Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the flow expectations for the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect no index changes for June 2025 but we estimate there to be US$470mn in one-way flows which translates to a turnover of 4.3%.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the flow expectations for the June 2025 index rebal event.
We expect no index changes for June 2025 but we estimate there to be US$470mn in one-way flows which translates to a turnover of 4.3%.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: US$470mn One-Way Flows Expected

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK).


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 17th): Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Meituan, CCB

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious</li>
<li>While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).</li>
</ul>


Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious
While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).


Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn. </li>
<li>The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn as what appeared to be national team, or equally patriotic buyers, showed up droves to buy financials, energy, telecoms, and big techs.</li>
<li>Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but frankly, the only thing that matters is the back and forth by the Donald.</li>
</ul>


Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn. 
The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn as what appeared to be national team, or equally patriotic buyers, showed up droves to buy financials, energy, telecoms, and big techs.
Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but frankly, the only thing that matters is the back and forth by the Donald.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 Apr 2025); Record Net Buying

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Alibaba, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Guotai Junan, Ke.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Alibaba, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Guotai Junan, Ke.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (March): $24 Bn Monthly Inflows

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides a comprehensive range of commercial banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers. The Bank's business consists of three principal business segments: corporate banking, personal banking, and treasury operations. China Construction Bank also services infrastructure loans, residential mortgage, and bank cards.

Price Gauge
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China Construction Bank H (939 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: US$470mn One-Way Flows Expected

Our index change expectations remain the same since mid-March 2025. We expect the ADDs/DELs and indicative weights to be publicly confirmed on 16th...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 17th): Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Meituan, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Meituan, CCB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 Apr 2025); Record Net Buying

SOUTHBOUND saw a record week of net buying of HK at +82.25bn. Tech (including Consumer Disc name Alibaba) were the big net buys. SOE banks, tech,...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (March): $24 Bn Monthly Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for March and highlighted flows for Alibaba, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Guotai Junan, Ke.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)