Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

China South City's (CSC) FY 2022-23 results were as weak as expected. Revenue decreased 58% y-o-y to HKD 4.1 bn, with property sales declining 65% to HKD 2.4 bn and recurring income down 26% to HKD 1.7 bn. Earnings-based credit metrics deteriorated substantially, as adjusted EBITDA turned negative. Liquidity stood at a very weak 16% at end-March 2023, while Net Debt/Net Property Assets was sound at 39%, thanks to CSC's sizeable investment property portfolio. Given the sustained weakness in CSC's property sales, we do not expect the company to be able to generate adequate FCF organically. We believe asset disposals will remain key to debt repayment. CSC has been leveraging its new state ties by selling key assets to its SOE parent and accessing more onshore bank funding. Therefore, we maintain our "Hold" recommendation on the CSCHCN curve.

  China South City's (CSC) FY 2022-23 results were as weak as expected. Revenue decreased 58% y-o-y to HKD 4.1 bn, with property sales declining 65% to HKD 2.4 bn and recurring income down 26% to HKD 1.7 bn. Earnings-based credit metrics deteriorated substantially, as adjusted EBITDA turned negative. Liquidity stood at a very weak 16% at end-March 2023, while Net Debt/Net Property Assets was sound at 39%, thanks to CSC's sizeable investment property portfolio.   Given the sustained weakness in CSC's property sales, we do not expect the company to be able to generate adequate FCF organically. We believe asset disposals will remain key to debt repayment. CSC has been leveraging its new state ties by selling key assets to its SOE parent and accessing more onshore bank funding. Therefore, we maintain our "Hold" recommendation on the CSCHCN curve. 

China South City - Earnings Flash - FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/central-china-real-estate-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Central China Real Estate</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sino-Ocean Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Central China Real EstateSino-Ocean GroupChina Jinmao HoldingsLifestyle International HoldingsGeely Autoand more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li><li><a href='/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>First Pacific Co</a></li><li><a href='/entities/tata-motors-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:China Jinmao HoldingsLifestyle International HoldingsGeely AutoFirst Pacific CoTata Motors Ltdand more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/vedanta-resources-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Vedanta Resources</a></li><li><a href='/entities/tata-motors-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li><li><a href='/entities/health-and-happiness-h-h-int' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Health And Happiness (H&H)</a></li><li><a href='/entities/central-china-real-estate-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Central China Real Estate</a></li><li><a href='/entities/agile-property-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Agile Property Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Vedanta ResourcesTata Motors LtdHealth And Happiness (H&H)Central China Real EstateAgile Property Holdingsand more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-sce-group-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China SCE</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Hongqiao</a></li><li><a href='/entities/times-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Times China</a></li><li><a href='/entities/greentown-china-holdings' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='/entities/seazen' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Seazen (Formerly Future Land)</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:China SCEChina HongqiaoTimes ChinaGreentown ChinaSeazen (Formerly Future Land)and more...

Hong Kong

China South City Holdings Ltd. owns and operates an integrated logistics and trade center of industrial materials in China. The trade center primarily features textile and clothing materials; leather and accessories; electronics accessories and products; metals;chemicals and plastic materials and products; and printing and packaging materials.

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China South City (1668 HK)

China South City - Earnings Flash - FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

China South City's (CSC) FY 2022-23 results were as weak as expected. Revenue decreased 58% y-o-y to HKD 4.1 bn, with property sales declining...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 30 Jun 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 23 Jun 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 16 Jun 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 09 Jun 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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