Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Beijing-Based 4Paradigm shares have underperformed the Hang Seng Index (+4.3%) in 2024 with shares down ~20% year-to-date. IPO investors are down ~28%.</li>
<li>I expect near-term selling pressure on the stock as IPO lockup ends in September and at least 265M shares will be available for sale by the end of next month.</li>
<li>4Paradigm has made considerable progress and with a clear profitability trajectory, the stock looks undervalued relative to peers in Mainland China and worldwide.</li>
</ul>


Beijing-Based 4Paradigm shares have underperformed the Hang Seng Index (+4.3%) in 2024 with shares down ~20% year-to-date. IPO investors are down ~28%.
I expect near-term selling pressure on the stock as IPO lockup ends in September and at least 265M shares will be available for sale by the end of next month.
4Paradigm has made considerable progress and with a clear profitability trajectory, the stock looks undervalued relative to peers in Mainland China and worldwide.


4Paradigm: Near-Term Selling Pressure May Persist As IPO Lockup Ends Next Month

<ul>
<li>4Paradigm, China’s AI software company with focus on enterprise-level solutions, performed well and achieved solid growth in 2023 and Q1 2024. </li>
<li>In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and set a new 12-month PT for 4Paradigm.</li>
<li>The company’s management has set a clear goal of profitability. I like 4Paradigm’s leadership position and hyper-growth in revenue from the Sage AI Platform.</li>
</ul>


4Paradigm, China’s AI software company with focus on enterprise-level solutions, performed well and achieved solid growth in 2023 and Q1 2024. 
In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and set a new 12-month PT for 4Paradigm.
The company’s management has set a clear goal of profitability. I like 4Paradigm’s leadership position and hyper-growth in revenue from the Sage AI Platform.


4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 3rd): SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): $10.7bn Inflows Led by Banks

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 27th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 27th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 27th): Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba

China

Beijing 4Paradigm Technology Co. Ltd. operates as an artificial intelligence technology service provider. The Company provides model self-learning, data cleaning free, interpreted complex model, human computer cooperation, and other services. Beijing 4Paradigm Technology applies its technology in financial, government, energy, manufacturing, retail, medical, and other fields.

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4Paradigm (6682 HK)

4Paradigm: Near-Term Selling Pressure May Persist As IPO Lockup Ends Next Month

4Paradigm, a Beijing-based enterprise AI company, completed its initial public offering in 2023. Pre-IPO investors and shareholders may sell the...

Andrei Zakharov

4Paradigm: Sage AI Platform 5.0. Could Drive ~30% Y/Y Revenue Growth in 2024, PT Raised To HK$100

In my insight, I discuss valuation for 4Paradigm and set a new PT for China’s AI software company coupled with RV analysis and highlights from...

Andrei Zakharov

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 3rd): SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC, Meituan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): $10.7bn Inflows Led by Banks

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for December and highlighted flows for CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Meituan, Kuaishou, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 27th): Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Weimob, Alibaba.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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