Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The bank's announcement that it expects at least a 30% decline in profit due to impairments is rare, in its clarity, not unexpected in the content.</li>
<li>There may be gaining momentum for banks in Greater China to more clearly show their credit metrics, which given economies there, are not likely to be positive. </li>
<li>Credit costs to loans have been in decline at this bank, and the surge they are forecasting, is understandable; perhaps partly given developments at China Evergrande?</li>
</ul>


The bank's announcement that it expects at least a 30% decline in profit due to impairments is rare, in its clarity, not unexpected in the content.
There may be gaining momentum for banks in Greater China to more clearly show their credit metrics, which given economies there, are not likely to be positive. 
Credit costs to loans have been in decline at this bank, and the surge they are forecasting, is understandable; perhaps partly given developments at China Evergrande?


Bank of Jiujiang - Rare Announcement Expecting at Least 30% Profit Decline

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 15th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Bank Of China, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou Technology, Anta Sports Products.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 15th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Bank Of China, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou Technology, Anta Sports Products.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 15th): BOC, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou, Anta Sports

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 15th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Dongyue (189 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 15th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Dongyue (189 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 15th): Aia, Swire Pacific, Kuaishou Technology

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Credit

<ul>
<li>European AT1s offer higher YTC compared with those of similarlyrated Asian AT1s.</li>
<li>This partly reflects the technical of European AT1s is not as strong as that of Asian AT1s.</li>
<li>The Asian AT1 space has been in net redemption over the past 2 years and local investors have a “stronger home bias”. </li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


European AT1s offer higher YTC compared with those of similarlyrated Asian AT1s.
This partly reflects the technical of European AT1s is not as strong as that of Asian AT1s.
The Asian AT1 space has been in net redemption over the past 2 years and local investors have a “stronger home bias”. 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

European AT1 Top Picks: BACR 6 ⅛ PERP, BACR 4 ⅜ PERP and INTNED 3 ⅞ PERP

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance.  The Group operates worldwide.

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HSBC Holdings (5 HK)

Bank of Jiujiang - Rare Announcement Expecting at Least 30% Profit Decline

Bank of Jiujiang announced that its profit would be at least 30% lower for FY23 due to worsening credit metrics. This is incredibly rare to see...

Daniel Tabbush

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 15th): BOC, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou, Anta Sports

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Bank Of China, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 15th): Aia, Swire Pacific, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

European AT1 Top Picks: BACR 6 ⅛ PERP, BACR 4 ⅜ PERP and INTNED 3 ⅞ PERP

European AT1s offer higher YTC compared with those of similarlyrated Asian AT1s. This partly reflects the technical of European AT1s is not as...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)