ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-diy-group-m-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28430:1" rel="noopener">MR DIY (MRDIY MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> </li>
<li>There were alos insights on the Malaysian economic outlook, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast</a>, the LQ45 Index rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-malls-indonesia-retail-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10946:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20844:1" rel="noopener">Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ), MR DIY (MRDIY MK), UOB (UOB SP), and Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) 
There were alos insights on the Malaysian economic outlook, Vinfast, the LQ45 Index rebalance, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, and Medco Energi (MEDC IJ).
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>While recent weak broiler prices and higher local corn prices may drive lower 3Q23 earnings (qoq), we maintain our Overweight view on the back of cheap valuation (at 9.2x EV/EBITDA, -1SD to 5-year average) in view of the potential earnings recovery in 4Q23 and FY24F (22% EPS growth).</li><li>Weak broiler prices in the second week of September, DOC remained robust. Despite the ongoing supply adjustment mechanism through culling, livebird (LB) prices in West Java dropped to IDR18k/kg in mid-September from IDR21k in the early month. In the past two years, LB prices have been weak during September.</li><li>Meanwhile, DOC prices remained high at around IDR 7,500/chick signaling a tighter supply due to the culling programs. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

While recent weak broiler prices and higher local corn prices may drive lower 3Q23 earnings (qoq), we maintain our Overweight view on the back of cheap valuation (at 9.2x EV/EBITDA, -1SD to 5-year average) in view of the potential earnings recovery in 4Q23 and FY24F (22% EPS growth).Weak broiler prices in the second week of September, DOC remained robust. Despite the ongoing supply adjustment mechanism through culling, livebird (LB) prices in West Java dropped to IDR18k/kg in mid-September from IDR21k in the early month. In the past two years, LB prices have been weak during September.Meanwhile, DOC prices remained high at around IDR 7,500/chick signaling a tighter supply due to the culling programs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Poultry: Poised for 4Q23 recovery despite ST headwinds (OVERWEIGHT)

<ul><li>Via a regulation issued on 24 Aug-23, the government seeks to continue stabilizing livebird prices by cutting PS aged 50-54 weeks and HE aged 19 days.</li><li>We estimate the supply reduction per month at around 69.4 million DOC FS during the Oct-Nov period, slightly lower than the 72.5 million during AugSep.</li><li>As such, we believe DOC and livebird prices will remain stable in 4Q23. We remain Overweight on the sector with CPIN as our top pick.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Via a regulation issued on 24 Aug-23, the government seeks to continue stabilizing livebird prices by cutting PS aged 50-54 weeks and HE aged 19 days.We estimate the supply reduction per month at around 69.4 million DOC FS during the Oct-Nov period, slightly lower than the 72.5 million during AugSep.As such, we believe DOC and livebird prices will remain stable in 4Q23. We remain Overweight on the sector with CPIN as our top pick.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The global manufacturing sector depicted some positive signs in July, with more countries reporting stronger activity, including Indonesia</li><li>While China's weak growth is a concern, the impact might be offset by better growth in other G20 economies, supporting the narrative of a soft landing towards the year-end, which may help mitigate potential volatility in asset prices</li><li>Domestic economic activity has been lacklustre, with more companies reporting lower-than-expected results</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The global manufacturing sector depicted some positive signs in July, with more countries reporting stronger activity, including IndonesiaWhile China's weak growth is a concern, the impact might be offset by better growth in other G20 economies, supporting the narrative of a soft landing towards the year-end, which may help mitigate potential volatility in asset pricesDomestic economic activity has been lacklustre, with more companies reporting lower-than-expected resultsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro and Flows Tracker - Not All Is Well

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cisarua-mountain-dairy-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34999:1" rel="noopener">Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ)</a>, SCG Chemicals IPO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>, and Flash Coffee. </li>
<li>There were also macro insights on Thailand post last week's election results plus related investment strategy and a price looking at the tapering of Thailand's inflation.  </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on XL Axiata (EXCL IJ), Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ), SCG Chemicals IPO, Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP), and Flash Coffee. 
There were also macro insights on Thailand post last week's election results plus related investment strategy and a price looking at the tapering of Thailand's inflation.  


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - XL Axiata's Convergence Push, Cimory & GT, SCG Chemicals IPO

Indonesia

Japfa Comfeed Indonesia is one of Indonesia's largest and most integrated agri-food companies. Its core business activities include animal feed manufacturing, poultry breeding and commercial farming, aquaculture, beef cattle farming, and processing of various value-added food products such as poultry, fish, shrimp, and beef. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Siloam International Intl Hospitals, Bank Rakyat, and MrDIY

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Poultry: Poised for 4Q23 recovery despite ST headwinds (OVERWEIGHT)

While recent weak broiler prices and higher local corn prices may drive lower 3Q23 earnings (qoq), we maintain our Overweight view on the back of...

BRI Danareksa Research

Poultry - Regulation remains supportive

Via a regulation issued on 24 Aug-23, the government seeks to continue stabilizing livebird prices by cutting PS aged 50-54 weeks and HE aged 19 days.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro and Flows Tracker - Not All Is Well

The global manufacturing sector depicted some positive signs in July, with more countries reporting stronger activity, including Indonesia

BRI Danareksa Research

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - XL Axiata's Convergence Push, Cimory & GT, SCG Chemicals IPO

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

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52-week Range

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