IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a> is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its <em>BOSS Zhipin</em> mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. </p></div><div><p>Kanzhun has priced its IPO at $19.00 per ADS to raise gross proceeds of $912 million, <a href="https://www.ifre.com/story/2913154/kanzhun-prices-nasdaq-ipo-at-top-to-raise-us912m-smlgvfl3m3" target="_blank" rel="noopener">according to IFR</a>. At the final IPO price of $19 per share, Kanzhun will have a market cap of $7.6 billion. The IPO got off to a strong start due to indications of interest for $375 million worth of ADSs in the offering from existing investors (Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global) and new investors (UBS Asset Management, GIC and Mubadala Investment).</p></div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-initiation-search-and-employ" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51969" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ</a>, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. We concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-growth-margin-trade-off-vs-peers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52333" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers</a>, we opined that Kanzhun provides growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52575" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO: Valuation Insights</a> we noted that the IPO price range is attractive. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Updating for the final IPO net raise, our base-case DCF derived price target of $21.02 per ADS. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis points to a meaningful upside based on achievable targets for market share and/or terminal EBIT margin. </p></div></div></div>

Kanzhun (BZ US) is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. Kanzhun has priced its IPO at $19.00 per ADS to raise gross proceeds of $912 million, according to IFR. At the final IPO price of $19 per share, Kanzhun will have a market cap of $7.6 billion. The IPO got off to a strong start due to indications of interest for $375 million worth of ADSs in the offering from existing investors (Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global) and new investors (UBS Asset Management, GIC and Mubadala Investment).In Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. We concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look. In Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers, we opined that Kanzhun provides growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers. In Kanzhun IPO: Valuation Insights we noted that the IPO price range is attractive. Updating for the final IPO net raise, our base-case DCF derived price target of $21.02 per ADS. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis points to a meaningful upside based on achievable targets for market share and/or terminal EBIT margin. 

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a>, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$912m in its US IPO. The company is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. Kanzhun runs BOSS Zhipin APP, which allows enterprise users and jobseekers to directly chat, thus, providing more convenience to both.</p>
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<p>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-pre-ipo-bumble-meets-linkedin" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kanzhun Pre-IPO -Bumble meets Linkedin</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-fast-growth-strong-investor-support-cash-flow-positive" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO - Fast Growth, Strong Investor Support, Cash Flow Positive...</a>.</p>
<p>In this note, we look at deal dynamics and provide an update on valuation.  </p>
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Kanzhun (BZ US), an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$912m in its US IPO. The company is backed by Tencent (700 HK). Kanzhun runs BOSS Zhipin APP, which allows enterprise users and jobseekers to directly chat, thus, providing more convenience to both.



We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes Kanzhun Pre-IPO -Bumble meets Linkedin and Kanzhun IPO - Fast Growth, Strong Investor Support, Cash Flow Positive....
In this note, we look at deal dynamics and provide an update on valuation.  


Kanzhun IPO Trading - Should Be Able to Turn the China ADR Sentiment Around

Full Truck Alliance   / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)</a> (FTA),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.</p></div><div>
<p>In our earlier notes, we spoke about the positive and negatives aspects of the deal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-the-positives-category-leader" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-the-negatives-still-a-mixed-bag" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Mixed Bag</a>.</p>
<p>In this note, we will provide our earnings estimates and talk about valuations.</p>
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Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) (FTA),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.
In our earlier notes, we spoke about the positive and negatives aspects of the deal, Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader and Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Mixed Bag.
In this note, we will provide our earnings estimates and talk about valuations.


Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - Valuation, Even the Previous Round Might Have Been a Stretch

