Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Softbank +32% last week but still has higher to climb as ARM surges on CPU ambitions.</li>
<li>Fanuc beat with strong demand across all segments and capex picking up in automotive, sharpening focus on FA plays.</li>
<li>Rohm faces a nasty open after Denso withdraws its takeover bid. Worth watching for a bottom around the Y3000 level.</li>
</ul>


Softbank +32% last week but still has higher to climb as ARM surges on CPU ambitions.
Fanuc beat with strong demand across all segments and capex picking up in automotive, sharpening focus on FA plays.
Rohm faces a nasty open after Denso withdraws its takeover bid. Worth watching for a bottom around the Y3000 level.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Names Set to Keep Charging Higher Amidst Cancelled Peace Talks

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Technology dominates global active portfolios, with 8 of the 11 most widely held stocks coming from the sector.</li>
<li>TSMC hits record ownership at 65.7% of funds, becoming the second most widely held stock globally.</li>
<li>Broadcom, Tencent and Alibaba see rising adoption, while Novo Nordisk and UnitedHealth face sharp ownership declines.</li>
</ul>


Technology dominates global active portfolios, with 8 of the 11 most widely held stocks coming from the sector.
TSMC hits record ownership at 65.7% of funds, becoming the second most widely held stock globally.
Broadcom, Tencent and Alibaba see rising adoption, while Novo Nordisk and UnitedHealth face sharp ownership declines.


Global Stock Positioning: Tech Dominance, China Rotation, and Record TSMC Ownership

<ul>
<li>Seagate AH beats but stock slightly lower after its 500% gains since April.</li>
<li>Corning tie-up with Meta sends its 15.6% highs and sets a strong tone for JP wire and cable plays.</li>
<li>TXN +10% AH after earnings showed demand for industrial equipment and vehicles is beginning to rebound.</li>
</ul>


Seagate AH beats but stock slightly lower after its 500% gains since April.
Corning tie-up with Meta sends its 15.6% highs and sets a strong tone for JP wire and cable plays.
TXN +10% AH after earnings showed demand for industrial equipment and vehicles is beginning to rebound.


Japan Morning Connection: Micron Expanding NAND Capacity Does Little to Dent Sentiment for Peers

<ul>
<li>NVDA investing further in Coreweave may raise circular investment argument again.</li>
<li>Samsung beats out Micron on news that it is set to supply HBM4 to Nvidia.</li>
<li>Fanuc guidance missed, but orders and enquiries for its 'physical AI' cobot surges.</li>
</ul>


NVDA investing further in Coreweave may raise circular investment argument again.
Samsung beats out Micron on news that it is set to supply HBM4 to Nvidia.
Fanuc guidance missed, but orders and enquiries for its 'physical AI' cobot surges.


Japan Morning Connection: Intel Continues to Fall Despite Apple Looking to Use Its 14A Process

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

ASE Technology Holding   / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX (up from 6480-6520) and $141.50 on ACWI-US (up from $134-135.70) continue to hold.</li>
<li>Signs of impending upside are evident with the ACWI-US and all the other MSCI global indexes (MSCI EAFE, ACWI ex-US, EM) breaking out (more on that below).</li>
<li>Our intermediate-term bullish outlook has been in place since our 5/14/25 Compass. Actionable themes include Technology and Industrials, focused in EM, Europe, and Japan.</li>
</ul>


We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX (up from 6480-6520) and $141.50 on ACWI-US (up from $134-135.70) continue to hold.
Signs of impending upside are evident with the ACWI-US and all the other MSCI global indexes (MSCI EAFE, ACWI ex-US, EM) breaking out (more on that below).
Our intermediate-term bullish outlook has been in place since our 5/14/25 Compass. Actionable themes include Technology and Industrials, focused in EM, Europe, and Japan.


Breakouts Galore in All MSCI Global Indexes; Bullish Outlook Intact

Japan

FANUC CORPORATION manufactures factory automation (FA) systems and equipments, and robots. The Company's products include computerized numerically-controlled (CNC) equipment, servo motors, laser systems, industrial robots, wire-cut electric discharge machines, and CNC drill.  Fanuc participates in a joint venture with General Electric in the FA field.

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Fanuc Corp (6954 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AI Names Set to Keep Charging Higher Amidst Cancelled Peace Talks

Softbank eyes October highs as AI names continue to surge. Fanuc's beat sharpens focus on FA plays while Keyence looks interesting with some...

Andrew Jackson

Global Stock Positioning: Tech Dominance, China Rotation, and Record TSMC Ownership

Technology continues to anchor global active portfolios, with TSMC at record ownership. Rotation persists across regions as managers selectively...

Steven Holden

Japan Morning Connection: Micron Expanding NAND Capacity Does Little to Dent Sentiment for Peers

Upbeat tone for Japan power and semi makers set by US peers. Market will be expecting Fanuc to be a major 'physical AI' play.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Intel Continues to Fall Despite Apple Looking to Use Its 14A Process

Intel taking its 2-day drop to -22.75% after its earnings missed last week despite a report overnight that Apple will start using Intel’s 14A...

Andrew Jackson

Breakouts Galore in All MSCI Global Indexes; Bullish Outlook Intact

Breakouts Galore in All MSCI Global Indexes (MSCI $ACWI $ACWX $EFA and $EEM) and tons of countries; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight...

Vermilion Research

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