Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to video streaming services like Netflix.</li><li>But Internet TV will move faster and be more disruptive than analysts predict.</li><li>The inflection point will be the arrival of a “pure” internet TV in which all TV viewing is accessed by a single operating system, probably remote controlled by a smartphone or tablet.</li><li>Film and TV studios will see content prices bid up as technology companies – like Apple, Netflix and Alibaba – compete to acquire content rights.</li><li>TV broadcasters will report profit warnings as they lose control of payTV subscription revenues and TV advertising revenues.</li></ul>

TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to video streaming services like Netflix.But Internet TV will move faster and be more disruptive than analysts predict.The inflection point will be the arrival of a “pure” internet TV in which all TV viewing is accessed by a single operating system, probably remote controlled by a smartphone or tablet.Film and TV studios will see content prices bid up as technology companies – like Apple, Netflix and Alibaba – compete to acquire content rights.TV broadcasters will report profit warnings as they lose control of payTV subscription revenues and TV advertising revenues.

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Equity Bottom-Up

Toyota manufactures about 40% of its global production in Japan, which tends to be a smart move in light of a historically weak yen.However, in times of a strong yen or a supply shock it causes problems.The company announced over the weekend that due to the two large earthquakes on the Japanese island of Kyushu, it will stop nearly all production at Japanese plants through April 23.Toyota has seven assembly plants in Japan, and they will stop production starting on various dates between April 18 and April 22Analyst: David Whiston

Toyota manufactures about 40% of its global production in Japan, which tends to be a smart move in light of a historically weak yen.However, in times of a strong yen or a supply shock it causes problems.The company announced over the weekend that due to the two large earthquakes on the Japanese island of Kyushu, it will stop nearly all production at Japanese plants through April 23.Toyota has seven assembly plants in Japan, and they will stop production starting on various dates between April 18 and April 22Analyst: David Whiston

Earthquakes Once Again Freeze Toyota's Japanese Production but We Are Not Worried Yet

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

On March 24th after the close of trading, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20829" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20829">Baoxin Auto Group Ltd</a> ("Baoxin")and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17171" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17171">China Grand Automotive Services Co Ltd</a> ("CGAS") released a <a href="http://www.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/SEHK/2016/0324/LTN20160324845.pdf" target="_blank">Joint Announcement</a> Update on the Satisfaction of Pre-Conditions from the "Rule 3.5 Announcement of 11 December 2015. The main content of the update is that...<blockquote>
with respect to Pre-Condition (b), the filing notice from the NDRC, the approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the filing notice from Shanghai Municipal Commission of Commerce of the PRC or…
</blockquote>

On March 24th after the close of trading, Baoxin Auto Group Ltd ("Baoxin")and China Grand Automotive Services Co Ltd ("CGAS") released a Joint Announcement Update on the Satisfaction of Pre-Conditions from the "Rule 3.5 Announcement of 11 December 2015. The main content of the update is that...
with respect to Pre-Condition (b), the filing notice from the NDRC, the approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the filing notice from Shanghai Municipal Commission of Commerce of the PRC or…


Baoxin Pre-Conditions Remaining: SAFE, Sales? And Signatures

<ul><li class="p1">The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or through mobile devices across many developed economies.</li><li class="p1">However, as we take a step back and examine the various states of digital commerce across different geographies, we find a number of constants in not only how winners in the digital commerce space rise to the top in each region, but also how these players develop lasting network effects that serve as the foundation of the wide economic moats we assign to many of the leading players in this industry across the globe.</li></ul>Analysts: R.J. Hottovy, Suruchi Jain, Daniel Mueller

The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or through mobile devices across many developed economies.However, as we take a step back and examine the various states of digital commerce across different geographies, we find a number of constants in not only how winners in the digital commerce space rise to the top in each region, but also how these players develop lasting network effects that serve as the foundation of the wide economic moats we assign to many of the leading players in this industry across the globe.Analysts: R.J. Hottovy, Suruchi Jain, Daniel Mueller

The Global E-Commerce Handbook: Themes Investors Need to Know as Consumer Shopping Tendencies Evolve

We are lowering our fair value estimate to JPY 2,635 per share from JPY 3,284.The change is from the yen strengthening against the dollar since our last valuation. We are using a new foreign exchange methodology of modelling a dollar-yen exchange rate based on forward curve data throughout our five-year explicit forecast period rather than the spot rate throughout.Analyst: David Whiston

We are lowering our fair value estimate to JPY 2,635 per share from JPY 3,284.The change is from the yen strengthening against the dollar since our last valuation. We are using a new foreign exchange methodology of modelling a dollar-yen exchange rate based on forward curve data throughout our five-year explicit forecast period rather than the spot rate throughout.Analyst: David Whiston

Faulty Takata Air Bags Will Remain a Storm Cloud for Honda for a Long Time.

Japan

Toyota Motor Corporation manufactures, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, and their related parts worldwide. The Company also operates financing services through their subsidiaries. Toyota Motor builds homes, produces pleasure boats, and develops intelligent transportation systems including radar cruise control and electronic toll collection systems.

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Toyota Motor (7203 JP)

Internet TV as an Investment Theme

TV broadcasters still control 93% of subscriptions and advertising revenues that pass through the TV set. The remaining 7% of revenues relates to...

CM Research

Earthquakes Once Again Freeze Toyota's Japanese Production but We Are Not Worried Yet

Toyota manufactures about 40% of its global production in Japan, which tends to be a smart move in light of a historically weak yen.However, in...

Morningstar, Inc.

Baoxin Pre-Conditions Remaining: SAFE, Sales? And Signatures

On March 24th after the close of trading, Baoxin Auto Group Ltd ("Baoxin")and China Grand Automotive Services Co Ltd ("CGAS") released a Joint...

Travis Lundy

The Global E-Commerce Handbook: Themes Investors Need to Know as Consumer Shopping Tendencies Evolve

The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or...

Morningstar, Inc.

Faulty Takata Air Bags Will Remain a Storm Cloud for Honda for a Long Time.

We are lowering our fair value estimate to JPY 2,635 per share from JPY 3,284.The change is from the yen strengthening against the dollar since our...

Morningstar, Inc.

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