IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a> has disclosed that it has received a non-binding letter of intent from a third-party candidate, with purchase prices exceeding the CVC JPY2,520 offer.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUB0996J0Z01C25A2000000/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei</a> identifies the bidder as KKR and states that the offer is over JPY2,800, a 11.1% premium to the CVC offer. KKR want a Board-recommended offer.</li>
<li>CVC has extended the close of its offer to 5 January 2026, but will need to revise terms as its irrevocables (particularly Murakami and Hibiki) can switch to KKR.</li>
</ul>



Mandom Corp (4917 JP) has disclosed that it has received a non-binding letter of intent from a third-party candidate, with purchase prices exceeding the CVC JPY2,520 offer.
The Nikkei identifies the bidder as KKR and states that the offer is over JPY2,800, a 11.1% premium to the CVC offer. KKR want a Board-recommended offer.
CVC has extended the close of its offer to 5 January 2026, but will need to revise terms as its irrevocables (particularly Murakami and Hibiki) can switch to KKR.


Mandom (4917 JP): When You Thought It Was Done, KKR Emerges as a Competing Bidder

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Chando Global Holding / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Revenue growth is just at the industry level and the growth rate is lower than the CAGR of market size of domestic brands. So, CHANDO is not a fast-growing company.</li>
<li>Profit margin is disappointing due to high selling and marketing costs. Net profit fluctuated. This reflects that CHANDO’s profit model is not yet stable, with relatively weak risk resistance capacity</li>
<li>Due to lower performance growth and profit margin, we think valuation of CHANDO would be lower than peers such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd-41b64ec7-42e1-4d89-9424-b63b5ba53ea4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1521:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-chicmax-cosmetic-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35503:1" rel="noopener">Chicmax </a>in Hong Kong market. </li>
</ul>


Revenue growth is just at the industry level and the growth rate is lower than the CAGR of market size of domestic brands. So, CHANDO is not a fast-growing company.
Profit margin is disappointing due to high selling and marketing costs. Net profit fluctuated. This reflects that CHANDO’s profit model is not yet stable, with relatively weak risk resistance capacity
Due to lower performance growth and profit margin, we think valuation of CHANDO would be lower than peers such as Giant Biogene, Mao Geping, Chicmax in Hong Kong market. 


Pre-IPO Chando Global Holding - Low Growth and Profitability Are Pain Points

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Mao Geping Cosmetics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd-41b64ec7-42e1-4d89-9424-b63b5ba53ea4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1521:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping Cosmetics (1318 HK)</a> raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, the firm offers a wide range of Color cosmetics and Skincare products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Mao Geping Cosmetics (1318 HK) raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, the firm offers a wide range of Color cosmetics and Skincare products.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Mao Geping IPO Lockup - US$4.7bn Lockup Release for Founders and Pre-IPO Investors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a> has disclosed that the CVC-sponsored MBO price has increased by 28.6% from JPY1,960 to JPY2,520.</li>
<li>The revised terms mark a big win for activists, Murakami and Hibiki. Both activists will tender, with Hibiki reinvesting around 40% of its proceeds into the offeror's parent entity.</li>
<li>The revised terms are attractive, and this is a done deal. The offer closes on 18 December, with payment from 25 December.</li>
</ul>



Mandom Corp (4917 JP) has disclosed that the CVC-sponsored MBO price has increased by 28.6% from JPY1,960 to JPY2,520.
The revised terms mark a big win for activists, Murakami and Hibiki. Both activists will tender, with Hibiki reinvesting around 40% of its proceeds into the offeror's parent entity.
The revised terms are attractive, and this is a done deal. The offer closes on 18 December, with payment from 25 December.


Mandom (4917 JP): A Big Win for Activists as CVC-Sponsored MBO Price Raised to JPY2,520

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>It was reported that the Chinese government advised its citizens to refrain from traveling to Japan, which is likely to positively benefit the Korea in-bound tourism related stocks.</li>
<li>If the political tensions between China and Japan are not quickly resolved but continues to last, this would have further negative impact on the Japanese consumer/tourism/leisure related companies. </li>
<li>On the flip side, this could have a positive impact on the Korean consumer/tourism/leisure related companies such as Lotte Tour Development, Hotel Shilla, and Paradise. </li>
</ul>


It was reported that the Chinese government advised its citizens to refrain from traveling to Japan, which is likely to positively benefit the Korea in-bound tourism related stocks.
If the political tensions between China and Japan are not quickly resolved but continues to last, this would have further negative impact on the Japanese consumer/tourism/leisure related companies. 
On the flip side, this could have a positive impact on the Korean consumer/tourism/leisure related companies such as Lotte Tour Development, Hotel Shilla, and Paradise. 


China Advices Its Citizens to Refrain from Traveling to Japan - Beneficial Impact on Korea Tourism

Japan

Shiseido Company, Limited manufactures cosmetic and toiletry products. The Company offers an array of makeup and skin-care products, toiletries, beauty salon, pharmaceuticals, foodstuffs, and fine chemicals.

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Shiseido Company (4911 JP)

Mandom (4917 JP): When You Thought It Was Done, KKR Emerges as a Competing Bidder

CVC has extended the close of its offer to 5 January 2026, but will need to revise terms as its irrevocables (particularly Murakami and Hibiki) can...

Arun George

Pre-IPO Chando Global Holding - Low Growth and Profitability Are Pain Points

CHANDO's slow revenue growth and low profit margin suggest lower valuation compared to peers in the Hong Kong market. CHANDO’s profit model is not...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Mao Geping IPO Lockup - US$4.7bn Lockup Release for Founders and Pre-IPO Investors

Mao Geping Cosmetics (1318 HK) raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Mandom (4917 JP): A Big Win for Activists as CVC-Sponsored MBO Price Raised to JPY2,520

The revised terms mark a big win for activists, Murakami and Hibiki. Both activists will tender, with Hibiki reinvesting around 40% of its...

Arun George

China Advices Its Citizens to Refrain from Traveling to Japan - Beneficial Impact on Korea Tourism

Chinese government advising against travel to Japan could boost Korean tourism stocks, while prolonged tensions could harm Japanese companies.

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Mandom (4917 JP): When You Thought It Was Done, KKR Emerges as a Competing Bidder

CVC has extended the close of its offer to 5 January 2026, but will need to revise terms as its irrevocables (particularly Murakami and Hibiki) can...

Arun George

Pre-IPO Chando Global Holding - Low Growth and Profitability Are Pain Points

​CHANDO's slow revenue growth and low profit margin suggest lower valuation compared to peers in the Hong Kong market. CHANDO’s profit model is not...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Mao Geping IPO Lockup - US$4.7bn Lockup Release for Founders and Pre-IPO Investors

Mao Geping Cosmetics (1318 HK) raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Mandom (4917 JP): A Big Win for Activists as CVC-Sponsored MBO Price Raised to JPY2,520

The revised terms mark a big win for activists, Murakami and Hibiki. Both activists will tender, with Hibiki reinvesting around 40% of its...

Arun George

China Advices Its Citizens to Refrain from Traveling to Japan - Beneficial Impact on Korea Tourism

​Chinese government advising against travel to Japan could boost Korean tourism stocks, while prolonged tensions could harm Japanese companies.

Douglas Kim

CHANDO's slow revenue growth and low profit margin suggest lower valuation compared to peers in the Hong Kong market. CHANDO’s profit model is not...

Chinese government advising against travel to Japan could boost Korean tourism stocks, while prolonged tensions could harm Japanese companies.