Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dai-nippon-printing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19388:1" rel="noopener">Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP)</a> is a range trade. The juice is in the speed of the Corporate Buyback and how excited people get.</li>
<li>With the renewal of the gaming concession in the bag and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-crown-entertainme-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:810:1" rel="noopener">Melco Resorts (MLCO US)</a> up 128% in the past six months, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco (200 HK)</a> has extracted ~HK$2.5bn from MLCO.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hosokawa-micron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6433:1" rel="noopener">Hosokawa Micron (6277 JP)</a>'s current PER of 9.9x ignores that net cash and securities holdings is about half of market cap. This is a cheap stock.  </li>
</ul>



Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP) is a range trade. The juice is in the speed of the Corporate Buyback and how excited people get.
With the renewal of the gaming concession in the bag and Melco Resorts (MLCO US) up 128% in the past six months, Melco (200 HK) has extracted ~HK$2.5bn from MLCO.

Hosokawa Micron (6277 JP)'s current PER of 9.9x ignores that net cash and securities holdings is about half of market cap. This is a cheap stock.  


Last Week in Event SPACE: Dai Nippon Printing, Melco, Hosokawa Micron,Tencent/Meituan, Ihara Science

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-sce-group-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China SCE</a></li><li><a href='/entities/road-king-infrastructure-limited' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Road King Infrastructure</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sino-Ocean Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/greentown-china-holdings' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='/entities/anton-oilfield-services-gp' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Anton Oilfield</a></li></ol>and more...

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Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-crown-entertainme-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:810:1" rel="noopener">Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US)</a> has entered into a share repurchase agreement with a wholly-owned entity of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a> to repurchase (and cancel) 40.37mn shares for US$169.8mn.</li>
<li>Melco's effective holding will decline to 51.7% from 53.1% currently. This is the second parent/sub repurchase agreement in the last 7 months. </li>
<li>MLCO's previously announced US$500mn share repurchase program remains unaffected by this privately negotiated transaction, with US$412mn still available for future repurchases under the program.</li>
</ul>



Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US) has entered into a share repurchase agreement with a wholly-owned entity of Melco International Development (200 HK) to repurchase (and cancel) 40.37mn shares for US$169.8mn.
Melco's effective holding will decline to 51.7% from 53.1% currently. This is the second parent/sub repurchase agreement in the last 7 months. 
MLCO's previously announced US$500mn share repurchase program remains unaffected by this privately negotiated transaction, with US$412mn still available for future repurchases under the program.


Melco (200 HK) Takes More Money Off The Table

Melco Resorts' (MLCO) FY 2022 results were better than peers', supported by strong earnings growth at its overseas assets (in the Philippines and Cyprus) amid a weak showing in Macau. In addition, management reported rosy earnings guidance for YTD 2023 (in line with those reported by peers). Going forward, we forecast that the company’s revenue will reach 70-80% of the FY 2019 level, supported by a recovery in industry GGR to 50-60% of the 2019 level, as well as contributions from Studio City Phase 2 and City of Dreams Mediterranean from H2/23. This should allow MLCO to generate positive FCF and deleverage in FY 2023. We move our recommendation to “Buy” on the MPEL curve from “Hold”.

  Melco Resorts' (MLCO) FY 2022 results were better than peers', supported by strong earnings growth at its overseas assets (in the Philippines and Cyprus) amid a weak showing in Macau. In addition, management reported rosy earnings guidance for YTD 2023 (in line with those reported by peers).   Going forward, we forecast that the company’s revenue will reach 70-80% of the FY 2019 level, supported by a recovery in industry GGR to 50-60% of the 2019 level, as well as contributions from Studio City Phase 2 and City of Dreams Mediterranean from H2/23. This should allow MLCO to generate positive FCF and deleverage in FY 2023.   We move our recommendation to “Buy” on the MPEL curve from “Hold”. 

Melco Resorts - Earnings Flash - FY 2022 Results - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li><li><a href='/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>First Pacific Co</a></li><li><a href='/entities/tata-motors-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li></ol>and more...

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Hong Kong

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casinos. The Company offers casino gaming, restaurants, bars, and resorts facilities. Melco Resorts & Entertainment serves customers in Asia.

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Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO US)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Dai Nippon Printing, Melco, Hosokawa Micron,Tencent/Meituan, Ihara Science

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Wrap - 10 Mar 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Melco (200 HK) Takes More Money Off The Table

Since Melco's first repurchase agreement last August, its implied stub has widened from negative HK$1.22 to negative HK$5.42, despite the stub...

David Blennerhassett

Melco Resorts - Earnings Flash - FY 2022 Results - Lucror Analytics

Melco Resorts' (MLCO) FY 2022 results were better than peers', supported by strong earnings growth at its overseas assets (in the Philippines and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 03 Mar 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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