Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-clinical-labs-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36020:1" rel="noopener">Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, Wyloo/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor (MCR AU)</a>, JIC/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, and MBk/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/osstem-implant-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1450:1" rel="noopener">Osstem Implant (048260 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essential-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9645:1" rel="noopener">Essential Metals (ESS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-m-entertainment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3500:1" rel="noopener">S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU)/Healius (HLS AU), Wyloo/Mincor (MCR AU), JIC/Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), and MBk/ Osstem Implant (048260 KS).
Key updates took place for Essential Metals (ESS AU), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), and S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Healius, Mincor, Osstem, Golden Energy, S.M.Entertainment

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX ekes out +0.3% gains; Only Tech &amp; Telcos Positive while other 9 sectors in the Red; Fed's dot plot says 5.1%;  Hinderburg takes aim at BLOCK (Square)</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -1.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.9 as US Rate hike fears wane;  Japan ends export restrictions on semi materials to S. Korea; Softbank's ARM to change pricing rules</li>
<li>NUGGET. Japan's Hay Fever Hell: Few Winners, Many Losers. Winners: drugstores, pharmacists, e-commerce; Losers: everyone related to Outdoor activities !</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX ekes out +0.3% gains; Only Tech &amp; Telcos Positive while other 9 sectors in the Red; Fed's dot plot says 5.1%;  Hinderburg takes aim at BLOCK (Square)
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -1.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.9 as US Rate hike fears wane;  Japan ends export restrictions on semi materials to S. Korea; Softbank's ARM to change pricing rules
NUGGET. Japan's Hay Fever Hell: Few Winners, Many Losers. Winners: drugstores, pharmacists, e-commerce; Losers: everyone related to Outdoor activities !


Good Morning Japan |Dot Plot Says 5.1%; Tech Leads Gains; NUGGET: Japan's Hay Fever Hell-Few Winners

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> announced a pre-conditional tender offer by Japan Industrial Partners (JIP), the preferred bidder at JPY4,620 per share, a 9.7% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The special committee opines that the offer is the best price that can be expected today, which sounds like we are recommending the offer as it is the only one.</li>
<li>The offer has several negatives: a 14% price reduction during the process, below the undisturbed price, below the mid-point IFA DCF range and no serious effort on Plan B. </li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) announced a pre-conditional tender offer by Japan Industrial Partners (JIP), the preferred bidder at JPY4,620 per share, a 9.7% premium to the last close price.
The special committee opines that the offer is the best price that can be expected today, which sounds like we are recommending the offer as it is the only one.
The offer has several negatives: a 14% price reduction during the process, below the undisturbed price, below the mid-point IFA DCF range and no serious effort on Plan B. 


Toshiba (6502 JP): JIP’s JPY4,620 Tender Offer, Now for the Really Hard Part

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Just post-close, the Nikkei <a href="https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUC016210R01C22A1000000/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> Toshiba's Board had agreed a JIP deal at "around ¥2trln." Toshiba confirmed HOURS later indicating language was still being hashed out. And the dividend cancelled.</li>
<li>Toshiba "supports" the deal because it aligns a single shareholder with management goals. They cannot recommend to general shareholders because it is too low. But JIP was the only bidder. </li>
<li>It raises the question of whether activists will submit to "Toshiba Fatigue" at what the Board admits is too low a price, or whether there is still fight left.</li>
</ul>


Just post-close, the Nikkei reported Toshiba's Board had agreed a JIP deal at "around ¥2trln." Toshiba confirmed HOURS later indicating language was still being hashed out. And the dividend cancelled.
Toshiba "supports" the deal because it aligns a single shareholder with management goals. They cannot recommend to general shareholders because it is too low. But JIP was the only bidder. 
It raises the question of whether activists will submit to "Toshiba Fatigue" at what the Board admits is too low a price, or whether there is still fight left.


Toshiba Board to Shareholders:  "Yes, Meh But We Did Our Job, Now It's Up To You (We're Tired Too)"

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei reported today that Toshiba’s board had chosen to accept JIP’s buyout offer. </li>
<li>The purported pricing of ¥2trn is a relatively modest premium but is not a surprise and no surprise is a positive here in our view. </li>
<li>All that remains is shareholder approval and while we doubt there will be too many celebrations on that front, there is likely to be relief.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei reported today that Toshiba’s board had chosen to accept JIP’s buyout offer. 
The purported pricing of ¥2trn is a relatively modest premium but is not a surprise and no surprise is a positive here in our view. 
All that remains is shareholder approval and while we doubt there will be too many celebrations on that front, there is likely to be relief.


Japan

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

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Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Healius, Mincor, Osstem, Golden Energy, S.M.Entertainment

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Good Morning Japan |Dot Plot Says 5.1%; Tech Leads Gains; NUGGET: Japan's Hay Fever Hell-Few Winners

NKY Futs -1.2% vs Cash while the USD/JPY exchange rate was 130.9 as fears over US interest rate hikes moderates. With lower rate hike expectations,...

Mark Chadwick

Toshiba (6502 JP): JIP’s JPY4,620 Tender Offer, Now for the Really Hard Part

The shares will react positively initially. However, it should start drifting again once it becomes apparent that there is a considerable risk that...

Arun George

Toshiba Board to Shareholders: "Yes, Meh But We Did Our Job, Now It's Up To You (We're Tired Too)"

Toshiba's Board supports but cannot recommend to shareholders a JIP Tender Offer at a price which was lowered three times from an already...

Travis Lundy

Toshiba – The End… Hopefully

The Nikkei reported today that Toshiba’s board had chosen to accept JIP’s buyout offer and while we doubt there will be too many celebrations by...

Mio Kato

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