Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>After a substantial rally, the S&amp;P500 was unable to break above its 200-day MA and market indexes have violated steep 5-week uptrends; we view this pullback as a critical test.</li>
<li>This is where we see if prior breakout levels/important moving averages hold and market indexes make a higher low, or if this was nothing more than a bear market rally.</li>
<li>Barring a Fed pivot, and with Treasury yields and the DXY inflecting higher (and potentially commodities, too), it increases the odds for a deeper pullback in the broad market indexes.</li>
</ul>


After a substantial rally, the S&amp;P500 was unable to break above its 200-day MA and market indexes have violated steep 5-week uptrends; we view this pullback as a critical test.
This is where we see if prior breakout levels/important moving averages hold and market indexes make a higher low, or if this was nothing more than a bear market rally.
Barring a Fed pivot, and with Treasury yields and the DXY inflecting higher (and potentially commodities, too), it increases the odds for a deeper pullback in the broad market indexes.


Don't Fight the Fed; Pullback Underway as Rising DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield Back to Being Headwind

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Credit

<ul>
<li>Republic Services is a major player within the waste management and environmental services space.</li>
<li>The management has invested more than $900 million in acquisitions that increased free cash flow and enhanced the market position of the company.</li>
<li>Among major developments, Republic Services entered into a joint venture with Archaea Energy Inc. to develop 39 RNG projects over the U.S.</li>
</ul>


Republic Services is a major player within the waste management and environmental services space.
The management has invested more than $900 million in acquisitions that increased free cash flow and enhanced the market position of the company.
Among major developments, Republic Services entered into a joint venture with Archaea Energy Inc. to develop 39 RNG projects over the U.S.


Republic Services Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This is our first report on environmental services player, Republic Services.</li>
<li>The company has had a decent start to 2022 delivering EBITDA and revenue growth and showed an increase in the generated adjusted earnings.</li>
<li>Also, Republic Services continues to realize the advantages of its investments in technology.</li>
</ul>


This is our first report on environmental services player, Republic Services.
The company has had a decent start to 2022 delivering EBITDA and revenue growth and showed an increase in the generated adjusted earnings.
Also, Republic Services continues to realize the advantages of its investments in technology.


Republic Services Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Cleanaway Waste Management / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>An <a href="https://www.afr.com/street-talk/cleanaway-in-kkr-s-crosshairs-20220419-p5aed3" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AFR article</a> claimed that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US)</a> is preparing an offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transpacific-industries-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19885:1" rel="noopener">Cleanaway Waste Management (CWY AU)</a>. The shares rose 5.9% to close at A$3.24.</li>
<li>KKR has a long history with Cleanaway. Private equity has recently acquired waste management companies that are increasingly viewed as “infrastructure-like’’. </li>
<li>Cleanaway’s scale, cash generation and modest leverage make it a target. A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 15.8x, in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bingo-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24067:1" rel="noopener">Bingo Industries (BIN AU)</a>’s acquisition multiple, would imply A$3.92.</li>
</ul>


An AFR article claimed that KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US) is preparing an offer for Cleanaway Waste Management (CWY AU). The shares rose 5.9% to close at A$3.24.
KKR has a long history with Cleanaway. Private equity has recently acquired waste management companies that are increasingly viewed as “infrastructure-like’’. 
Cleanaway’s scale, cash generation and modest leverage make it a target. A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 15.8x, in line with Bingo Industries (BIN AU)’s acquisition multiple, would imply A$3.92.


SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration / Technical Analysis

Weak market dynamics continue to be counterbalanced by the fact that there is an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level; even the weakest Sectors such as Energy (XLE, XOP, RYE) and Transportation (IYT, XTN, JETS) are holding above key supports. Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall.Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&amp;P 500, IWM, IWC, WTI Crude Oil, Copper, US dollar, CMCSA, CHTR, LBRDA, AMT, SBAC, ACN, INFY, EQIX, WIT, CTSH, IT, WM, RSG, WCN, and ROL

Weak market dynamics continue to be counterbalanced by the fact that there is an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level; even the weakest Sectors such as Energy (XLE, XOP, RYE) and Transportation (IYT, XTN, JETS) are holding above key supports. Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall.Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&amp;P 500, IWM, IWC, WTI Crude Oil, Copper, US dollar, CMCSA, CHTR, LBRDA, AMT, SBAC, ACN, INFY, EQIX, WIT, CTSH, IT, WM, RSG, WCN, and ROL

U.S. Equity Index and Sector Breakdowns Remain Absent; Buying Communications & Services Stocks

United States

Republic Services, Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste collection and disposal services in the United States.  The Company provides solid waste collection services for commercial, industrial, municipal, and residential customers.  Republic also operates transfer stations, landfills, and recycling facilities.

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Republic Services (RSG US)

Don't Fight the Fed; Pullback Underway as Rising DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield Back to Being Headwind

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Vermilion Research

Republic Services Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

Republic Services is a major player within the waste management and environmental services space. The management has invested more than $900...

Baptista Research

Republic Services Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy

This is our first report on environmental services player, Republic Services. The company has had a decent start to 2022 delivering EBITDA and...

Baptista Research

KKR to Make a Move for Cleanaway?

An AFR article claimed that KKR is preparing an offer for Cleanaway. A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 15.8x, in line with Bingo’s acquisition...

Arun George

U.S. Equity Index and Sector Breakdowns Remain Absent; Buying Communications & Services Stocks

Until we start to see breakdowns at the Sector and index level, we remain constructive overall. Charts highlighted: XOP, JETS, S&P 500, IWM, IWC,...

Vermilion Research

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