ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new government in place. </li>
<li>GDP growth forecasts are more optimistic for 2025 and government stimulus should help to drive higher consumption, with FDI driven by more value-added investments in the EV-related projects. </li>
<li>Increasing digitalisation of the economy and greater use of AI will drive profitability and data centre growth. Interest rates are expected to fall -50-100bps which should also be supportive.</li>
</ul>


The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new government in place. 
GDP growth forecasts are more optimistic for 2025 and government stimulus should help to drive higher consumption, with FDI driven by more value-added investments in the EV-related projects. 
Increasing digitalisation of the economy and greater use of AI will drive profitability and data centre growth. Interest rates are expected to fall -50-100bps which should also be supportive.


CrossASEAN Indonesia Strategy - Parting Clouds

<ul>
<li>Indonesia has been the recipient of significant investment flows for foreign investors with more of a "risk on" environment with a large portion flowing into Indonesian banks. </li>
<li>Indonesia stacks up from an investment perspective with a stable political environment, solid GDP growth of around 5% YoY, rising flows of FDI, and a more stable IDR.</li>
<li>Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top picks: Banks, property, consumer, and selective elsewhere. </li>
</ul>


Indonesia has been the recipient of significant investment flows for foreign investors with more of a "risk on" environment with a large portion flowing into Indonesian banks. 
Indonesia stacks up from an investment perspective with a stable political environment, solid GDP growth of around 5% YoY, rising flows of FDI, and a more stable IDR.
Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top picks: Banks, property, consumer, and selective elsewhere. 


Indonesia Strategy - Caught in a Perfect Updraft?

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Oil &amp; Gas, SK Hynix, Meituan, Pakuwon Jati, Nissan Motor</li>
<li>UST yields were little changed yesterday, with little response to a soft auction of 7Y notes. The market focus will be on the FOMC rate decision today, with the Fed largely expected to reduce rates by another 25 bps.</li>
<li>Equities notched fresh record highs, supported by expectations of strong Q3/25 earnings from major tech firms.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Oil &amp; Gas, SK Hynix, Meituan, Pakuwon Jati, Nissan Motor
UST yields were little changed yesterday, with little response to a soft auction of 7Y notes. The market focus will be on the FOMC rate decision today, with the Fed largely expected to reduce rates by another 25 bps.
Equities notched fresh record highs, supported by expectations of strong Q3/25 earnings from major tech firms.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>We maintain our positive stance on Banks as we expect better liquidity condition to be reflected in Sep25 CoF, combined with attractive yield.</li><li>We continue to favor exposure in Commodities through Metals (INCO) and Coal (AADI). </li><li>While Consumers sector trade at deep discount, we remain ST cautious amid lingering raw materials pressure and weaker IDR risk.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We maintain our positive stance on Banks as we expect better liquidity condition to be reflected in Sep25 CoF, combined with attractive yield.We continue to favor exposure in Commodities through Metals (INCO) and Coal (AADI). While Consumers sector trade at deep discount, we remain ST cautious amid lingering raw materials pressure and weaker IDR risk.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: Oct25 Picks: Sticking with Banks, Commodities, Telco

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>VAT discount continuation combined with potential better outlook on overall liquidity shall support the sector’s FY26F pre-sales.</li><li>Our check with companies suggests minimum exposure towards NPL risks (mostly occurring in the low-end market with building sz. &lt;21sqm).</li><li>We maintain our OW rating as it still trades at discount vs. historical 5- yrs. with improved pre-sales. Key risks is on peaking local fund position.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

VAT discount continuation combined with potential better outlook on overall liquidity shall support the sector’s FY26F pre-sales.Our check with companies suggests minimum exposure towards NPL risks (mostly occurring in the low-end market with building sz. &lt;21sqm).We maintain our OW rating as it still trades at discount vs. historical 5- yrs. with improved pre-sales. Key risks is on peaking local fund position.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property: VAT Discount Continuation and Better Liquidity to Support FY26 Pre-Sales (OVERWEIGHT)

Indonesia

PT Pakuwon Jati Tbk owns, develops, and manages shopping centers, business complexes, real estate, industrial estate, and hotels.

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Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ)

CrossASEAN Indonesia Strategy - Parting Clouds

The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new...

Angus Mackintosh

Indonesia Strategy - Caught in a Perfect Updraft?

Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top...

Angus Mackintosh

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Oil & Gas, SK Hynix, Meituan,...

Lucror Analytics

Equity Strategy: Oct25 Picks: Sticking with Banks, Commodities, Telco

We maintain our positive stance on Banks as we expect better liquidity condition to be reflected in Sep25 CoF, combined with attractive yield.

BRI Danareksa Research

Property: VAT Discount Continuation and Better Liquidity to Support FY26 Pre-Sales (OVERWEIGHT)

We maintain our OW rating as it still trades at discount vs. historical 5- yrs. with improved pre-sales. Key risks is on peaking local fund position.

BRI Danareksa Research

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