Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The core eCommerce and Fintech segments posted good results for the quarter but that will certainly get lost in the discussion on mobile</li>
<li>Mobile operating losses exceeded $1bn in Q4 and whilst management is guiding to losses bottoming out in Q1 22, the magnitude of improvements remains undefined</li>
<li>Rakuten Mobile capex is on par with incumbents and will remain unchanged in FY22</li>
</ul>


The core eCommerce and Fintech segments posted good results for the quarter but that will certainly get lost in the discussion on mobile
Mobile operating losses exceeded $1bn in Q4 and whilst management is guiding to losses bottoming out in Q1 22, the magnitude of improvements remains undefined
Rakuten Mobile capex is on par with incumbents and will remain unchanged in FY22


Rakuten (Neutral) - Q4 21 Results Reaction: Hard to Look past Mobile Losses

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NTT has raised financial guidance by 1-2% on upside at subsidiary NTT Data</li>
<li>A corresponding increase in the FY21 dividend from ¥110 to ¥115 provides a near-term reward for shareholders</li>
<li>We are raising our target price from ¥3,600 to ¥4,000 and remain at Buy</li>
</ul>


NTT has raised financial guidance by 1-2% on upside at subsidiary NTT Data
A corresponding increase in the FY21 dividend from ¥110 to ¥115 provides a near-term reward for shareholders
We are raising our target price from ¥3,600 to ¥4,000 and remain at Buy


NTT (Buy) - Q3 21 Results Reaction: NTT Data Drives Beat and Raise with Dividend Boost

<ul>
<li>We had a chat with KDDI after results last week including clarification on issues that came up on the analyst call (3G network shutdown, Q4 impacts on operating profit)</li>
<li>The competitive environment in mobile looks similar to Q2 but wider distribution for sub-brands UQ (retail store presence) and Povo (first full quarter of availability) helped drive user growth</li>
<li>We have updated our forecasts for Q3 results and remain at Buy</li>
</ul>


We had a chat with KDDI after results last week including clarification on issues that came up on the analyst call (3G network shutdown, Q4 impacts on operating profit)
The competitive environment in mobile looks similar to Q2 but wider distribution for sub-brands UQ (retail store presence) and Povo (first full quarter of availability) helped drive user growth
We have updated our forecasts for Q3 results and remain at Buy


KDDI (Buy) - Follow-Up After Q3 21 Results

<ul>
<li>Financial beat as enterprise sales grow and consumer mobile pressure stabilizes. A rebound in mobile user growth was a key driver</li>
<li>The company has raised its FY21 buyback program to a record ¥200bn</li>
<li>We are raising our target price from ¥4,030 to ¥4,440 and remain at Buy</li>
</ul>


Financial beat as enterprise sales grow and consumer mobile pressure stabilizes. A rebound in mobile user growth was a key driver
The company has raised its FY21 buyback program to a record ¥200bn
We are raising our target price from ¥4,030 to ¥4,440 and remain at Buy


KDDI (Buy) - Q3 21 Results Reaction: Slight Beat with Share Buy-Back Sweetener

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NTT sees a US$1 billion selldown of shares on Wednesday 29 December. </li>
<li>This is due to a weird quirk in the way TOPIX and JPX Nikkei 400 are constructed and managed - a quirk not generally seen in other major index families.</li>
<li>NTT is cheap to peers, and NTT / Peer EPSe Ratios continue to grow, up and to the right.</li>
</ul>


NTT sees a US$1 billion selldown of shares on Wednesday 29 December. 
This is due to a weird quirk in the way TOPIX and JPX Nikkei 400 are constructed and managed - a quirk not generally seen in other major index families.
NTT is cheap to peers, and NTT / Peer EPSe Ratios continue to grow, up and to the right.


Watch the $1bn Sell-On-Close on NTT (9432) Wednesday

Japan

KDDI CORPORATION provides mobile communication services and sells mobile devices.  The Company also is a broadband provider.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

KDDI Corp (9433 JP)

Rakuten (Neutral) - Q4 21 Results Reaction: Hard to Look past Mobile Losses

Rakuten’s mobile business is losing a billion dollars per quarter and capital spending is higher than incumbents. That is going to obscure solid...

Kirk Boodry

NTT (Buy) - Q3 21 Results Reaction: NTT Data Drives Beat and Raise with Dividend Boost

NTT has boosted full-year guidance and the dividend on solid financial results from NTT Data. We are raising our target price and remain at Buy.

Kirk Boodry

KDDI (Buy) - Follow-Up After Q3 21 Results

We are relatively sanguine about the impact of the 3G network shutdown whilst drivers behind the growth in consumer mobile subscriptions are...

Kirk Boodry

Watch the $1bn Sell-On-Close on NTT (9432) Wednesday

NTT cancelled shares in November. That leads to a TOPIX event selldown at end-December. For NTT it is US$1bn. But NTT remains undeservedly cheap to...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rakuten (Neutral) - Q4 21 Results Reaction: Hard to Look past Mobile Losses

Rakuten’s mobile business is losing a billion dollars per quarter and capital spending is higher than incumbents. That is going to obscure solid...

Kirk Boodry

NTT (Buy) - Q3 21 Results Reaction: NTT Data Drives Beat and Raise with Dividend Boost

NTT has boosted full-year guidance and the dividend on solid financial results from NTT Data. We are raising our target price and remain at Buy.

Kirk Boodry

KDDI (Buy) - Follow-Up After Q3 21 Results

We are relatively sanguine about the impact of the 3G network shutdown whilst drivers behind the growth in consumer mobile subscriptions are...

Kirk Boodry

KDDI (Buy) - Q3 21 Results Reaction: Slight Beat with Share Buy-Back Sweetener

A surprise ¥50bn expansion in the share buyback program makes this KDDI's most prolific year for returns so far even as financial upside improves a...

Kirk Boodry

Watch the $1bn Sell-On-Close on NTT (9432) Wednesday

NTT cancelled shares in November. That leads to a TOPIX event selldown at end-December. For NTT it is US$1bn. But NTT remains undeservedly cheap to...

Travis Lundy