Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 27/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.2m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.4m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.</li>
<li>U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 116 Bcf for the week ending 27/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 127 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>JP Morgan lowered its 12-month PT for Halliburton and Schlumberger but maintained its “Overweight” ratings. Saudi Aramco revised fuel and natural gas prices for cement production starting from 01/Jan.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 27/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.2m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.4m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.
U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 116 Bcf for the week ending 27/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 127 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
JP Morgan lowered its 12-month PT for Halliburton and Schlumberger but maintained its “Overweight” ratings. Saudi Aramco revised fuel and natural gas prices for cement production starting from 01/Jan.


[ETP 2025/01] WTI Rises on Improved Chinese Outlook, Henry Hub Reverses Uptrend

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Passive global index trackers sold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN)</a> in November following a big drop in free float for the stock.</li>
<li>There could be more selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy</a> in February as the stock is deleted from the same large global index due to failing free float market cap thresholds.</li>
<li>With the company at the center of the U.S indictment focused on bribery charges, active foreign and local investors will be wary of buying the stock.</li>
</ul>


Passive global index trackers sold Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN) in November following a big drop in free float for the stock.
There could be more selling in Adani Green Energy in February as the stock is deleted from the same large global index due to failing free float market cap thresholds.
With the company at the center of the U.S indictment focused on bribery charges, active foreign and local investors will be wary of buying the stock.


Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN): Facing the Passive Boot; But Who Will Buy?

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 13/Dec, US crude inventories fell by 0.9m barrels, missing forecasts. Gasoline stocks rose more than anticipated, while distillate inventories declined more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 125 Bcf for the week ending 13/Dec, beating analyst expectations of a 123 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 3.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Major analysts lowered their 12-month PTs on Exxon, SLB, Halliburton, and Occidental. Also, Barclays downgraded its rating on Halliburton to Equalweight from Overweight.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 13/Dec, US crude inventories fell by 0.9m barrels, missing forecasts. Gasoline stocks rose more than anticipated, while distillate inventories declined more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 125 Bcf for the week ending 13/Dec, beating analyst expectations of a 123 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 3.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Major analysts lowered their 12-month PTs on Exxon, SLB, Halliburton, and Occidental. Also, Barclays downgraded its rating on Halliburton to Equalweight from Overweight.


[ETP 2024/51] Fed’s Hawkish Tone Drags WTI Prices, Henry Hub Soars on Rising LNG Exports

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 06/Dec, US crude inventories fell by 1.4m barrels, beating expectations of a 1m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected again.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 190 Bcf for the week ending 06/Dec, beating analyst expectations of a 175 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Wells Fargo raised its 12-month PT for Chevron but lowered targets for Shell and Occidental. Exxon targets a CAGR of 10% in earnings and 8% in cash flow through 2030.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 06/Dec, US crude inventories fell by 1.4m barrels, beating expectations of a 1m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected again.
US natural gas inventories fell by 190 Bcf for the week ending 06/Dec, beating analyst expectations of a 175 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Wells Fargo raised its 12-month PT for Chevron but lowered targets for Shell and Occidental. Exxon targets a CAGR of 10% in earnings and 8% in cash flow through 2030.


[ETP 2024/50] WTI Rebounds on Outlook of Better Demand in 2025; Henry Hub Rises but Remains Volatile

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 29/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 5.1m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.6m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 30 Bcf for the week ending 29/Nov. Inventories are 7.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>UBS raised its 12-month price target on Chevron. Shell and Equinor plan to merge their UK offshore oil and gas assets to create a new company.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 29/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 5.1m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.6m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 30 Bcf for the week ending 29/Nov. Inventories are 7.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
UBS raised its 12-month price target on Chevron. Shell and Equinor plan to merge their UK offshore oil and gas assets to create a new company.


[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

France

TOTAL S.A. explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. TOTAL operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.

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TotalEnergies (TTE FP)

[ETP 2025/01] WTI Rises on Improved Chinese Outlook, Henry Hub Reverses Uptrend

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Natural gas inventories also fell below expectations....

Mint Finance

Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN): Facing the Passive Boot; But Who Will Buy?

Passives sold Adani Green in November as float dropped. The stock could be deleted from a global index in Feb and that could take the stock lower...

Brian Freitas

[ETP 2024/51] Fed’s Hawkish Tone Drags WTI Prices, Henry Hub Soars on Rising LNG Exports

US crude inventories fell, but gasoline stocks rose and natural gas inventories beat expectations. Major analysts lowered PTs on Exxon, SLB,...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/50] WTI Rebounds on Outlook of Better Demand in 2025; Henry Hub Rises but Remains Volatile

US crude inventories fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories beat expectations. Wells Fargo...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[ETP 2025/01] WTI Rises on Improved Chinese Outlook, Henry Hub Reverses Uptrend

​US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Natural gas inventories also fell below expectations....

Mint Finance

Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN): Facing the Passive Boot; But Who Will Buy?

Passives sold Adani Green in November as float dropped. The stock could be deleted from a global index in Feb and that could take the stock lower...

Brian Freitas

[ETP 2024/51] Fed’s Hawkish Tone Drags WTI Prices, Henry Hub Soars on Rising LNG Exports

​US crude inventories fell, but gasoline stocks rose and natural gas inventories beat expectations. Major analysts lowered PTs on Exxon, SLB,...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/50] WTI Rebounds on Outlook of Better Demand in 2025; Henry Hub Rises but Remains Volatile

​US crude inventories fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories beat expectations. Wells Fargo...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

​US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...

Mint Finance

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Natural gas inventories also fell below expectations....

US crude inventories fell, but gasoline stocks rose and natural gas inventories beat expectations. Major analysts lowered PTs on Exxon, SLB,...

US crude inventories fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories beat expectations. Wells Fargo...

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...