Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The JIP Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> closes today. I expect that we will see results announced as early as late tonight, but by law, by latest tomorrow.</li>
<li>There will be at least three major index downweights, and possibly deletions, most likely in the following five trading days.</li>
<li>This shows the approximate maximum share and dollar amounts to be sold, and approximate dates. </li>
</ul>


The JIP Tender Offer for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) closes today. I expect that we will see results announced as early as late tonight, but by law, by latest tomorrow.
There will be at least three major index downweights, and possibly deletions, most likely in the following five trading days.
This shows the approximate maximum share and dollar amounts to be sold, and approximate dates. 


Toshiba Tender Offer Ends Today - Upcoming Index Selldown Schedule

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-securities-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39933:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebixcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36390:1" rel="noopener">EbixCash (EBIXC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lalatech-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36848:1" rel="noopener">Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd (LALA HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lianlian-digitech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39940:1" rel="noopener">Lianlian DigiTech (2104619D CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyoden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7002:1" rel="noopener">Kyoden Co Ltd (6881 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP), EbixCash (EBIXC IN), Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd (LALA HK) and Lianlian DigiTech (2104619D CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Eoflow (294090 KS), Kyoden Co Ltd (6881 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM), Estia Health (EHE AU), Origin Energy (ORG AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (13 Aug) - Toshiba, Kyoden, Eoflow, Chindata, Estia, InvoCare, OreCorp, Origin

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>The JIP TOB for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba (6502 JP)</a> is here. Finally. It's still too low. Since the announcement, when it was too low, peers are up a lot, and memory looks healthier.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hongkong-land-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15465:1" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land (HKL SP)</a> selling Three Exchange Square sounds purely speculative. At best. But it would have a bigly impact on Hong Kong Office sentiment if true. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inpex-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20665:1" rel="noopener">Inpex (1605 JP)</a> reported 1H results, a change in forecasts, and a bigly buyback. The mechanics are the same. The impact is a bit different, but it's worth looking at.</li>
</ul>


The JIP TOB for Toshiba (6502 JP) is here. Finally. It's still too low. Since the announcement, when it was too low, peers are up a lot, and memory looks healthier.

Hongkong Land (HKL SP) selling Three Exchange Square sounds purely speculative. At best. But it would have a bigly impact on Hong Kong Office sentiment if true. 

Inpex (1605 JP) reported 1H results, a change in forecasts, and a bigly buyback. The mechanics are the same. The impact is a bit different, but it's worth looking at.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Hongkong Land, Inpex, L'Occitane

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, JIP finally announced its Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> as discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jip-tender-offer-for-toshiba-6502-finally-here" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:109849" rel="noopener">JIP Tender Offer for Toshiba (6502) Finally Here</a> </li>
<li>I got a few questions this morning on the earnings call comments from Chairman Watanabe regarding what might happen if a Kioxia Transaction were announced mid-JIP Tender.</li>
<li>My assumption before, during, and after, is that the Board wants this deal done. And doesn't really want to take any responsibility for pushing any more.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, JIP finally announced its Tender Offer for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) as discussed in JIP Tender Offer for Toshiba (6502) Finally Here 
I got a few questions this morning on the earnings call comments from Chairman Watanabe regarding what might happen if a Kioxia Transaction were announced mid-JIP Tender.
My assumption before, during, and after, is that the Board wants this deal done. And doesn't really want to take any responsibility for pushing any more.


Toshiba (6502) Tender Offer - Kioxia Optionality

<ul>
<li>Japan Industrial Partners (JIP) will launch the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> tender offer of JPY4,620 per share from 8 August to 20 September.</li>
<li>The Board has reaffirmed its recommendation to accept the offer. JIP’s inability to raise its bid is used as an excuse to ignore the material peer rerating and unattractive terms.</li>
<li>The 1Q results undermine the Board’s view of an overstated DCF and show its unwillingness to entertain a potential Kioxia merger as a superior alternative, increasing deal risks. </li>
</ul>


Japan Industrial Partners (JIP) will launch the Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) tender offer of JPY4,620 per share from 8 August to 20 September.
The Board has reaffirmed its recommendation to accept the offer. JIP’s inability to raise its bid is used as an excuse to ignore the material peer rerating and unattractive terms.
The 1Q results undermine the Board’s view of an overstated DCF and show its unwillingness to entertain a potential Kioxia merger as a superior alternative, increasing deal risks. 


Toshiba (6502 JP): Tender Offer Launches, 1Q Results Increase Deal Risks

Japan

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

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Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)

Toshiba Tender Offer Ends Today - Upcoming Index Selldown Schedule

Toshiba's Tender Offer ends today. There will be considerable index selling over the next week, then more again in late Nov-Dec. The split of how...

Travis Lundy

Weekly Deals Digest (13 Aug) - Toshiba, Kyoden, Eoflow, Chindata, Estia, InvoCare, OreCorp, Origin

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Toshiba, Kyoden, Eoflow, Chindata, Estia, InvoCare, Musgrave, OreCorp, Origin) and ECM...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Hongkong Land, Inpex, L'Occitane

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Toshiba (6502) Tender Offer - Kioxia Optionality

Questions have been raised about "what happens if a Kioxia deal comes during the TOB" (for Toshiba). The answer will obviously be "it depends" but...

Travis Lundy

Toshiba (6502 JP): Tender Offer Launches, 1Q Results Increase Deal Risks

The 1Q results undermine the Board’s view of an overstated DCF and show its unwillingness to entertain a potential Kioxia merger as a superior...

Arun George

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