Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>Combating climate change is a global imperative, and is particularly urgent for Southeast Asia which faces a disproportionate share of the adverse physical, social, and economic impacts.</li>
<li>ASEAN nations have demonstrated a strong commitment to climate action and have made real progress in certain areas, but require substantial climate financing to achieve their targets.</li>
<li>All regional ASEAN banks will play a critical role in climate finance, but those at the forefront of sustainable/green finance are poised to benefit from the region's climate transition.</li>
</ul>


Combating climate change is a global imperative, and is particularly urgent for Southeast Asia which faces a disproportionate share of the adverse physical, social, and economic impacts.
ASEAN nations have demonstrated a strong commitment to climate action and have made real progress in certain areas, but require substantial climate financing to achieve their targets.
All regional ASEAN banks will play a critical role in climate finance, but those at the forefront of sustainable/green finance are poised to benefit from the region's climate transition.


Green Banking in ASEAN: An Assessment of ASEAN Banks' Sustainable Finance Policies

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> held its AGM this week, which effectively repeated the messages from its 1Q2022 results including guidance for FY2022 but there is more excitement beneath the headline numbers.</li>
<li>One key metric tracked by management is the contribution margin, which is moving towards positive territory put take rates will improve for both Mitra and through its specialty store strategy. </li>
<li>AlloFresh has launched and is testing the offline line efficiencies before being applied to Mitra partners and AlloBank has also started its digital journey. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a> looks cheap. </li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) held its AGM this week, which effectively repeated the messages from its 1Q2022 results including guidance for FY2022 but there is more excitement beneath the headline numbers.
One key metric tracked by management is the contribution margin, which is moving towards positive territory put take rates will improve for both Mitra and through its specialty store strategy. 
AlloFresh has launched and is testing the offline line efficiencies before being applied to Mitra partners and AlloBank has also started its digital journey. Bukalapak looks cheap. 


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Track the Execution Not the Headlines

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ)</a> is executing well on its move to shift its focus toward higher-yielding assets in commercial, Micro, and SME segments and also high-quality corporate loans.</li>
<li>The company has seen the cost of funds continue to decline as it picks up new savings accounts through its Livin' app, helping to improve NIMs and returns.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ)</a>'s cost of credit continues to fall, with declining provisions also helping to improve profitability, and with ROEs hitting multi-year highs while valuations remain attractive.</li>
</ul>



Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) is executing well on its move to shift its focus toward higher-yielding assets in commercial, Micro, and SME segments and also high-quality corporate loans.
The company has seen the cost of funds continue to decline as it picks up new savings accounts through its Livin' app, helping to improve NIMs and returns.

Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ)'s cost of credit continues to fall, with declining provisions also helping to improve profitability, and with ROEs hitting multi-year highs while valuations remain attractive.


Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) - Upping the Ante on Returns

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The IDX has announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> will be included in the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices at a float of <strong>66.4%</strong> at the close on 7 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waskita-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15739:1" rel="noopener">Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)</a> will be deleted from the IDX30 and LQ45 indices, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/buyung-poetra-sembada-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28454:1" rel="noopener">Buyung Poetra Sembada PT (HOKI IJ)</a> will be deleted from the IDX80 index.</li>
<li>Passive trackers need to buy around 12.78% of the real float on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>. Add the impact from open ended funds and that could move up to 20%. </li>
</ul>


The IDX has announced that GoTo (GOTO IJ) will be included in the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices at a float of 66.4% at the close on 7 June.

Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ) will be deleted from the IDX30 and LQ45 indices, while Buyung Poetra Sembada PT (HOKI IJ) will be deleted from the IDX80 index.
Passive trackers need to buy around 12.78% of the real float on GoTo (GOTO IJ). Add the impact from open ended funds and that could move up to 20%. 


GoTo Index Inclusion: Fast Entry to IDX30, LQ45, IDX80 Confirmed; BIG Buying Next Week

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>The six Indonesian banks have strong capital adequacy ratios, healthy credit quality and good NPL coverage; also, GDP recovery supports positive cost of risk trends and the bank earnings outlook</li>
<li>We believe that Bank Mandiri screens best, with its attractive pre-provision profitability and steadily improving cost of risk, whilst trading on undemanding multiples versus peers; we also like Bank Rakyat</li>
<li>We see Bank Permata as a potential “turn around” stock, especially if management can improve credit quality, and keep lowering its cost of risk to boost returns</li>
</ul>


The six Indonesian banks have strong capital adequacy ratios, healthy credit quality and good NPL coverage; also, GDP recovery supports positive cost of risk trends and the bank earnings outlook
We believe that Bank Mandiri screens best, with its attractive pre-provision profitability and steadily improving cost of risk, whilst trading on undemanding multiples versus peers; we also like Bank Rakyat
We see Bank Permata as a potential “turn around” stock, especially if management can improve credit quality, and keep lowering its cost of risk to boost returns


Indonesian Banks Screener; Bank Mandiri Is Our Top Pick

Indonesia

PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk provides commercial banking activities and its related services. The Bank also provides banking activities based on shariah principles.

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Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)

Green Banking in ASEAN: An Assessment of ASEAN Banks' Sustainable Finance Policies

ASEAN needs billions (probably trillions) in climate finance, and ASEAN banks are poised to play a vital role. This is an assessment of sustainable...

Kyle Rudden

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Track the Execution Not the Headlines

Bukalapak held its AGM this week, which effectively repeated the messages from its 1Q2022 results including guidance for FY2022 but there is a lot...

Angus Mackintosh

Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) - Upping the Ante on Returns

Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) continues to improve profitability as its increases exposure to higher-yielding assets, with ROEs hitting multi-year highs,...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo Index Inclusion: Fast Entry to IDX30, LQ45, IDX80 Confirmed; BIG Buying Next Week

IDX will add GOTO to the IDX30, LQ45 & IDX80 indices at the close on 7 June. A float of 66.4% (vs 4% real float) will require passive trackers to...

Brian Freitas

Indonesian Banks Screener; Bank Mandiri Is Our Top Pick

We pick Bank Mandiri for its attractive value to growth metrics and, within its bank peer group, its attractive pre-provision profitability and...

Victor Galliano

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