Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The HSI closed at 25,328, down 271 pts or 1.06%, with full-day turnover reaching HKD320.8bn, marking the lowest closing level since early April amid weakness in energy, technology services, and property stocks.</li><li>On the data front, China's industrial profits surged 24.7%, the biggest gain since November 2023, after a 15.8% growth in March, despite domestic headwinds and heightened global uncertainty.</li><li>SSEC/SZSE/GEI moved by -1.25%/-0.88%/+0.07%, wiping out gains from the earlier session as profit-taking pressure emerged amid strong economic data.</li></ul>

The HSI closed at 25,328, down 271 pts or 1.06%, with full-day turnover reaching HKD320.8bn, marking the lowest closing level since early April amid weakness in energy, technology services, and property stocks.On the data front, China's industrial profits surged 24.7%, the biggest gain since November 2023, after a 15.8% growth in March, despite domestic headwinds and heightened global uncertainty.SSEC/SZSE/GEI moved by -1.25%/-0.88%/+0.07%, wiping out gains from the earlier session as profit-taking pressure emerged amid strong economic data.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

With RS uptrends intact we continue to recommend Sector overweights to MSCI EM Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Communications. Materials remains an attractive cyclical value Sector as both price and RS show signs of bottoming -- add exposure. In this report we offer a number of attractive set ups with the EM universe across sectors.

With RS uptrends intact we continue to recommend Sector overweights to MSCI EM Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Communications. Materials remains an attractive cyclical value Sector as both price and RS show signs of bottoming -- add exposure. In this report we offer a number of attractive set ups with the EM universe across sectors.  

Global Equity Chart Book: Stick With EM Over EAFE

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Luxury liquor-maker Kweichow Moutai has teamed up with candy giant Mars Inc. to launch an alcohol-infused chocolate.</li><li>The state-owned Chinese company’s latest move to introduce its brand of fiery spirits to a new, and preferably younger, group of consumers.</li><li>The chocolate is Moutai’s latest effort to give its brand a bit more cache through partnerships with well-known consumer brands.</li></ul>

Luxury liquor-maker Kweichow Moutai has teamed up with candy giant Mars Inc. to launch an alcohol-infused chocolate.The state-owned Chinese company’s latest move to introduce its brand of fiery spirits to a new, and preferably younger, group of consumers.The chocolate is Moutai’s latest effort to give its brand a bit more cache through partnerships with well-known consumer brands.

After Lattes and Ice Cream, Moutai Serves Up Booze-Infused Chocolates

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Western Superconducting Techno / Index Rebalance

Western Superconducting Techno (688122 CH)

<ul>
<li>Over 85% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI500 Index</a>, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.4% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 7.22bn.</li>
<li>With the market being stabilised through the ETF route, the index constituents have outperformed the non-index constituents over the last 6-7 weeks. That could reverse over the near term.</li>
</ul>


Over 85% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.4% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 7.22bn.
With the market being stabilised through the ETF route, the index constituents have outperformed the non-index constituents over the last 6-7 weeks. That could reverse over the near term.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: ETF Inflows Lead to Performance Skew

Jiangxi Special Electric Motor A / Index Rebalance

Jiangxi Special Electric Motor A (002176 CH)

<ul>
<li>Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

China

Sichuan Swellfun Co., Ltd. produces and markets spirits.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures antibiotics and operates in printing and packaging business.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sichuan Swellfun Co Ltd A (600779 CH)

Quam Morning Note (28 May)

The HSI closed at 25,328, down 271 pts or 1.06%, with full-day turnover reaching HKD320.8bn, marking the lowest closing level since early April...

Quam Securities

Global Equity Chart Book: Stick With EM Over EAFE

With RS uptrends intact we continue to recommend Sector overweights to MSCI EM Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Communications....

Vermilion Research

After Lattes and Ice Cream, Moutai Serves Up Booze-Infused Chocolates

Luxury liquor-maker Kweichow Moutai has teamed up with candy giant Mars Inc. to launch an alcohol-infused chocolate. The state-owned Chinese...

Caixin Global

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: ETF Inflows Lead to Performance Skew

There should be 50 changes in Dec with a big sector skew. Turnover is ~10% and 31 stocks will have 1x ADV to trade. Huge ETF inflows have led to...

Brian Freitas

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

We forecast 50 changes a side at the June rebal leading to a one-way turnover of 11.47% & in a one-way trade of CNY 10bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)