Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Market dynamics remain largely constructive and we are now seeing meaningful improvement within emerging markets (EEM-US) as the Hang Seng index displays bullish price and relative strength (RS) reversals.</li>
<li>Brent and WTI crude oil are hitting 8-year highs, base metals are bullishly inflecting, and critical supports are holding on the broad global indexes.</li>
<li>Sticking with the theme from last week when we recommended Energy and Financials, two more Sectors that stand to benefit from rising rates include Materials and Industrials/Manufacturing -- add exposure.</li>
</ul>


Market dynamics remain largely constructive and we are now seeing meaningful improvement within emerging markets (EEM-US) as the Hang Seng index displays bullish price and relative strength (RS) reversals.
Brent and WTI crude oil are hitting 8-year highs, base metals are bullishly inflecting, and critical supports are holding on the broad global indexes.
Sticking with the theme from last week when we recommended Energy and Financials, two more Sectors that stand to benefit from rising rates include Materials and Industrials/Manufacturing -- add exposure.


Sticking With Value; Buying Materials & Industrials

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated holding was USD1,555.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD23,200mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), LG Innotek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated holding was USD1,555.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD23,200mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), LG Innotek.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 17th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF)

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated short interest was USD17.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, LS ELECTRIC, DB HiTek, JEL.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated short interest was USD17.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, LS ELECTRIC, DB HiTek, JEL.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, LS ELECTRIC, DB HiTek, JEL

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<div class="content-highlight"><p>In this insight, we discuss about the winners and losers among the top 100 stocks in KOSPI, especially in the most recent <strong>"KOSPI Box trading range"</strong> lasting from 8 January to 10 February 2021 (see chart below). Sometimes, finding out what stocks and sectors outperform in a box trading range could lead to some<strong> clues</strong> in helping to understand what stocks and sectors could outperform in the coming weeks. From 8 January to 10 February, KOSPI has been trading in a box range and its is down slightly (1.6%) in this period. </p></div>

In this insight, we discuss about the winners and losers among the top 100 stocks in KOSPI, especially in the most recent "KOSPI Box trading range" lasting from 8 January to 10 February 2021 (see chart below). Sometimes, finding out what stocks and sectors outperform in a box trading range could lead to some clues in helping to understand what stocks and sectors could outperform in the coming weeks. From 8 January to 10 February, KOSPI has been trading in a box range and its is down slightly (1.6%) in this period. 

Winners & Losers in the KOSPI Box Trading Range & Return of Money Velocity Post End of Lock Down?

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

<p>Whilst Q4's list posted strong price performance it was a case that a rising tide floated most boats. As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. In Q1, the Altman Z score is at a market-cap-weighted 1.03 times, a significant decrease on the 1.52 in Q4. This deterioration needs to be monitored since earnings continue to be adjusted by analysts and their limited visibility of any bottoming. 25 stocks appear in our Q1 2021 screen, versus 15 in Q4 2020.</p>

Whilst Q4's list posted strong price performance it was a case that a rising tide floated most boats. As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. In Q1, the Altman Z score is at a market-cap-weighted 1.03 times, a significant decrease on the 1.52 in Q4. This deterioration needs to be monitored since earnings continue to be adjusted by analysts and their limited visibility of any bottoming. 25 stocks appear in our Q1 2021 screen, versus 15 in Q4 2020.

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

South Korea

Korea Aerospace Industries Ltd. designs and produces aircraft parts including fixed wings for aircrafts and rotary wings for helicopters. The Company also engages in aircraft upgrade and modification business and satellite development business.

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Korea Aerospace Industries (047810 KS)

Sticking With Value; Buying Materials & Industrials

Sticking with the theme from last week when we recommended Energy and Financials, two more Sectors that stand to benefit from rising rates include...

Vermilion Research

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 17th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF)

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, LS ELECTRIC, DB HiTek, JEL

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, LS ELECTRIC, DB HiTek, JEL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Winners & Losers in the KOSPI Box Trading Range & Return of Money Velocity Post End of Lock Down?

In this insight, we discuss about the winners and losers among the top 100 stocks in KOSPI, especially in the most recent "KOSPI Box trading range"...

Douglas Kim

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. 25 stocks...

David Lepper

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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