Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>A third of the way through the averaging period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 2 to MidCap, 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last few months. The gap between the small and mid-cap migrations has continued to widen.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
A third of the way through the averaging period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 2 to MidCap, 2 to SmallCap.
The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last few months. The gap between the small and mid-cap migrations has continued to widen.


KOSPI Size Indices: Small-To-Mid Migrations Running Up

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will commence on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>Nearing the start of the averaging period, we forecast 34 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 2 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last 3 months. The gap in returns versus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> is a lot smaller.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will commence on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
Nearing the start of the averaging period, we forecast 34 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 2 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last 3 months. The gap in returns versus the KOSPI2 INDEX is a lot smaller.


KOSPI Size Indices: Lots of Change as Averaging Starts

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering / Event-Driven

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS)

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering

<ul>
<li>Market sniffing policy push; low-float names flagged as junk risk with skewed control. Desks circling, Palliser hit early—LG Chem trade popped, timing spot on.</li>
<li>Trade setup: screen &gt;₩1tn caps with low float, parent stakes 60–80%. Policy push likely forces stake cuts, driving float higher and squeezing NAV discounts—LG Chem shows the play.</li>
<li>Screening &gt;₩1tn caps flags 11 names: parents hold 60–80%. All potential stake-sale plays to boost float, squeeze NAV discount.</li>
</ul>


Market sniffing policy push; low-float names flagged as junk risk with skewed control. Desks circling, Palliser hit early—LG Chem trade popped, timing spot on.
Trade setup: screen &gt;₩1tn caps with low float, parent stakes 60–80%. Policy push likely forces stake cuts, driving float higher and squeezing NAV discounts—LG Chem shows the play.
Screening &gt;₩1tn caps flags 11 names: parents hold 60–80%. All potential stake-sale plays to boost float, squeeze NAV discount.


Korea’s Next Policy Play: NAV Discount Squeeze on Low‑Float Large Caps

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2</a> in December.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the KOSPI2 in December.


KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>After the market close today (17 July), Hanil Cement Co Ltd/New (300720 KS) and Hanil Hyundai Cement (006390 KS) announced that they will merge.</li>
<li>Through this merger, Hanil Cement (on a combined basis with pro-forma sales of 1.74 trillion won in 2024) will become the largest cement company in Korea after Ssangyong Cement Industrial.</li>
<li>We expect this merger to have a positive impact on both companies and they are likely to outperform the market and other local cement producers this year. </li>
</ul>


After the market close today (17 July), Hanil Cement Co Ltd/New (300720 KS) and Hanil Hyundai Cement (006390 KS) announced that they will merge.
Through this merger, Hanil Cement (on a combined basis with pro-forma sales of 1.74 trillion won in 2024) will become the largest cement company in Korea after Ssangyong Cement Industrial.
We expect this merger to have a positive impact on both companies and they are likely to outperform the market and other local cement producers this year. 


A Merger Between Hanil Cement and Hanil Hyundai Cement to Become the #1 Cement Player in Korea

South Korea

Hanil Holdings Co.,Ltd. manufactures cement products. The Company produces and sells cement, ready-mixed concrete, ready-mixed dry mortar, and other related products. Hanil Holdings also provides information technology services and construction services.

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Hanil Holdings (003300 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Small-To-Mid Migrations Running Up

There could be 37 migrations across categories in March, plus new listings being added. The small-to-mid cap migrations have continued to move...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Lots of Change as Averaging Starts

There could be 34 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in March. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add, 2 MidCap adds and 2 SmallCap...

Brian Freitas

Korea’s Next Policy Play: NAV Discount Squeeze on Low‑Float Large Caps

This post lays out a live watchlist for NAV discount traders as Korea’s policy narrative shifts to low‑float large caps.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

There could be 49 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are...

Brian Freitas

A Merger Between Hanil Cement and Hanil Hyundai Cement to Become the #1 Cement Player in Korea

Hanil Cement Co Ltd/New (300720 KS) and Hanil Hyundai Cement (006390 KS) announced that they will merge. Through this merger, the combined entity...

Douglas Kim

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