IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a> at HK$0.85 per share, a 46.6% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers, which hold a blocking stake, will support a liquidity event to exit, particularly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges.  </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK) at HK$0.85 per share, a 46.6% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.
The Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers, which hold a blocking stake, will support a liquidity event to exit, particularly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges.  


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Capital Group’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.85

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>It is likely that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a>, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8898:1" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers. </li>
<li>As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
It is likely that Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK), the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers. 
As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. 


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

China VAST Industrial Urban Development / Event-Driven

China VAST Industrial Urban Development (CVI HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a> announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35:1" rel="noopener">China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)</a>’s offer is HK$2.40 per share.</li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.</li>
<li>The offer is light, but the headcount test is not applicable. At last close and for a year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread is 0.8% and 4.0%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK) announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)’s offer is HK$2.40 per share.
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.
The offer is light, but the headcount test is not applicable. At last close and for a year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread is 0.8% and 4.0%, respectively.


China VAST: Pre-Condition Fulfilled for the China Jinmao Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35:1" rel="noopener">China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)</a> at HK$2.40 per share, a 30.4% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.</li>
<li>The headcount test (if still applicable) is a key challenge as minorities are likely to be unimpressed. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK) at HK$2.40 per share, a 30.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.
The headcount test (if still applicable) is a key challenge as minorities are likely to be unimpressed. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal probability).


China VAST’s Underwhelming Privatisation Bid from China Jinmao

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Shortly after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel (KEP SP)</a> revised their Offer to ~S$2.35 and FINAL, Cuscaden has come over the top. This complicates things because of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press (SPH SP)</a>/Keppel Agreement timing.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a>'s discount to NAV of ~50% is bang in line with its 12-month average, as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific (293 HK)</a> is close to operating cash breakeven.</li>
<li>Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.</li>
</ul>


Shortly after Keppel (KEP SP) revised their Offer to ~S$2.35 and FINAL, Cuscaden has come over the top. This complicates things because of the Singapore Press (SPH SP)/Keppel Agreement timing.

Swire Pacific (19 HK)'s discount to NAV of ~50% is bang in line with its 12-month average, as Cathay Pacific (293 HK) is close to operating cash breakeven.
Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of Crown Resorts (CWN AU) A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Swire, Crown Resorts, Royal Dutch, Toshiba, Hollysys

Hong Kong

Wheelock and Company is a Hong Kong-headquartered property group primarily engaged in property investment, development, and asset management. The company focuses on high-quality residential and commercial properties across Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Singapore. Founded in 1857, it was privatized in 2020.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Wheelock and Company (1947529D HK)

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Capital Group’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.85

Shareholders with blocking stakes are likely to be supportive, mainly as the offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges. At the...

Arun George

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

It is likely that Beijing Capital Land, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group receivers.

Arun George

China VAST: Pre-Condition Fulfilled for the China Jinmao Offer

The headcount test is not applicable, and this is a done deal. At the last close and for a year-end payment, the annualised spread is 4.0%.

Arun George

China VAST’s Underwhelming Privatisation Bid from China Jinmao

The offer price is unattractive to historical multiples and precedent transactions. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Swire, Crown Resorts, Royal Dutch, Toshiba, Hollysys

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)