Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Meituan reported 3Q2022 results. Revenue increased 28.2% YoY to RMB62.6bn (vs consensus RMB62.3bn) while reported an OP of RMB988m (consensus OP loss of RMB935m) for the first time since 3Q2019.</li>
<li>However, on adjusted basis, Meituan made an adjusted operating loss of RMB1.1bn (1.7% of revenue) of revenues compared to an adjusted operating loss of RMB7.7bn (15.1% of revenue) in 3Q2022.</li>
<li>Tencent announced that it will distribute majority of its shareholding on Meituan (3690 HK) to its shareholders in dividends and Naspers is expected to sell the Meituan Shares it receives from Tencent.</li>
</ul>


Meituan reported 3Q2022 results. Revenue increased 28.2% YoY to RMB62.6bn (vs consensus RMB62.3bn) while reported an OP of RMB988m (consensus OP loss of RMB935m) for the first time since 3Q2019.
However, on adjusted basis, Meituan made an adjusted operating loss of RMB1.1bn (1.7% of revenue) of revenues compared to an adjusted operating loss of RMB7.7bn (15.1% of revenue) in 3Q2022.
Tencent announced that it will distribute majority of its shareholding on Meituan (3690 HK) to its shareholders in dividends and Naspers is expected to sell the Meituan Shares it receives from Tencent.


Meituan: New Reporting Structure Conceals Loss-Making Businesses and Hard to Assess Core Businesses

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, things are picking up again going into the year end.</li>
<li>There were no large placement or blocks this week, although prior lockup linked blocks kept flowing through.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, things are picking up again going into the year end.
There were no large placement or blocks this week, although prior lockup linked blocks kept flowing through.


ECM Weekly (27th Nov 2022) - Growatt, Lygend, Sunshine Ins, Weilong, DPC, Daiei, Skymark, GoTo

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>JD.com should have an outsized benefit from a recovery in Chinese retail sales as further macro stimulus and a gradual easing of China’s covid-zero policy stimulates demand throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Following a return to margin expansion this year, due to economies of scale and curbing operating expenses during a challenging macro environment, the longer-term margin expansion trend remains on track.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> trades on extremely attractive valuation multiples (PE, PEG, FCF yield) with net cash on its balance sheet equal to 32% of its market cap.</li>
</ul>


JD.com should have an outsized benefit from a recovery in Chinese retail sales as further macro stimulus and a gradual easing of China’s covid-zero policy stimulates demand throughout 2023.
Following a return to margin expansion this year, due to economies of scale and curbing operating expenses during a challenging macro environment, the longer-term margin expansion trend remains on track.

JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) trades on extremely attractive valuation multiples (PE, PEG, FCF yield) with net cash on its balance sheet equal to 32% of its market cap.


2023 High Conviction: JD.com to Benefit from Discretionary Spend Recovery, Margin Progress on Track

Weilong Delicious Global Holdi / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weilong-delicious-global-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33378:1" rel="noopener">Weilong Delicious Global (WDG HK)</a>, a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$200m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 6.2%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the updates from the recently re-refiled PHIP.</li>
</ul>



Weilong Delicious Global (WDG HK), a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$200m in its Hong Kong IPO.
According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 6.2%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories.
In this note, we will talk about the updates from the recently re-refiled PHIP.


Weilong Delicious Global Pre-IPO - Latest PHIP Updates - No Growth

Xin Yu, CFA

<ul>
<li>Alibaba and JD stock prices have rallied around 20-30% in the past month, which was the low-hanging fruit for the investors.</li>
<li>With the full re-opening in 2023 in China, there is still upside for the sector. </li>
<li>Ecommerce players will enjoy GMV growth acceleration and margin improvement next year. </li>
</ul>


Alibaba and JD stock prices have rallied around 20-30% in the past month, which was the low-hanging fruit for the investors.
With the full re-opening in 2023 in China, there is still upside for the sector. 
Ecommerce players will enjoy GMV growth acceleration and margin improvement next year. 


China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (ADR) (JD US)

Meituan: New Reporting Structure Conceals Loss-Making Businesses and Hard to Assess Core Businesses

Meituan reported OP during 3Q2022, however, we are not convinced. Meituan does not disclose main KPIs for core businesses, hence we are unable to...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

ECM Weekly (27th Nov 2022) - Growatt, Lygend, Sunshine Ins, Weilong, DPC, Daiei, Skymark, GoTo

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

2023 High Conviction: JD.com to Benefit from Discretionary Spend Recovery, Margin Progress on Track

As our 2023 High Conviction call, in this insight, we take a deep-dive analysis into JD.com’s key investment controversies: Revenue growth recovery...

Wium Malan, CFA

Weilong Delicious Global Pre-IPO - Latest PHIP Updates - No Growth

Weilong Delicious Global (WDG HK), a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$200m in its Hong Kong IPO.

Sumeet Singh

China Ecommerce- Still Can Chase

China's ecommerce sector rallied 20-30% in the past one month, which was the low hanging fruit for the investors. Now the question is whether we...

Xin Yu, CFA

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