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and marketing of biopharmaceutical products. The company's diverse portfolio addresses therapeutic areas such as nephrology, oncology, supportive cancer care, inflammation, infectious diseases, autoimmune diseases, metabolism, and dermatology, with key products including EPIAO and TPIAO. 3SBio was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenyang, China.

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3SBio (1530 HK)

Investing in HK Stocks

If you invest in Western markets this would be enough, but not in Asian markets where the trust factor is a lot lower, and where ownership is more...

Turtles all the way down

Hong Kong Buybacks: 3SBio, China Gas, Hygeia

We highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares in HK last week were 3Sbio Inc. (1530 HK), China Gas (384 HK), Hygeia Healthcare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177.HK) - The Business, The Concerns, The Insights on Biopharma Valuation

This article analyzed Sino Biopharmaceutical in terms of the business performance, short-term catalyst, concerns about the outlook, and insights on...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

3SBio Inc (1530.HK) - The Concerns and the Outlook

This insight mainly analyzed the potential reasons behind the decline in 3SBio Group's share price, the important products, the pipeline, the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Clover Biopharmaceuticals - Insights on the Core Technology and Product Candidates

The article analyzed Clover's core technology platform, COVID-19 vaccine and SCB-808 in pipeline,future challenge on competition and potential...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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