HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

CNGR Advanced Material / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cngr-advanced-material-co-ltd-47ff2856-4dc1-492a-8394-03d69de02ce4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45994:1" rel="noopener">CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)</a>'s IPO price was fixed at the low end at HK$34.00. However, valuation is inexpensive, and initial price weakness is a long-term opportunity.</li>
<li>Three groups of close peers, including nickel-related companies, mining companies, and lithium/battery companies, trade on average FY26F PER of 21x, vs. CNGR's 12.5x.</li>
<li>By parking it with the steepest HA discount of its peers (26.2%), CNGR will be valued at HK$40.07, as its IPO price implies a massive 37.4% discount.</li>
</ul>



CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)'s IPO price was fixed at the low end at HK$34.00. However, valuation is inexpensive, and initial price weakness is a long-term opportunity.
Three groups of close peers, including nickel-related companies, mining companies, and lithium/battery companies, trade on average FY26F PER of 21x, vs. CNGR's 12.5x.
By parking it with the steepest HA discount of its peers (26.2%), CNGR will be valued at HK$40.07, as its IPO price implies a massive 37.4% discount.


CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.1% as of Nov 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, materials, information technology and offset by real estate, energy, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ganfeng Lithium, Baiyunshan Pharma, China Life, CATL, ABC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.1% as of Nov 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, materials, information technology and offset by real estate, energy, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ganfeng Lithium, Baiyunshan Pharma, China Life, CATL, ABC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 14th): Ganfeng Lithium, Baiyunshan Pharma, China Life, CATL, ABC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Elliott ups its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a> and considers the proposed Offer to be significantly undervalues the company. </li>
<li>No matter how you slice it, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)</a>is trading rich. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a> is trading even richer. </li>
<li>Is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting  (GENT MK)</a>'s low-balled Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> all about securing statutory control; or is there scope for a bump now that the transaction has turned unconditional? </li>
</ul>


Elliott ups its stake in Toyota Industries (6201 JP) and considers the proposed Offer to be significantly undervalues the company. 
No matter how you slice it, Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)is trading rich. Zijin Gold (2259 HK) is trading even richer. 
Is Genting  (GENT MK)'s low-balled Offer for Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) all about securing statutory control; or is there scope for a bump now that the transaction has turned unconditional? 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, Zijin Mining, Genting Malaysia, Jardine Matheson

Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a> is up 101% on its 29th September listing. By my estimate, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24628:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining (601899 CH)</a>'s average premium to NAV since Zijin Gold's listing has been ~21%. </li>
<li>Preceding further commentary on Zijin Mining/Gold are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Zijin Gold (2259 HK) is up 101% on its 29th September listing. By my estimate, Zijin Mining (601899 CH)'s average premium to NAV since Zijin Gold's listing has been ~21%. 
Preceding further commentary on Zijin Mining/Gold are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Zijin Mining (2899 HK) Is Still Out Of Whack

China

Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, explores, mines, produces, refines, and sells gold and other mineral resources in China.

Price Gauge
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Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)

CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 14th): Ganfeng Lithium, Baiyunshan Pharma, China Life, CATL, ABC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ganfeng Lithium, Baiyunshan Pharma, China Life, CATL, ABC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, Zijin Mining, Genting Malaysia, Jardine Matheson

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Zijin Mining (2899 HK) Is Still Out Of Whack

Zijin Mining is trading rich. As is Zijin Gold. I'd be taking down borrow in Zijin Mining and look to short when this turns. Oddly - Zijin Gold is...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

​CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 14th): Ganfeng Lithium, Baiyunshan Pharma, China Life, CATL, ABC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ganfeng Lithium, Baiyunshan Pharma, China Life, CATL, ABC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, Zijin Mining, Genting Malaysia, Jardine Matheson

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Zijin Mining (2899 HK) Is Still Out Of Whack

Zijin Mining is trading rich. As is Zijin Gold. I'd be taking down borrow in Zijin Mining and look to short when this turns. Oddly - Zijin Gold is...

David Blennerhassett

CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...