Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The US treasury and dollar markets have proven to be key participants in US trade negotiations.</li>
<li>In a battle of wills, Trump and Xi delay direct negotiations between the world's two largest economies.  Time is on China's side as consumer confidence plummets in US.</li>
<li>Regardless of the results of the trade negotiations, the co-dependent support dynamic for the US equity, dollar, and treasury markets is broken.</li>
</ul>


The US treasury and dollar markets have proven to be key participants in US trade negotiations.
In a battle of wills, Trump and Xi delay direct negotiations between the world's two largest economies.  Time is on China's side as consumer confidence plummets in US.
Regardless of the results of the trade negotiations, the co-dependent support dynamic for the US equity, dollar, and treasury markets is broken.


The Art of the Trade War: FIRST ROUND GOES TO THE MARKETS!

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Caterpillar delivered mixed results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting both strengths and weaknesses in various operational aspects.</li><li>Sales and revenues decreased by 4% year-over-year to $16.1 billion, primarily attributed to a shortfall in Construction Industries and Resource Industries, partially offset by growth in Energy & Transportation.</li><li>The company achieved an adjusted operating profit margin of 20%, in line with expectations, despite the revenue decrease.</li></ul>

Caterpillar delivered mixed results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting both strengths and weaknesses in various operational aspects.Sales and revenues decreased by 4% year-over-year to $16.1 billion, primarily attributed to a shortfall in Construction Industries and Resource Industries, partially offset by growth in Energy & Transportation.The company achieved an adjusted operating profit margin of 20%, in line with expectations, despite the revenue decrease.

Caterpillar Inc.: What Is Their Market Position & Competitive Strategy in Construction Industries? - Major Drivers

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Our overall assessment of the new reorganization plan by the Doosan Group continues to be Negative, because Doosan has not given up trying to eventually merge Bobcat and Robotics.</li>
<li>Doosan Group's new reorganization plan is the opposite of KISS strategy, involving several moving parts and complicated deal structure.</li>
<li>We have also provided three main recommendations on how to raise the valuation of Doosan Bobcat without rushing to merge Bobcat and Robotics.</li>
</ul>


Our overall assessment of the new reorganization plan by the Doosan Group continues to be Negative, because Doosan has not given up trying to eventually merge Bobcat and Robotics.
Doosan Group's new reorganization plan is the opposite of KISS strategy, involving several moving parts and complicated deal structure.
We have also provided three main recommendations on how to raise the valuation of Doosan Bobcat without rushing to merge Bobcat and Robotics.


New Reorganization Plan Increases Overhang Risk for Doosan Bobcat

<ul><li>Caterpillar Inc.'s Second Quarter of 2024 earnings showcased a mixed set of results reflective of both the robust execution of the company’s strategic initiatives and some market-induced challenges.</li><li>Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO, emphasized resilience through the diversified market presence and the sound execution of long-term growth strategies.</li><li>Despite facing a slight decline in sales and revenues, which fell by 4% from the previous year, Caterpillar recorded an increase in its adjusted operating profit and a noteworthy improvement in operating profit margins.</li></ul>

Caterpillar Inc.'s Second Quarter of 2024 earnings showcased a mixed set of results reflective of both the robust execution of the company’s strategic initiatives and some market-induced challenges.Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO, emphasized resilience through the diversified market presence and the sound execution of long-term growth strategies.Despite facing a slight decline in sales and revenues, which fell by 4% from the previous year, Caterpillar recorded an increase in its adjusted operating profit and a noteworthy improvement in operating profit margins.

Caterpillar Inc.: These Are The 7 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! - Financial Forecasts

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

<ul><li>We’ve received loads of feedback from our clients regarding our Trump versus Biden basket.</li><li>As a result, we will provide a detailed breakdown of both baskets and explain the rationale behind each.</li><li>We are updating the baskets regularly based on the political proposals of the two candidates.</li></ul>

We’ve received loads of feedback from our clients regarding our Trump versus Biden basket.As a result, we will provide a detailed breakdown of both baskets and explain the rationale behind each.We are updating the baskets regularly based on the political proposals of the two candidates.

Equity Watch: The Trump versus Biden Basket

United States

Caterpillar Inc. designs, manufactures and markets construction, mining and forestry machinery. The Company also manufactures engines  and other related parts for its equipment, and offers financing and insurance. Caterpillar distributes its products through a worldwide organization of dealers.

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Caterpillar Inc (CAT US)

The Art of the Trade War: FIRST ROUND GOES TO THE MARKETS!

US treasury and dollar markets are key participants in US trade negotiations.The co-dependent support dynamic for the equity, dollar, and treasury...

David Mudd

Caterpillar Inc.: What Is Their Market Position & Competitive Strategy in Construction Industries? - Major Drivers

Caterpillar delivered mixed results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting both strengths and weaknesses in various operational aspects. Sales...

Baptista Research

New Reorganization Plan Increases Overhang Risk for Doosan Bobcat

Doosan Group's new reorganization plan is the opposite of KISS strategy, involving several moving parts and complicated deal structure.

Douglas Kim

Caterpillar Inc.: These Are The 7 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! - Financial Forecasts

Caterpillar Inc.'s Second Quarter of 2024 earnings showcased a mixed set of results reflective of both the robust execution of the company’s...

Baptista Research

Equity Watch: The Trump versus Biden Basket

We’ve received loads of feedback from our clients regarding our Trump versus Biden basket. As a result, we will provide a detailed breakdown of...

Steno Research

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