Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

Gree Electric Appliances / Forensic Accounting

Founded in 1991 by Chairlady Dong Mingzhu, Gree manufactures air-conditioners under the “Gree” brand and primarily leverages on its strong offline retail network.  Relative to its peers like Midea and Hai Er, Gree has struggled to re-invent itself in terms of product innovation, channel reform and e-commerce adoption, particularly in the wake of the pandemic disruptions in H1 2020.This article examines the organisation structure and corporate governance environment at Gree and how these factors might have contributed to Gree's business lagging its peers, particularly in relation to Chairlady Dong's domineering personality and Gree's longstanding and closely intertwined relationship with its offline distributors.

Founded in 1991 by Chairlady Dong Mingzhu, Gree manufactures air-conditioners under the “Gree” brand and primarily leverages on its strong offline retail network.  Relative to its peers like Midea and Hai Er, Gree has struggled to re-invent itself in terms of product innovation, channel reform and e-commerce adoption, particularly in the wake of the pandemic disruptions in H1 2020.This article examines the organisation structure and corporate governance environment at Gree and how these factors might have contributed to Gree's business lagging its peers, particularly in relation to Chairlady Dong's domineering personality and Gree's longstanding and closely intertwined relationship with its offline distributors.  

Gree Electric Appliances - Common Interests in Uncommon Areas

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres


Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

Equity Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Gree Electric Appliances / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gree-electric-appliances-inc-of-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7622:1" rel="noopener">Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)</a> trades at the lowest valuation multiple among the three major home appliance companies in China, at 7x forward PE and 7% forward yield.</li>
<li>Investment case rests on stable earnings growth and high dividend payout and yield, which works well in a low interest rate environment in China.</li>
<li>Resiliency of earnings for Gree is under-appreciated by the market, making rerating possible. </li>
</ul>



Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH) trades at the lowest valuation multiple among the three major home appliance companies in China, at 7x forward PE and 7% forward yield.
Investment case rests on stable earnings growth and high dividend payout and yield, which works well in a low interest rate environment in China.
Resiliency of earnings for Gree is under-appreciated by the market, making rerating possible. 


Gree (000651 CH):  Resilient Fundamentals; Rerating Potential In A Low Interest Rate Environment

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Though Sentiment Fragile for Both.</li>
<li>Energy sector shows signs of a turnaround from long-term decline, whilst Financials remain unloved by China investors.</li>
<li>Real Estate allocations have hit record lows, with average holdings at just 2.93%, while Consumer Discretionary sector approaches all-time highs.</li>
</ul>


Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Though Sentiment Fragile for Both.
Energy sector shows signs of a turnaround from long-term decline, whilst Financials remain unloved by China investors.
Real Estate allocations have hit record lows, with average holdings at just 2.93%, while Consumer Discretionary sector approaches all-time highs.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.</li>
<li>We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. </li>
<li>More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   </li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.
We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. 
More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   


China

Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai manufactures and sells a series of air conditioners.  The different series of air conditioners include window type, split type, floor type, mobile type, mobile split type and ceiling type.  The Company also produces air purifier.

Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)

Gree Electric Appliances - Common Interests in Uncommon Areas

This article discusses the lagged performance of Gree relative to peers and how this stems from corporate governance issues such as the Founder's...

Jason Yap, CFA

Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Gree (000651 CH): Resilient Fundamentals; Rerating Potential In A Low Interest Rate Environment

Investment case rests on stable earnings growth and high dividend payout and yield, which works well in a low interest rate environment in China.

Steve Zhou, CFA

China Macro: Sector Positioning Update

Sector positioning among active China Funds. Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Energy shows signs of a turnaround, whilst...

Steven Holden

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Gree Electric Appliances - Common Interests in Uncommon Areas

This article discusses the lagged performance of Gree relative to peers and how this stems from corporate governance issues such as the Founder's...

Jason Yap, CFA

Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Gree (000651 CH): Resilient Fundamentals; Rerating Potential In A Low Interest Rate Environment

Investment case rests on stable earnings growth and high dividend payout and yield, which works well in a low interest rate environment in China.

Steve Zhou, CFA

China Macro: Sector Positioning Update

Sector positioning among active China Funds. Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Energy shows signs of a turnaround, whilst...

Steven Holden

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

​Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...