Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Multi-Week forecasts for the Asian indices and stocks we track, based on our proprietary probability model.</li>
<li>OVERBOUGHT: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> </li>
<li>OVERSOLD: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>
</li>
</ul>


Multi-Week forecasts for the Asian indices and stocks we track, based on our proprietary probability model.
OVERBOUGHT: Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) , Softbank Group (9984 JP) , Toyota Motor (7203 JP) , Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) 
OVERSOLD: China Mobile (941 HK) , Fast Retailing (9983 JP)



Asia/Pacific Stocks Outlook For the Week Sep 29-Oct 3

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Chery Automobile / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chery-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39918:1" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile (9973 HK)</a> raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Chery Auto is a Chinese passenger vehicle company which designs, develops, manufactures and sells passenger vehicles, including internal combustion engine vehicles and new energy vehicles, both domestically and overseas.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Chery Automobile (9973 HK) raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
Chery Auto is a Chinese passenger vehicle company which designs, develops, manufactures and sells passenger vehicles, including internal combustion engine vehicles and new energy vehicles, both domestically and overseas.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Chery Auto IPO Trading - Half Decent Demand

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Suzuki and short Toyota targets a 9% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Toyota Motor (7203 JP) vs. Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Suzuki and short Toyota targets a 9% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Toyota (7203 JP) Vs. Short Suzuki (7269 JP): Statistical Arbitrage, 9% Mean-Reversion Upside

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,218m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fujikura, Koei Tecmo, Lifedrink, Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,218m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fujikura, Koei Tecmo, Lifedrink, Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

Japan

Toyota Motor Corporation manufactures, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, and their related parts worldwide. The Company also operates financing services through their subsidiaries. Toyota Motor builds homes, produces pleasure boats, and develops intelligent transportation systems including radar cruise control and electronic toll collection systems.

Price Gauge
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Toyota Motor (7203 JP)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, based on quantitative methodology. Offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Asia/Pacific Stocks Outlook For the Week Sep 29-Oct 3

Multi-week forecasts for Asian indices and stocks show Samsung Electronics, Softbank Group, Toyota Motor, and Nikkei 225 as overbought, while...

Nico Rosti

Chery Auto IPO Trading - Half Decent Demand

Chery Automobile (9973 HK) raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Long Toyota (7203 JP) Vs. Short Suzuki (7269 JP): Statistical Arbitrage, 9% Mean-Reversion Upside

This pair trade goes long Toyota (7203 JP) and short Suzuki (7269 JP), aiming for a 9% mean-reversion return as the price ratio normalizes.

Gaudenz Schneider

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Lasertec (6920 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Tokyo Electron (8035 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, based on quantitative methodology. Offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Asia/Pacific Stocks Outlook For the Week Sep 29-Oct 3

​Multi-week forecasts for Asian indices and stocks show Samsung Electronics, Softbank Group, Toyota Motor, and Nikkei 225 as overbought, while...

Nico Rosti

Chery Auto IPO Trading - Half Decent Demand

Chery Automobile (9973 HK) raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Long Toyota (7203 JP) Vs. Short Suzuki (7269 JP): Statistical Arbitrage, 9% Mean-Reversion Upside

This pair trade goes long Toyota (7203 JP) and short Suzuki (7269 JP), aiming for a 9% mean-reversion return as the price ratio normalizes.

Gaudenz Schneider

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Lasertec (6920 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Tokyo Electron (8035 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Multi-week forecasts for Asian indices and stocks show Samsung Electronics, Softbank Group, Toyota Motor, and Nikkei 225 as overbought, while...