Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China just announced game approval for August batch. More games were approved in August compared to July and June.</li>
<li>Pace of China game approval continued to pick up albeit at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Both Tencent and Netease will be under increasing pressure as the duo continue to score zero in August, making it the fourth time with no games approved since resumption . </li>
</ul>


China just announced game approval for August batch. More games were approved in August compared to July and June.
Pace of China game approval continued to pick up albeit at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.
Both Tencent and Netease will be under increasing pressure as the duo continue to score zero in August, making it the fourth time with no games approved since resumption . 


Tencent/Netease: Increasing Pressure with Zero Approval in August Batch & Thoughts on Trading

<ul>
<li>China just announced game approval for July batch. More games were approved in July compared to June and May.</li>
<li>Pace of China game approval has picked up albeit at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Tencent and Netease will be under pressure as they continue to score zero in July domestic game approval. </li>
</ul>


China just announced game approval for July batch. More games were approved in July compared to June and May.
Pace of China game approval has picked up albeit at a much slower pace than pre-tightening.
Tencent and Netease will be under pressure as they continue to score zero in July domestic game approval. 


Tencent/Netease: Under Pressure with No Game Approval in July

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.</li>
<li>Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.
There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.
Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval last night for June batch, after a break in May.</li>
<li>We discussed in our previous note that China had resume game approval but at a slower pace.</li>
<li>Tencent and Netease continue to score zero in June domestic game approval.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval last night for June batch, after a break in May.
We discussed in our previous note that China had resume game approval but at a slower pace.
Tencent and Netease continue to score zero in June domestic game approval.


Tencent/Netease: Smell of Common Prosperity in June Game Approval

China Huarong Asset Management / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.
Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

China

iDreamSky Technology Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and distributes video games for mobile, consoles, PC, and tablets, as well as offers live gaming services. iDreamSky Technology Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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iDreamsky Technology Limited (1119 HK)

Tencent/Netease: Increasing Pressure with Zero Approval in August Batch & Thoughts on Trading

We analyzed the August batch of game approval. We note that Tencent and Netease continued to score zero in this batch, for the 4th consecutive...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent/Netease: Under Pressure with No Game Approval in July

China regulator released July batch of game approval. Tencent and Netease will be under pressure as they continue to score zero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

We see 28 potential adds and 9 close adds for the HSCI in September. There are 22 potential deletes on market cap, liquidity and prolonged...

Brian Freitas

Tencent/Netease: Smell of Common Prosperity in June Game Approval

We analyzed the latest mobile game approval in China released last night. Though it is encouraging that China gives game approval after a break in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

We forecast 7 adds to the HSCI in June. For the September rebalance, we forecast 19 adds & 19 deletes (7 on mkt cap, 4 on liquidity, 8 on long...

Brian Freitas

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