Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 14 March, Samsung SDI (006400 KS) announced a 2 trillion won (US$1.4 billion) rights offering capital raise plan.</li>
<li>Samsung SDI's 2 trillion won capital raise is likely to have a near-term negative impact on the company's share price.</li>
<li>We are negative on Samsung SDI's rights offering capital raise mainly due to shares dilution. We also remain concerned that weak demand for EVs globally could last longer. </li>
</ul>


On 14 March, Samsung SDI (006400 KS) announced a 2 trillion won (US$1.4 billion) rights offering capital raise plan.
Samsung SDI's 2 trillion won capital raise is likely to have a near-term negative impact on the company's share price.
We are negative on Samsung SDI's rights offering capital raise mainly due to shares dilution. We also remain concerned that weak demand for EVs globally could last longer. 


Samsung SDI: Announces a 2 Trillion Won Rights Offering Capital Raise

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated short interest was USD11.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, kakaopay, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated short interest was USD11.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, kakaopay, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, Kakaopay, NAVER

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>CATL’s options debut in Hong Kong has been active, with strong Call interest and rising open interest suggesting early investor enthusiasm.</li>
<li>Implied vols are holding firm post-listing and appear rich —potentially justifiable given the trading dynamics and catalysts.</li>
<li>We recommend a tactical hedge structure that skews return favourably, targeting recent highs and protecting against downside drift.</li>
</ul>


CATL’s options debut in Hong Kong has been active, with strong Call interest and rising open interest suggesting early investor enthusiasm.
Implied vols are holding firm post-listing and appear rich —potentially justifiable given the trading dynamics and catalysts.
We recommend a tactical hedge structure that skews return favourably, targeting recent highs and protecting against downside drift.


CATL (3750.HK): Rich Vols, Strong Start, and a Tactical Hedge

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.</li>
<li>A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.</li>
<li>Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.</li>
</ul>


Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.
A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.
Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

South Korea

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

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Samsung SDI (006400 KS)

Samsung SDI: Announces a 2 Trillion Won Rights Offering Capital Raise

Samsung SDI's 2 trillion won capital raise is likely to have a near-term negative impact on the company's share price. We also remain concerned...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, Kakaopay, NAVER

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, kakaopay, NAVER, HD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CATL (3750.HK): Rich Vols, Strong Start, and a Tactical Hedge

CATL's options debut in Hong Kong shows strong investor interest. A tactical hedge structure is recommended to target recent highs and protect...

John Ley

Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Not a lot of shorts were covered on Monday. There could be more covering in the near term as the market drifts lower. KOSPI200 underperformed...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Samsung SDI: Announces a 2 Trillion Won Rights Offering Capital Raise

Samsung SDI's 2 trillion won capital raise is likely to have a near-term negative impact on the company's share price. We also remain concerned...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, Kakaopay, NAVER

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hanwha Ocean, SK Hynix, kakaopay, NAVER, HD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CATL (3750.HK): Rich Vols, Strong Start, and a Tactical Hedge

​CATL's options debut in Hong Kong shows strong investor interest. A tactical hedge structure is recommended to target recent highs and protect...

John Ley

Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Not a lot of shorts were covered on Monday. There could be more covering in the near term as the market drifts lower. KOSPI200 underperformed...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

CATL's options debut in Hong Kong shows strong investor interest. A tactical hedge structure is recommended to target recent highs and protect...