Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Of our seven quantitative stock baskets, four have operated for more than three months. We measure the performances of these four - Consistent Compounders, SMID Compounders, Dividend Yielders, Indian Mid-Caps.</li>
<li>Consistent Compounders, though up since inception, has underperformed MXASJ mildly. SMID Compounders has underperformed sharply. Asian Dividend Yielders has outperformed handsomely and Indian Mid-Caps, by a stupendous margin.</li>
<li>We think the Indian mid-cap basket could take a short-term breather. The Dividend Yield basket could outperform, as investors’ preference for yields in uncertain times could continue for now.</li>
</ul>


Of our seven quantitative stock baskets, four have operated for more than three months. We measure the performances of these four - Consistent Compounders, SMID Compounders, Dividend Yielders, Indian Mid-Caps.
Consistent Compounders, though up since inception, has underperformed MXASJ mildly. SMID Compounders has underperformed sharply. Asian Dividend Yielders has outperformed handsomely and Indian Mid-Caps, by a stupendous margin.
We think the Indian mid-cap basket could take a short-term breather. The Dividend Yield basket could outperform, as investors’ preference for yields in uncertain times could continue for now.


Asian Equity: Performance of Our Quant Baskets: Indian MidCaps, Asian Dividend Yields Rule the Roost

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

<ul>
<li>Tariff introductions in Vietnam were 46%, PRC 34%, Bangladesh 37%, Indonesia 32%, etc, have rocked the textile complex, and share prices have reacted negatively. </li>
<li>The companies with the maximum revenue exposure to the US market are <a target="_blank" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a>, with 47%, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener">Crystal International (2232 HK)</a>, with 38%, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lever-style-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35760:1" rel="noopener">Lever Style (1346 HK)</a>, with 58%.</li>
<li>We anticipate that the negative sentiment will continue to hinder the sector until a reasonable negotiation occurs. In the meantime, there are no beneficiaries in this trade war.</li>
</ul>


Tariff introductions in Vietnam were 46%, PRC 34%, Bangladesh 37%, Indonesia 32%, etc, have rocked the textile complex, and share prices have reacted negatively. 
The companies with the maximum revenue exposure to the US market are Stella International (1836 HK), with 47%, Crystal International (2232 HK), with 38%, and Lever Style (1346 HK), with 58%.
We anticipate that the negative sentiment will continue to hinder the sector until a reasonable negotiation occurs. In the meantime, there are no beneficiaries in this trade war.


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jnby-design-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23642:1" rel="noopener">JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK)</a> is successful in capturing China's niche designer fashion segment. Its FY24 net profit surged 36.4%, despite the challenging retail market.</li>
<li>Gross margin reached a record high of 67.3% in 2H24 on higher purchases from loyal members. Operating cash flow surged 70.7% YoY, affirming its status as a cash cow.</li>
<li>Including special dividends, FY24 payout ratio was 95%. At 75% ordinary payout for FY25, it sits on a 10.9% yield. Net cash equals 22% of the share price.</li>
</ul>



JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK) is successful in capturing China's niche designer fashion segment. Its FY24 net profit surged 36.4%, despite the challenging retail market.
Gross margin reached a record high of 67.3% in 2H24 on higher purchases from loyal members. Operating cash flow surged 70.7% YoY, affirming its status as a cash cow.
Including special dividends, FY24 payout ratio was 95%. At 75% ordinary payout for FY25, it sits on a 10.9% yield. Net cash equals 22% of the share price.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In today's uncertain scenario, cash is king. Moreover, the high US treasury yields, which had rendered a dividend yield strategy relatively unattractive, are beginning to decline again.</li>
<li>In addition to considering today's dividend yields, we think it's also imperative to take into account companies' future earnings potential to assess future dividend stability.</li>
<li>Screening companies with at least 6% forward dividend yield and 5% forecast EPS CAGR over next 2 years, we arrive at our basket of 23 dividend yielders, 13 from HK/China.</li>
</ul>


In today's uncertain scenario, cash is king. Moreover, the high US treasury yields, which had rendered a dividend yield strategy relatively unattractive, are beginning to decline again.
In addition to considering today's dividend yields, we think it's also imperative to take into account companies' future earnings potential to assess future dividend stability.
Screening companies with at least 6% forward dividend yield and 5% forecast EPS CAGR over next 2 years, we arrive at our basket of 23 dividend yielders, 13 from HK/China.


Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Co Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong and China shares have outperformed most Asian markets over the last year.  In HK the consumer discretionary sector has lost strength and momentum over the last 4 weeks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cssc-hong-kong-shipping-co-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28068:1" rel="noopener">CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Co Ltd (3877 HK)</a> was rated BUY after reporting strong results.  Analysts have a target price of $2.50 on the stock.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> has shown earnings growth exceeding revenue growth for the last seven years. Technically, the stock looks weak near term, but analysts project 60% upside.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong and China shares have outperformed most Asian markets over the last year.  In HK the consumer discretionary sector has lost strength and momentum over the last 4 weeks.

CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Co Ltd (3877 HK) was rated BUY after reporting strong results.  Analysts have a target price of $2.50 on the stock.

Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) has shown earnings growth exceeding revenue growth for the last seven years. Technically, the stock looks weak near term, but analysts project 60% upside.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Update (January 10)

Hong Kong

Bosideng International Holdings Limited develops down apparel products in the Peoples Republic of China. The Company's products include down jackets, vests, and pants which it offers through retail outlets located in multiple cities.

Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)

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Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)

Asian Equity: Performance of Our Quant Baskets: Indian MidCaps, Asian Dividend Yields Rule the Roost

Our quant basket performance: Consistent Compounders underperforms, SMID Compounders lags, Div Ylds outperform, Indian Mid-Caps excel. The last...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

We identify twelve high-yield, net cash or low-net debt stocks in Hong Kong's apparel and footwear sector, analyzing their exposure to the US amid...

Sameer Taneja

JNBY Design (3306 HK): A Cash Cow

JNBY's 1H FY25 result is in line with consensus, with the gross margin flat at 65.1%. The interim payout ratio is unchanged at 37%, but the lack of...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Update (January 10)

HK/China markets have outperformed other Asian markets since the beginning of 2024. In HK the consumer discretionary sector has lost momentum as...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equity: Performance of Our Quant Baskets: Indian MidCaps, Asian Dividend Yields Rule the Roost

​Our quant basket performance: Consistent Compounders underperforms, SMID Compounders lags, Div Ylds outperform, Indian Mid-Caps excel. The last...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

We identify twelve high-yield, net cash or low-net debt stocks in Hong Kong's apparel and footwear sector, analyzing their exposure to the US amid...

Sameer Taneja

JNBY Design (3306 HK): A Cash Cow

JNBY's 1H FY25 result is in line with consensus, with the gross margin flat at 65.1%. The interim payout ratio is unchanged at 37%, but the lack of...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Asian Equities: Asia's Robust Dividend Yielders

​In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Update (January 10)

HK/China markets have outperformed other Asian markets since the beginning of 2024. In HK the consumer discretionary sector has lost momentum as...

David Mudd

Our quant basket performance: Consistent Compounders underperforms, SMID Compounders lags, Div Ylds outperform, Indian Mid-Caps excel. The last...

In uncertain times, firms distributing cash as dividends are naturally investors' darlings. Screening large caps on min 6% div yield and future...