Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -0.7%, down again on inability to get a debt deal; Yellen's warnings keep coming; Fed Minutes - Officials mixed on hikes/pause; NVIDIA-BLOW OUT AI DRIVEN GUIDANCE</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% Discount to Cash; US debt limit weighs on Japans;  Fujitsu MTP - to return ¥600bn to shareholders over 3 yrs; Watch Advantest today on NVIDIA's guidance</li>
<li>NUGGET. Next Gen drinks development takes off as Sapporo Holdings(2501 JP) seeks competitive edge in drinks development by using AI</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -0.7%, down again on inability to get a debt deal; Yellen's warnings keep coming; Fed Minutes - Officials mixed on hikes/pause; NVIDIA-BLOW OUT AI DRIVEN GUIDANCE
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% Discount to Cash; US debt limit weighs on Japans;  Fujitsu MTP - to return ¥600bn to shareholders over 3 yrs; Watch Advantest today on NVIDIA's guidance
NUGGET. Next Gen drinks development takes off as Sapporo Holdings(2501 JP) seeks competitive edge in drinks development by using AI


Ohayo Japan | US Stocks/Bond Sell Off (Again) On Debt Impass;NUGGET: Sapporo HD-Using AI to Get Edge

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.</li>
<li>We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook remains unchanged as we continue to expect broad-based consolidation with $93 capping upside on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), while important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
We still recommend tactical overweight to defensives including gold miners and MSCI ACWI Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, given ACWI-US remains near the top of our expected 2023 trading range.
We are now starting to see broad-based improvement, particularly in Japan and India, but also in Taiwan and South Korea. Most of today's buy recommendations are cyclicals in these countries.


Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX flat on the day as catalysts lacking; Tech down ahead Wed's  CPI as momentum builds for rate hike;  Broad strength in cyclicals - underlying economic strength?</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY  133.7;Buffet says he looking to raise Japan equity weighting; MHI awarded big defense contract for missiles: Denso gears up for EV transition </li>
<li>NUGGET.  Toyota gets serious in BEVs - we are excited about the prospects for the supply chain, particularly Denso and Panasonic </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX flat on the day as catalysts lacking; Tech down ahead Wed's  CPI as momentum builds for rate hike;  Broad strength in cyclicals - underlying economic strength?
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY  133.7;Buffet says he looking to raise Japan equity weighting; MHI awarded big defense contract for missiles: Denso gears up for EV transition 
NUGGET.  Toyota gets serious in BEVs - we are excited about the prospects for the supply chain, particularly Denso and Panasonic 


Good Morning Japan |No Catalysts-Equities Flat; NUGGET - Toyota Gets Serious, Watch the Supply Chain

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Fed Chair Powell delivers expected +25bps;  Hawkish pledge on inflation + Yellen's testimony rattles markets; Safety trade reasserts; Seems like more volatility ahead for all markets. </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -1.7% vs Cash; USDJPY strengthens to 131.4 n rush to safety; Monetary nomalization on course in Japan - solid Land price gains + continued wage hikes. </li>
<li>NUGGET. NIKON - Riding the Digital Camera Renaissance.  Camera demand has stabilizes and is recovering as consumers shift to high end models. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Fed Chair Powell delivers expected +25bps;  Hawkish pledge on inflation + Yellen's testimony rattles markets; Safety trade reasserts; Seems like more volatility ahead for all markets. 
JAPAN. NKY Futs -1.7% vs Cash; USDJPY strengthens to 131.4 n rush to safety; Monetary nomalization on course in Japan - solid Land price gains + continued wage hikes. 
NUGGET. NIKON - Riding the Digital Camera Renaissance.  Camera demand has stabilizes and is recovering as consumers shift to high end models. 


Good Morning Japan |Yellen/Powell Rattles Markets; NUGGET: NIKON - Riding the DigiCam Renaissance

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX reclaims 4000 level with 2nd day of gains; 8/11 SPX sectors up as VIX collapses; Fed Decision Day on Wed-Expect No surprises; INTEL headwinds on China curbs </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.6% vs Cash; USDJPY 132. 4; Japan set to rally after the Spring  transition break;US accepts Japan's EV subsidy appeal=+ve auto parts; More inflation support from govt. </li>
<li>NUGGET. Asahi Kasai - M&amp;A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain. Future profitability of the LiB Separator business in question. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX reclaims 4000 level with 2nd day of gains; 8/11 SPX sectors up as VIX collapses; Fed Decision Day on Wed-Expect No surprises; INTEL headwinds on China curbs 
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.6% vs Cash; USDJPY 132. 4; Japan set to rally after the Spring  transition break;US accepts Japan's EV subsidy appeal=+ve auto parts; More inflation support from govt. 
NUGGET. Asahi Kasai - M&amp;A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain. Future profitability of the LiB Separator business in question. 


Good Morning Japan |SPX Reclaims 4000! NUGGET: Asahi Kasei-M&A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain

Japan

Sony Corporation manufactures audio, home video game consoles, communications, key device and information technology products for the consumer and professional markets.  The Company's other businesses include music, pictures, computer entertainment, and online businesses.

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Sony Corp (6758 JP)

Ohayo Japan | US Stocks/Bond Sell Off (Again) On Debt Impass;NUGGET: Sapporo HD-Using AI to Get Edge

Stocks and Bonds sell off in the US on ongoing debt limit impass; NKY Futs -0.3% Discount to Cash; Aggressive shareholder returns in Fujitsu's...

Mark Chadwick

Broad-Based Improvement in India, Add Exposure/Overweight. Buys: Cyclicals in Japan, India, & Taiwan

Seeing broad-based improvement in India #SENSEX -- overweight/add exposure. We still recommend a tactical overweight to ACWI defensives with $ACWI...

Vermilion Research

Good Morning Japan |No Catalysts-Equities Flat; NUGGET - Toyota Gets Serious, Watch the Supply Chain

While the US market looks for direction, in Japan, some positive headlines with help underline our bullish outlook. First, Warren Buffet in an...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Yellen/Powell Rattles Markets; NUGGET: NIKON - Riding the DigiCam Renaissance

Fed Chair Powell delivers expected +25bps; Hawkish pledge on inflation + Yellen's testimony rattles markets; Safety trade reasserts; Seems like...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |SPX Reclaims 4000! NUGGET: Asahi Kasei-M&A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain

Japan is poised to rally after the Spring transition, as its stocks have taken a hit during the recent risk-off period. This has created many...

Mark Chadwick

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