Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">BABA US)</a>will announce quarterly results on Friday, August 29, 7:30 p.m. Hong Kong Time. The timing is crucial for options expiries in HK and the US.</li>
<li>
Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Get the expected move and a view of the post-event volatility term structure.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba (9988 HK/ BABA US)will announce quarterly results on Friday, August 29, 7:30 p.m. Hong Kong Time. The timing is crucial for options expiries in HK and the US.

Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.

Why Read: Get the expected move and a view of the post-event volatility term structure.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Expected Earnings-Day Swings and Options Market View

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares fell 12.5% post - 2Q2025 results, reflecting investor concerns over prolonged subsidy wars and lack of visibility on when rational competition may resume.</li>
<li>2Q 2025 revenue growth lagged the pace of delivery transaction growth as incentives sharply reduced effective revenue capture while rising marketing costs nearly wiped out quarterly profit.</li>
<li>Along side the rapid growth in China’s instant delivery market, where groceries and daily essentials are delivered in 30 minutes or less, competition among leading retail/delivery players have escalated.</li>
</ul>



Meituan (3690 HK) shares fell 12.5% post - 2Q2025 results, reflecting investor concerns over prolonged subsidy wars and lack of visibility on when rational competition may resume.
2Q 2025 revenue growth lagged the pace of delivery transaction growth as incentives sharply reduced effective revenue capture while rising marketing costs nearly wiped out quarterly profit.
Along side the rapid growth in China’s instant delivery market, where groceries and daily essentials are delivered in 30 minutes or less, competition among leading retail/delivery players have escalated.


Meituan (3690 HK): Down 12% After 2Q25 - What Spooked Investors?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>What seems to be the controlling shareholder of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a>, aims to raise around US$250m via selling 1.6% of the company.</li>
<li>The shares have done very well since its listing and the previous deal in the name did well too.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


What seems to be the controlling shareholder of Laopu Gold (6181 HK), aims to raise around US$250m via selling 1.6% of the company.
The shares have done very well since its listing and the previous deal in the name did well too.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Laopu Gold Placement - Relatively Small Deal, past One Did Well

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> reported 2Q25 results on 19 Aug, beating expectations. This Insight analyzes price reactions in Hong Kong and two overseas markets.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Implied volatility dropped sharply post-earnings, both across the term structure and skew.</li>
<li>
Why it matters: With Xiaomi’s implied volatility now at historically cheap levels, investors may find opportunities in long-volatility strategies ahead of the next earnings in November.</li>
</ul>



Xiaomi (1810 HK) reported 2Q25 results on 19 Aug, beating expectations. This Insight analyzes price reactions in Hong Kong and two overseas markets.

Highlights: Implied volatility dropped sharply post-earnings, both across the term structure and skew.

Why it matters: With Xiaomi’s implied volatility now at historically cheap levels, investors may find opportunities in long-volatility strategies ahead of the next earnings in November.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Earnings Recap & Volatility Dynamics

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group (2097 HK) raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.
MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


MIXUE IPO Lockup - US$480m Cornerstone Lockup Release

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

Alibaba (9988 HK): Expected Earnings-Day Swings and Options Market View

Alibaba (BABA US // 9988 HK) reports today, 29 Aug pre-open US. US-listed options expiring 29 Aug price a 1-day move of 5.8%, with the ATM...

Gaudenz Schneider

Meituan (3690 HK): Down 12% After 2Q25 - What Spooked Investors?

Until there are tangible evidence of competitive discipline in China's on-demand retail sector, Expect stock is to remain volatile and range-bound.

Devi Subhakesan

Laopu Gold Placement - Relatively Small Deal, past One Did Well

What seems to be the controlling shareholder of Laopu Gold (6181 HK), aims to raise around US$250m via selling 1.6% of the company.

Sumeet Singh

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Earnings Recap & Volatility Dynamics

Xiaomi beats 2Q25 expectations, triggering a drop in implied volatility and highlighting potential opportunities for investors in long-volatility...

Gaudenz Schneider

MIXUE IPO Lockup - US$480m Cornerstone Lockup Release

Mixue Group (2097 HK) raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

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