Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japan saw big gains for SPE in the last 15 mins of trading on the TSMC capex outlook which should continue today.</li>
<li>Luxury names got a shot in the arm from Richemont numbers overnight so likes of Shiseido and Kose  may see a knee jerk higher.</li>
<li>Nintendo looks to have largely priced in the Switch 2, but upside remains for component makers.</li>
</ul>


Japan saw big gains for SPE in the last 15 mins of trading on the TSMC capex outlook which should continue today.
Luxury names got a shot in the arm from Richemont numbers overnight so likes of Shiseido and Kose  may see a knee jerk higher.
Nintendo looks to have largely priced in the Switch 2, but upside remains for component makers.


Japan Morning Connection: US Semi-Capex Names Higher on TSMC Numbers...more for JP Also?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

<ul>
<li>Further tech weakness in the US as markets brace for a more inflationary outlook.</li>
<li>Isetan Mitsukoshi numbers and new MTP should end recent underperformance.</li>
<li>Excessive Nintendo weakness on PIF cutting holdings a chance to buy ahead of new NSW announcement.</li>
</ul>


Further tech weakness in the US as markets brace for a more inflationary outlook.
Isetan Mitsukoshi numbers and new MTP should end recent underperformance.
Excessive Nintendo weakness on PIF cutting holdings a chance to buy ahead of new NSW announcement.


Japan Morning Connection: Softbank Further Consolidating Its AI Focus

<ul>
<li>Cummin's earnings +8.9% a good read for DC related power plays.</li>
<li>Weakness for Nintendo on an earnings miss could be a good chance to buy ahead of new Switch announcement.</li>
<li>JMDC sets a good tone for medical data related plays including M3 and Medley.</li>
</ul>


Cummin's earnings +8.9% a good read for DC related power plays.
Weakness for Nintendo on an earnings miss could be a good chance to buy ahead of new Switch announcement.
JMDC sets a good tone for medical data related plays including M3 and Medley.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Turning Surprisingly Risk-On Despite the Election Uncertainty

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,745m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan Airport Terminal, Lintec, Mizuho Financial, Tokyo Electron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,745m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan Airport Terminal, Lintec, Mizuho Financial, Tokyo Electron.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

Japan

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

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Nintendo (7974 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: US Semi-Capex Names Higher on TSMC Numbers...more for JP Also?

Gains due to positive outlook from TSMC should continue today, Richemont numbers may see Shiseido and Kose higher, component makers for Nintendo...

Andrew Jackson

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank Further Consolidating Its AI Focus

Tech weaknes continues in the US, new numbers from Isetan Mitsukoshi should end recent underperformance and Nintendo weakness offer opportunities...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Turning Surprisingly Risk-On Despite the Election Uncertainty

Cummin's earnings a good read for DC-related power plays. Nintendo's miss may present a buying opportunity before new Switch announcement. JMDC...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: US Semi-Capex Names Higher on TSMC Numbers...more for JP Also?

Gains due to positive outlook from TSMC should continue today, Richemont numbers may see Shiseido and Kose higher, component makers for Nintendo...

Andrew Jackson

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank Further Consolidating Its AI Focus

Tech weaknes continues in the US, new numbers from Isetan Mitsukoshi should end recent underperformance and Nintendo weakness offer opportunities...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Turning Surprisingly Risk-On Despite the Election Uncertainty

​Cummin's earnings a good read for DC-related power plays. Nintendo's miss may present a buying opportunity before new Switch announcement. JMDC...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 4th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Fujikura, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Cummin's earnings a good read for DC-related power plays. Nintendo's miss may present a buying opportunity before new Switch announcement. JMDC...