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

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<p>Our valuation analysis suggests an implied market cap of US$11.5 billion, representing implied price of $28.67 per share. This would represent an upside of 51% from the high end of the IPO price of $19. Given the strong upside, we would take this IPO deal. We based our valuation based on 9.6x EV/S multiple, which is 150% higher than the average EV/S multiple of its peers in 2022. <strong>We have a positive view of the Kanzhun IPO. </strong></p>
<p>Given the much stronger sales growth of the company combined with impressive improvement in operating losses as a percentage of sales, we believe the company should be valued at much higher valuation multiple than its peers and we believe 9.6x EV/S multiple is appropriate. </p>
<p><strong>Despite being a late comer, Kanzhun has become the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by average MAU in 2020.</strong> This is a testament of the company's ability to meet the missing needs of the job seekers and companies that are trying to find new employees. Kanzhun's core product is Boss Zhipin, which is China's leading online recruitment platform app. Boss Zhipin allows employers to interact and connect with job seekers directly through chat rather than simply sending and receiving resumes.</p>
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Our valuation analysis suggests an implied market cap of US$11.5 billion, representing implied price of $28.67 per share. This would represent an upside of 51% from the high end of the IPO price of $19. Given the strong upside, we would take this IPO deal. We based our valuation based on 9.6x EV/S multiple, which is 150% higher than the average EV/S multiple of its peers in 2022. We have a positive view of the Kanzhun IPO. 
Given the much stronger sales growth of the company combined with impressive improvement in operating losses as a percentage of sales, we believe the company should be valued at much higher valuation multiple than its peers and we believe 9.6x EV/S multiple is appropriate. 
Despite being a late comer, Kanzhun has become the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by average MAU in 2020. This is a testament of the company's ability to meet the missing needs of the job seekers and companies that are trying to find new employees. Kanzhun's core product is Boss Zhipin, which is China's leading online recruitment platform app. Boss Zhipin allows employers to interact and connect with job seekers directly through chat rather than simply sending and receiving resumes.


<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a> is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its <em>BOSS Zhipin</em> mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. </p></div><div>
<p>At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $17.00-19.00 per ADS, Kanzhun will have a market cap of $7.2 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $817.2 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated a total of $375 million of the IPO (43.4% of the ADSs at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The indications of interest from new investors are from UBS Asset Management ($100 million), GIC ($100 million) and Mubadala Investment ($75 million). The indications of interest from existing investors are from Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global.</p>
<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-initiation-search-and-employ" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51969" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ</a>, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. We concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-growth-margin-trade-off-vs-peers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52333" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers</a>, we opined that Kanzhun provides growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers. </p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>In this note, we present our forecasts and valuation analysis. On a relative valuation basis and at the IPO price range, Kanzhun is fairly valued on growth adjusted EV/Sales multiples (an EV/Sales/Growth basis). Our base-case DCF value is $20.84 per ADS which is a 16% upside to the mid-point of the IPO price range. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we think that the IPO price range is attractive. </p></div>
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Kanzhun (BZ US) is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. 
At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $17.00-19.00 per ADS, Kanzhun will have a market cap of $7.2 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $817.2 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated a total of $375 million of the IPO (43.4% of the ADSs at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The indications of interest from new investors are from UBS Asset Management ($100 million), GIC ($100 million) and Mubadala Investment ($75 million). The indications of interest from existing investors are from Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global.
In Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. We concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look. In Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers, we opined that Kanzhun provides growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and valuation analysis. On a relative valuation basis and at the IPO price range, Kanzhun is fairly valued on growth adjusted EV/Sales multiples (an EV/Sales/Growth basis). Our base-case DCF value is $20.84 per ADS which is a 16% upside to the mid-point of the IPO price range. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we think that the IPO price range is attractive. 


China

51job, Inc. provides integrated human resource services in China, with a strong focus on recruitment related services.  The Company's recruitment related services are delivered in both print and online formats.

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51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)

Kanzhun IPO: Trading Debut

Kanzhun has priced its IPO at $19 per ADS to raise $912 m. Our DCF sensitivity analysis points to a meaningful upside based on achievable targets...

Arun George

Kanzhun IPO Trading - Should Be Able to Turn the China ADR Sentiment Around

Kanzhun (BZ US), an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$912m in its US IPO. The company is backed by Tencent (700 HK).

Sumeet Singh

Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - Valuation, Even the Previous Round Might Have Been a Stretch

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) (FTA), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US...

Sumeet Singh

Kanzhun IPO Valuation Analysis

Our valuation analysis of Kanzhun suggests an implied market cap of US$11.5 billion, representing implied price of $28.67 per share. We would take...

Douglas Kim

Kanzhun IPO: Valuation Insights

At the mid-point, Kanzhun will raise net proceeds of $817.2 m. For investors willing to brave the risk that the market selloff in high growth...

Arun George

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