Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Jay Lee’s clean Supreme Court win may cool Samsung’s governance trade near term. With legal risks gone, there’s less urgency to push structural changes or shuffle shares now.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T, a hotspot for governance spec flows, may see bids fade as urgency for structural shifts drops; longs on revamp bets might consider fading or shorting amid lingering risks.</li>
<li>Samsung Life gets relief as forced Elec share sales drop, supporting its stock. Samsung Elec stays neutral. Trade idea: Samsung Life long, Samsung C&amp;T short on cooled governance hopes.</li>
</ul>


Jay Lee’s clean Supreme Court win may cool Samsung’s governance trade near term. With legal risks gone, there’s less urgency to push structural changes or shuffle shares now.
Samsung C&amp;T, a hotspot for governance spec flows, may see bids fade as urgency for structural shifts drops; longs on revamp bets might consider fading or shorting amid lingering risks.
Samsung Life gets relief as forced Elec share sales drop, supporting its stock. Samsung Elec stays neutral. Trade idea: Samsung Life long, Samsung C&amp;T short on cooled governance hopes.


Samsung Jay Lee Cleared by Supreme Court — Market Reaction Could Flip From Consensus

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> delisting resolution failed as it was not approved by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders.</li>
<li>The resumption of trading resolutions to restore the 10% free float requirement was passed. Trading will resume once the 10% free float requirement is met. </li>
<li>Minorities have secured a pyrrhic victory as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> offer was light, but there is no obvious catalyst to re-rate the shares. Deal break price around S$21.49.</li>
</ul>


The Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) delisting resolution failed as it was not approved by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders.
The resumption of trading resolutions to restore the 10% free float requirement was passed. Trading will resume once the 10% free float requirement is met. 
Minorities have secured a pyrrhic victory as the OCBC (OCBC SP) offer was light, but there is no obvious catalyst to re-rate the shares. Deal break price around S$21.49.


Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Minorities Secure a Pyrrhic Victory

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>It has been reported that Woori Financial Group is considering on acquiring all of the remaining shares (21.2%) of Tongyang Life Insurance and delist it, making it a 100% subsidiary.</li>
<li>We believe that there is a high probability (70-80%+) that Woori Financial Group decides to acquire the remaining 21.2% stake in Tongyang Life Insurance held by minority shareholders. </li>
<li>Between cash and stock, we think that Woori Financial is likely to use cash to complete this deal, although the exact amount of market premium remains uncertain.</li>
</ul>


It has been reported that Woori Financial Group is considering on acquiring all of the remaining shares (21.2%) of Tongyang Life Insurance and delist it, making it a 100% subsidiary.
We believe that there is a high probability (70-80%+) that Woori Financial Group decides to acquire the remaining 21.2% stake in Tongyang Life Insurance held by minority shareholders. 
Between cash and stock, we think that Woori Financial is likely to use cash to complete this deal, although the exact amount of market premium remains uncertain.


A Tender Offer of Remaining Shares & Delisting of Tongyang Life Insurance by Woori Financial?

<ul>
<li>The FTC uses acquisition cost, not market value, so Samsung C&amp;T’s existing 5.05% Samsung Elec stake is booked at KRW 400B</li>
<li>Samsung Life only needs to sell ~5.5% of Samsung Elec, not the full 8.51%, leaving Samsung C&amp;T with a ~KRW 10T buffer before hitting the 50% holdco threshold.</li>
<li>The holdco risk is overblown—unlikely without rule changes. The Bio spin-off looks like prep for Samsung C&amp;T to buy Samsung Elec stake, driving re-rating upside for C&amp;T and Life.</li>
</ul>


The FTC uses acquisition cost, not market value, so Samsung C&amp;T’s existing 5.05% Samsung Elec stake is booked at KRW 400B
Samsung Life only needs to sell ~5.5% of Samsung Elec, not the full 8.51%, leaving Samsung C&amp;T with a ~KRW 10T buffer before hitting the 50% holdco threshold.
The holdco risk is overblown—unlikely without rule changes. The Bio spin-off looks like prep for Samsung C&amp;T to buy Samsung Elec stake, driving re-rating upside for C&amp;T and Life.


Samsung Insider’s Flawed Premise on the Samsung C&T Forced Holdco Conversion Issue

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we also provide a list of 30 top performing stocks in KOSPI in the past one week (in terms of price performance and trading value).</li>
<li>We also discuss the surging share price of Samsung Life Insurance which suggests a near-term regulation change that could require the company to partially dispose its stake in Samsung Electronics. </li>
<li>With Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President, the probability of Samsung Life Insurance being forced to sell its stake in Samsung Electronics has risen much more.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we also provide a list of 30 top performing stocks in KOSPI in the past one week (in terms of price performance and trading value).
We also discuss the surging share price of Samsung Life Insurance which suggests a near-term regulation change that could require the company to partially dispose its stake in Samsung Electronics. 
With Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President, the probability of Samsung Life Insurance being forced to sell its stake in Samsung Electronics has risen much more.


Top 30 Best Performing Stocks in KOSPI in Past Week and Surging Price of Samsung Life Insurance

South Korea

Samsung Life Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers life and health insurance services. Samsung Life Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS)

Samsung Jay Lee Cleared by Supreme Court — Market Reaction Could Flip From Consensus

Samsung Jay Lee’s final legal overhang just got wiped clean with the Supreme Court’s not-guilty stamp — but the market move might actually play out...

Sanghyun Park

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Minorities Secure a Pyrrhic Victory

Minorities have secured a pyrrhic victory as the OCBC (OCBC SP) offer was light, but there is no obvious catalyst to re-rate the shares. My...

Arun George

A Tender Offer of Remaining Shares & Delisting of Tongyang Life Insurance by Woori Financial?

It has been reported that Woori Financial Group is considering on acquiring all of the remaining shares (21.2%) of Tongyang Life Insurance and...

Douglas Kim

Samsung Insider’s Flawed Premise on the Samsung C&T Forced Holdco Conversion Issue

This post examines the flawed premise behind a Samsung insider’s take on Samsung C&T’s forced holding company conversion issue.

Sanghyun Park

Top 30 Best Performing Stocks in KOSPI in Past Week and Surging Price of Samsung Life Insurance

In this insight, we also provide a list of 30 top performing stocks in KOSPI in the past one week and the surging share price of Samsung Life...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)