Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The MSCI ACWI advanced to another new high yesterday - to levels not seen since mid-March with the U.S. and Emerging Markets leading the move. While potential resistance levels exist, recent developments only bolster our already positive outlook.  In today's report, we highlight actionable setups within our global Technology, and Real Estate Developers and REITs Groups.

The MSCI ACWI advanced to another new high yesterday - to levels not seen since mid-March with the U.S. and Emerging Markets leading the move. While potential resistance levels exist, recent developments only bolster our already positive outlook.  In today's report, we highlight actionable setups within our global Technology, and Real Estate Developers and REITs Groups.

MSCI ACWI’s Advance Continues: U.S. And Emerging Markets Leading the Way

The MSCI ACWI and S&amp;P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a bullish trend change. Combine this with improving market internals and we are becoming incrementally more bullish. For the MSCI ACWI, one of the more concerning breadth indicators has been the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving average. This indicator recently hit a higher high (see below, left), a positive development that confirms the market’s recent advance. In today's report we highlight opportunities within global Energy and Technology companies, two of our overweights.

The MSCI ACWI and S&amp;P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a bullish trend change. Combine this with improving market internals and we are becoming incrementally more bullish. For the MSCI ACWI, one of the more concerning breadth indicators has been the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving average. This indicator recently hit a higher high (see below, left), a positive development that confirms the market’s recent advance. In today's report we highlight opportunities within global Energy and Technology companies, two of our overweights. 

Global Energy Shares Breaking Out; Technology Remains Attractive

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 1st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD44.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc, Northern Star Resources.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 1st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD44.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc, Northern Star Resources.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th April, published ~9AM on the 1st May.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$92mn into "Internet Services"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.5mn out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts decreased A$5.2bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/predictive-discovery-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15374:1" rel="noopener">Predictive Discovery (PDI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/generation-development-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14945:1" rel="noopener">Generation Development Group (GDG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bapcor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8433:1" rel="noopener">Bapcor (BAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th April, published ~9AM on the 1st May.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$92mn into "Internet Services"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.5mn out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts decreased A$5.2bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Predictive Discovery (PDI AU), Generation Development Group (GDG AU), Bapcor (BAP AU), Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU), and Beach Energy (BPT AU).


Aussie Shorts [27 Apr 2026]: Predictive Discovery, Bapcor, Woodside Petroleum, Beach Energy

Director - Research, Consulting and Advisory, BondAdviser

Nicholas Yaxley

Director - Research, Consulting and Advisory

Australian bonds & fixed income research

BondAdviser

BondAdviser is the central reference point for intelligent information on Australian fixed income markets. We help you make informed decisions by providing unbiased research, transparent pricing data, analytics, portfolio tools and education.

BondAdviser has the broadest coverage of retail-accessible ASX-listed and over-the-counter Australian bonds and fixed income securities. We make it easy for you to review and compare investments before you place an order with your broker or dealer.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The BondAdviser Market Review is an end of month report designed to give users information on events, corporate actions, news and announcements affecting our strategic thinking (i.e. duration positioning, fundamental credit view) plus tactical opportunities as they arise.It also includes our "Data Tracker" which is designed to provide consistent and objective measures of performance and risk across the universe of domestic debt and hybrid securities.Please see attached our July 2017 edition.Summ…

The BondAdviser Market Review is an end of month report designed to give users information on events, corporate actions, news and announcements affecting our strategic thinking (i.e. duration positioning, fundamental credit view) plus tactical opportunities as they arise.It also includes our "Data Tracker" which is designed to provide consistent and objective measures of performance and risk across the universe of domestic debt and hybrid securities.Please see attached our July 2017 edition.Summ…

Australia

NEXTDC Ltd. develops data centers. The Company develops and operates carrier and systems integrator neutral data centers in Australia. NEXTDC's customers will also be able to use the data centers as connectivity and content hubs.

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Nextdc Ltd (NXT AU)

MSCI ACWI’s Advance Continues: U.S. And Emerging Markets Leading the Way

The MSCI ACWI advanced to another new high yesterday - to levels not seen since mid-March with the U.S. and Emerging Markets leading the move....

Vermilion Research

Global Energy Shares Breaking Out; Technology Remains Attractive

The MSCI ACWI and S&P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Brambles, National Australia Bank, Scentre, Nextdc,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aussie Shorts [27 Apr 2026]: Predictive Discovery, Bapcor, Woodside Petroleum, Beach Energy

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$92mn into "Internet Services"; the largest net decrease was A$1.5mn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

BondAdviser Market Review - July 2017

The BondAdviser Market Review is an end of month report designed to give users information on events, corporate actions, news and announcements...

BondAdviser

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