Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Softbank racking up big losses in 3Q but market looking to Stargate.</li>
<li>Japanese cosmetics names continue to struggle with Kose missing after Shiseido the day before.</li>
<li>Toray's -12% drop yesterday looks excessive given the overall outlook remains buoyant.</li>
</ul>


Softbank racking up big losses in 3Q but market looking to Stargate.
Japanese cosmetics names continue to struggle with Kose missing after Shiseido the day before.
Toray's -12% drop yesterday looks excessive given the overall outlook remains buoyant.


Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape but Gains for Names to Benefit from a US Focused AI Industry

<ul>
<li>US semi onshoring plays lifted by Vance comments on US production comments.</li>
<li>SMCI preliminary numbers after market pointing to big upside for 2026 and 30% uptake in new DC's.</li>
<li>Shiseido numbers missed but there were bright spots...enough to cover up the blemishes for a squeeze?</li>
</ul>


US semi onshoring plays lifted by Vance comments on US production comments.
SMCI preliminary numbers after market pointing to big upside for 2026 and 30% uptake in new DC's.
Shiseido numbers missed but there were bright spots...enough to cover up the blemishes for a squeeze?


Japan Morning Connection: Selective Squeezes May Continue with Japan Back from Holiday

<ul>
<li>Palantir +24% as AI demand shows no signs of a slow down.</li>
<li>SMCI giving a business update to help one of Japan's worst tech performers?</li>
<li>Estee Lauder -16% as its Asian travel retail business continues to falter setting a bad tone for Shiseido and Kose.</li>
</ul>


Palantir +24% as AI demand shows no signs of a slow down.
SMCI giving a business update to help one of Japan's worst tech performers?
Estee Lauder -16% as its Asian travel retail business continues to falter setting a bad tone for Shiseido and Kose.


Japan Morning Connection: Big Capex Guidance from Alphabet a Positive for Semicap Related

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>More than 40 potential turnaround stocks will report Q3 results in the coming weeks. </li>
<li>The average spread between the lowest and highest street estimate for the stocks on our target list is a gaping 45%. This doesn't mean what most people think it means.</li>
<li>Rohm, Taiyo Yuden, Yamato, Hamamatsu, JFE, Tsuruha look nice, but we pass on Shiseido and Mazda.</li>
</ul>


More than 40 potential turnaround stocks will report Q3 results in the coming weeks. 
The average spread between the lowest and highest street estimate for the stocks on our target list is a gaping 45%. This doesn't mean what most people think it means.
Rohm, Taiyo Yuden, Yamato, Hamamatsu, JFE, Tsuruha look nice, but we pass on Shiseido and Mazda.


Unloved Japan Roundup: Don't Panic Ahead of Q3 Results Rush

<ul>
<li>Japan saw big gains for SPE in the last 15 mins of trading on the TSMC capex outlook which should continue today.</li>
<li>Luxury names got a shot in the arm from Richemont numbers overnight so likes of Shiseido and Kose  may see a knee jerk higher.</li>
<li>Nintendo looks to have largely priced in the Switch 2, but upside remains for component makers.</li>
</ul>


Japan saw big gains for SPE in the last 15 mins of trading on the TSMC capex outlook which should continue today.
Luxury names got a shot in the arm from Richemont numbers overnight so likes of Shiseido and Kose  may see a knee jerk higher.
Nintendo looks to have largely priced in the Switch 2, but upside remains for component makers.


Japan Morning Connection: US Semi-Capex Names Higher on TSMC Numbers...more for JP Also?

Japan

Shiseido Company, Limited manufactures cosmetic and toiletry products. The Company offers an array of makeup and skin-care products, toiletries, beauty salon, pharmaceuticals, foodstuffs, and fine chemicals.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shiseido Company (4911 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape but Gains for Names to Benefit from a US Focused AI Industry

Softbank faces significant losses but market will focus on Stargate. Kose follows Shiseido's miss. Toray's drop seems excessive given overall...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Selective Squeezes May Continue with Japan Back from Holiday

US semi onshoring boosted by positive comments on US production, SMCI points to big upside for 2026, Shiseido misses numbers but could bright...

Andrew Jackson

Unloved Japan Roundup: Don't Panic Ahead of Q3 Results Rush

Over 40 potential turnaround stocks set to report Q3 results with a 45% spread in estimates, some companies like Rohm and JFE look promising while...

Michael Allen

Japan Morning Connection: US Semi-Capex Names Higher on TSMC Numbers...more for JP Also?

Gains due to positive outlook from TSMC should continue today, Richemont numbers may see Shiseido and Kose higher, component makers for Nintendo...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape but Gains for Names to Benefit from a US Focused AI Industry

​Softbank faces significant losses but market will focus on Stargate. Kose follows Shiseido's miss. Toray's drop seems excessive given overall...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Selective Squeezes May Continue with Japan Back from Holiday

​US semi onshoring boosted by positive comments on US production, SMCI points to big upside for 2026, Shiseido misses numbers but could bright...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Big Capex Guidance from Alphabet a Positive for Semicap Related

​Palantir surges on continuing high demand for AI. Estee Lauder sets a bad tone for Shiseido and Kose. Will SMCI business update aid the struggling...

Andrew Jackson

Unloved Japan Roundup: Don't Panic Ahead of Q3 Results Rush

​Over 40 potential turnaround stocks set to report Q3 results with a 45% spread in estimates, some companies like Rohm and JFE look promising while...

Michael Allen

Japan Morning Connection: US Semi-Capex Names Higher on TSMC Numbers...more for JP Also?

Gains due to positive outlook from TSMC should continue today, Richemont numbers may see Shiseido and Kose higher, component makers for Nintendo...

Andrew Jackson

Softbank faces significant losses but market will focus on Stargate. Kose follows Shiseido's miss. Toray's drop seems excessive given overall...

US semi onshoring boosted by positive comments on US production, SMCI points to big upside for 2026, Shiseido misses numbers but could bright...

Palantir surges on continuing high demand for AI. Estee Lauder sets a bad tone for Shiseido and Kose. Will SMCI business update aid the struggling...

Over 40 potential turnaround stocks set to report Q3 results with a 45% spread in estimates, some companies like Rohm and JFE look promising while...