Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

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Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A brief look at important company events and economic data releases next week</li>
</ul>


A brief look at important company events and economic data releases next week


Santos Ltd - Next Week At A Glance - 23-27 Jun 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mineral-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15103:1" rel="noopener">Mineral Resources (MIN AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU)</a> after the close on 20 June.</li>
<li>The two deletions, capping and float changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.03% at the rebalance. That leads to a round-trip trade of A$294m.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> is also a deletion from the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index at the same time and there will be more passive selling from those trackers.</li>
</ul>



Mineral Resources (MIN AU) and Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) will be deleted from the VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU) after the close on 20 June.
The two deletions, capping and float changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.03% at the rebalance. That leads to a round-trip trade of A$294m.

Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) is also a deletion from the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index at the same time and there will be more passive selling from those trackers.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: MinRes, Pilbara Deleted as Trade Nears A$300m

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast no inclusions to the index in June. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.9% and a round-trip trade of A$216m.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals</a> is a potential deletion from the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index with implementation on the same date. Shorts have been covering but short interest is a big percentage of float.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast no inclusions to the index in June. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.
Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.9% and a round-trip trade of A$216m.

Pilbara Minerals is a potential deletion from the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index with implementation on the same date. Shorts have been covering but short interest is a big percentage of float.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in June

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-one-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1070:1" rel="noopener">Technology One (TNE AU)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU)</a> at the close on 21 March.</li>
<li>Surprisingly, there are no deletions from the index. The two inclusions, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.6% leading to a round-trip trade of A$288m.</li>
<li>There will be huge buying of A$1.2bn in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> at the same time from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and related index trackers.</li>
</ul>



Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) and Technology One (TNE AU) will be added to the VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU) at the close on 21 March.
Surprisingly, there are no deletions from the index. The two inclusions, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.6% leading to a round-trip trade of A$288m.
There will be huge buying of A$1.2bn in Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) at the same time from S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and related index trackers.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: SIG, TNE Added; US$288m Trade

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waypoint-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22851:1" rel="noopener">Waypoint REIT (WPR AU)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-property-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30998:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU)</a> next week. There are float changes and capping changes too.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.3% and will result in a round-trip trade of A$49m. There are 3 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>We had <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waypoint-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22851:1" rel="noopener">Waypoint REIT (WPR AU)</a> as a delete in December, but the stock was not deleted from the index. We had it as a close delete this time.</li>
</ul>



Waypoint REIT (WPR AU) will be deleted from the Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU) next week. There are float changes and capping changes too.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.3% and will result in a round-trip trade of A$49m. There are 3 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
We had Waypoint REIT (WPR AU) as a delete in December, but the stock was not deleted from the index. We had it as a close delete this time.


MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Waypoint REIT (WPR AU) Deleted

Australia

Dexus provides real estate services. The Company manages and invests in a portfolio of diversified properties, including office and industrial buildings, retail shopping centers, and car parks. Dexus serves customers in Australia and New Zealand.

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Dexus Property (DXS AU)

Santos Ltd - Next Week At A Glance - 23-27 Jun 2025

A brief look at important company events and economic data releases next week

FNArena

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: MinRes, Pilbara Deleted as Trade Nears A$300m

MinRes and Pilbara Minerals will be deleted on 20 June. Turnover is estimated at 5.03% and the round-trip trade is A$294m. Short interest is high...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in June

We do not forecast any inclusions but there could be 3 deletions. Just capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.9% and a round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: SIG, TNE Added; US$288m Trade

Sigma Healthcare and TechnologyOne have been added to the MVMVW index. Surprisingly, no deletions. Round-trip trade is US$288m. There are big...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Waypoint REIT (WPR AU) Deleted

Waypoint REIT will be deleted from the MVA ETF next Friday and passives need to sell over 3.5x ADV in the stock. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.3%...

Brian Freitas

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