IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/finetoday-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44092:1" rel="noopener">FineToday Holdings Co Ltd (289A JP)</a> IPOs, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hulic-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:388:1" rel="noopener">Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a> placements.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wealthnavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31058:1" rel="noopener">WealthNavi (7342 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-new-energy-g" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6927:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G (1250 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>.       </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) and FineToday Holdings Co Ltd (289A JP) IPOs, Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP) and Sanrio (8136 JP) placements.
Event-Driven developments: Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), WealthNavi (7342 JP), ESR Group (1821 HK), Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G (1250 HK), Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK).       


Weekly Deals Digest (01 Dec) - Seven & I, WealthNavi, ESR, SDHS New Energy, Vitasoy, Kioxia, Hulic

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20241127/k10014650591000.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NHK reports</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>'s first bidding round for a YORK Holdings stake ends on 28 November. The sale provides a third-party valuation benchmark for the asset. </li>
<li>It is an incremental positive for the founding family MBO as it supports the post-privatisation strategy and assists in securing bank financing.</li>
<li>This is an incremental negative for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a> as it shows that the Board believes the restructuring plan will increase shareholder corporate value.  </li>
</ul>



NHK reports that Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)'s first bidding round for a YORK Holdings stake ends on 28 November. The sale provides a third-party valuation benchmark for the asset. 
It is an incremental positive for the founding family MBO as it supports the post-privatisation strategy and assists in securing bank financing.
This is an incremental negative for Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) as it shows that the Board believes the restructuring plan will increase shareholder corporate value.  


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Implications from the YORK Holdings Stake Sale

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-gaia-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)</a> disclosed a Bain tender offer at JPY2,670, a 35.9% premium to the undisturbed price but a 27.2% discount to the last close.</li>
<li>Bain has set the minimum number of shares to be purchased at a 12.67% ownership ratio to appease the Board, which has a neutral recommendation. </li>
<li>Bain hopes the offer’s harsh reality check will burst the share price bubble, nudging minorities to accept. An auction process suggests that the chance of a competing offer is low.   </li>
</ul>



T Gaia Corp (3738 JP) disclosed a Bain tender offer at JPY2,670, a 35.9% premium to the undisturbed price but a 27.2% discount to the last close.
Bain has set the minimum number of shares to be purchased at a 12.67% ownership ratio to appease the Board, which has a neutral recommendation. 
Bain hopes the offer’s harsh reality check will burst the share price bubble, nudging minorities to accept. An auction process suggests that the chance of a competing offer is low.   


T-Gaia (3738 JP): Reality Check as Bain Launches a Takeunder

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On Friday 13 September, the Ministry of Finance of Japan released revisions to the list (<a href="https://www.mof.go.jp/policy/international_policy/gaitame_kawase/press_release/20240913.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Japanese</a>, <a href="https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/international_policy/fdi/Related_Guidance_and_Documents/20240913.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">English</a>) of company classifications under the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act (FEFTA)</li>
<li>It appears 72 names were newly upgraded to "Core" ("3"), 21 newly listed companies (since the last list in Nov 2021) were labeled "3", and six lost their Type3 designation. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> saw breathless news articles Friday suggesting a foreign takeover became more difficult. Not really. </li>
</ul>


On Friday 13 September, the Ministry of Finance of Japan released revisions to the list (Japanese, English) of company classifications under the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act (FEFTA)
It appears 72 names were newly upgraded to "Core" ("3"), 21 newly listed companies (since the last list in Nov 2021) were labeled "3", and six lost their Type3 designation. 

Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) saw breathless news articles Friday suggesting a foreign takeover became more difficult. Not really. 


The New FEFTA List (With 7&I (3382) As "Core") Is Not a Big Hurdle for Couche-Tard

<ul>
<li>I kind of hate this, but I also can't ignore it. Apparently, an expensive media service Reporting on Deals or about the Market for Mergers, had an article today.</li>
<li>Bloomberg carried a small blurb saying there was "speculation on a tender offer.... according to traders". The stock is untraded, limit up.  </li>
<li>The most informative comment comes from Japanese stock market portal 'kabutan' which suggests "overseas media" thinks Sumitomo Corp will sell its shares. I look at the possibilities below.</li>
</ul>


I kind of hate this, but I also can't ignore it. Apparently, an expensive media service Reporting on Deals or about the Market for Mergers, had an article today.
Bloomberg carried a small blurb saying there was "speculation on a tender offer.... according to traders". The stock is untraded, limit up.  
The most informative comment comes from Japanese stock market portal 'kabutan' which suggests "overseas media" thinks Sumitomo Corp will sell its shares. I look at the possibilities below.


T-Gaia (3738 JP) - Possible Premium Takeout Story

Japan

Sumitomo Corp is a general trading company.  The Company imports and exports a wide variety of goods such as metals, machinery, chemicals, fuel,food products, and textiles.  Sumitomo also operates real estate, construction, shipping, insurance, finance, and leasing businesses.

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Sumitomo Corp (8053 JP)

Weekly Deals Digest (01 Dec) - Seven & I, WealthNavi, ESR, SDHS New Energy, Vitasoy, Kioxia, Hulic

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Seven & I, WealthNavi, ESR, SDHS New Energy, Vitasoy, Capitol, AVJennings, SG Fleet) and...

Arun George

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Implications from the YORK Holdings Stake Sale

The accelerated timeline of the YORK Holdings stake sale is an incremental positive for the founding family MBO and another setback for Couche-Tard.

Arun George

T-Gaia (3738 JP): Reality Check as Bain Launches a Takeunder

Bain hopes the offer’s harsh reality check will burst the share price bubble, nudging minorities to accept. An auction process suggests that the...

Arun George

The New FEFTA List (With 7&I (3382) As "Core") Is Not a Big Hurdle for Couche-Tard

The Japan Ministry of Finance made an updated FEFTA classification list on Friday. 7 and i got "upgraded" to Type 3 as Core. That doesn't change...

Travis Lundy

T-Gaia (3738 JP) - Possible Premium Takeout Story

T-Gaia has settled higher and is now trading down at month-end. A split price takeover would result in a minority price well higher than here. A...

Travis Lundy

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